I think part of the issue is this:
The way the team is constructed, the age of the players, the salary structure, etc.
It doesn’t matter if we say well look at Tage, look at so and so, forget the expectations of being 1OA and just have patience.
Sure - maybe Laf can have a Tage like career and find his game at 25 and suddenly be a real star (also, how often does that happen without a trade - we can find top 3 picks who broke out late but how many stayed with their draft team?)
The problem is Shesterkin will be a UFA and going on 30. Kreider, Zib, Trochek, Trouba, Bread will be in there 30s.
If Laf was drafted 20th and the idea was patience, that would be fine - but the contracts given out, re-upping Zib, investing in Trochek, etc. was based partially on the presence of #1 and 2 OA picks who DON’T take 6 years to become impact players at the NHL level.
Am I saying we’d have let Zib walk? No, probably not but especially with a deep run last year and the reasonable expectation of the kids taking a step (or three) do we sign Trochek? Also if they were 20th overall type kids with a delayed ETA, and they had the other pieces locked in that they currently have, they may have moved one or made a major trade that changed the face of the team (Eichel?) that they wouldn’t make because of the “potential” the 1 and 2 OA carried.
We banked on these kids being able to make a DIFFERENCE in their first 3-5 years. Laf is on 3, KK is on 4 and (all credit to Kakko improving and showing promise) neither is genuinely a difference maker. So the whole plan is f***ed because - due to being a consensus 1OA - the plan wasn’t to wait until he’s in his 5th season for him to start making an impact. The plan was that winning the draft lottery twice was going to change the trajectory of the team dramatically.
So it isn’t as simple as “have patience”. Chytil is never going to be peak Zibanejad. Lafreniere is never going to be peak Panarin. When those guys are no longer contributing or have moved on, the guys in line to replace them are downgrades. The idea was for them to be impact players WHILE those guys were also impact players.
I also just genuinely feel Laf is a little too comfortable and cozy with his status as a 1OA NYR NHL player and he really hasn’t shown the hunger to keep growing and to be the best. There’s just a comfortable complacency vibe I get. The vets have it as well. It’s an organizational problem. Unless you have a true internal drive to be the best and not just “good” and “successful” this isn’t a franchise where you go to work hard and keep improving.