And the same could be said of last season. Without Hank there is no way that team finishes first in the Eastern Conference. Why does this matter? We
do have Hank. And he has arguably stolen far fewer games this year than he did last year... This just screams straw man argument to me.
I'm a stat nerd, so here they come -- This isn't quite the same thing as time in each zone, but it does give a sense of where the games are played (info from
here if interested):
2011-2012 (stats at 5on5):
Offensive Zone Faceoffs: 29.4 %
Neutral Zone Faceoffs: 38.5 %
Defensive Zone Faceoffs: 32.1 %
2012-2013 (stats at 5on5):
Offensive Zone Faceoffs: 34.3 %
Neutral Zone Faceoffs: 35.8 %
Defensive Zone Faceoffs: 29.9 %
Seems to indicate that this year they are playing significantly more in the offensive zone, and a decent amount less in the defensive zone...
I don't know where to find defensive/offensive zone time stats - if someone does, please share.
Not necessarily true. Here are some stats for you. I excluded anyone in either season who played less than 10 games in the aggregate stats (so in 2011-12 this excludes guys like Deveaux, Newb, Bell, Scott; in 2012-13 it excludes Ferriero, Newb, Mash, Thomas, Segal, Haley).
Team wide shot blocking and hitting (I know you weren't talking hitting - but I added it in out of curiosity):
2011-12:
1424 total games played / 1335 shots blocked / 2359 hits
Average shots blocked per player per game: 0.94.
Average hits per player per game: 1.66
2012-13:
804 total games played / 723 shots blocked / 1317 hits
Average shots blocked per player per game: 0.90
Average hits per played per game: 1.64
I'm not seeing a big difference there in terms of
team shot blocking...
But I got curious and wanted to see the comparison between the new roster players and the major losses from last year.
2011-12 (Rupp, Dubi, Prust, Feds, Anisimov, Mitchell):
434 GP / 230 blocks / 704 hits
Average shots blocked per player per game: 0.53
Average hits per player per game: 1.62
2012-13 (Halpern, Asham, Nash, Pyatt, Powe):
176 GP / 81 blocks / 268 hits
Average shots blocked: 0.46
Average hits: 1.52
That shows a bit more of a difference, but still not huge.
And if you add in the recent acquisitions + Kreider/Miller, you get:
Average shots blocked: 0.46
Average hits: 1.64
So, more hits per game, slightly less blocks among those specific groups of players. But as a team, not much difference. Here are the player specific stats if you’re interested:
2011-12:
[TABLE="head;title=list"]
Player |
GP |
Blocks |
Hits |
Blocks/Game |
Hits/Game
Brandon Dubinsky | 77 | 36 | 207 | 0.47 | 2.69 |
Brandon Prust | 82 | 51 | 144 | 0.62 | 1.76 |
Ruslan Fedotenko | 73 | 57 | 86 | 0.78 | 1.18 |
Artem Anisimov | 79 | 46 | 75 | 0.58 | 0.95 |
John Mitchell | 63 | 27 | 89 | 0.43 | 1.41 |
Mike Rupp | 60 | 13 | 103 | 0.22 | 1.72 | [/TABLE]
2012-13:
[TABLE="head;title=list"]
Player |
GP |
Blocks |
Hits |
Blocks/Game |
Hits/Game
Jeff Halpern | 30 | 13 | 36 | 0.43 | 1.2 |
Arron Asham | 26 | 4 | 37 | 0.15 | 1.42 |
Rick Nash | 42 | 23 | 45 | 0.55 | 1.07 |
Taylor Pyatt | 46 | 25 | 83 | 0.54 | 1.8 |
Darroll Powe | 32 | 16 | 67 | 0.5 | 2.09 |
Chris Kreider | 21 | 6 | 31 | 0.29 | 1.48 |
J.T. Miller | 26 | 12 | 47 | 0.46 | 1.81 |
Ryane Clowe | 11 | 4 | 30 | 0.36 | 2.73 |
Derick Brassard | 11 | 5 | 25 | 0.45 | 2.28 |
John Moore | 11 | 11 | 18 | 1.0 | 1.64 | [/TABLE]
This part of your argument doesn't get reflected in stats. That said, I'd agree with it. The new bodies acquired in the offseason to replace our FA losses/Dubi/Anisimov, overall, have been less defensively sound in terms of positioning and the defense corp has been much more prone to dumb mistakes.
The other piece of the puzzle - which also isn't reflected in stats - is that these replacements also haven't been as aggressive and solid on the forecheck as Dubi/Anisimov/Prust/Feds/Mitchell. That said, I think this was addressed somewhat with the Gabby trade and the Clowe acquisition.
I don't think the collapse is THE problem and see it as generally fairly effective, and keeps the other team to the outside with perimeter shots. I'll agree that I'm not a fan of how it leaves the points wide open though and would love to see that tweaked; but in the end don't see that as the primary reason the team has struggled.