I'm going to blame someone. I blame Bergevin. We don't have the option of negotiating all summer with our RFA, as the other teams do, because he took that away from us for *no* reason. Part of being a GM is realizing when you're being used by an agent. Aho and his agent can only find that way around the "negotiating all summer" gambit if they have a willing dupe.
Word is that Marner wants a three-year deal if he's going to sign an offer sheet. It seems weird that he would *want* to be an RFA again, but it's actually brilliant -- and the same thing Meier just did in San Jose.
Yes, he'll be an RFA, but when you're an RFA, you have to get qualified, which means you have a guaranteed salary. (Yes, a team can choose not to qualify a player or can team-elect arbitration, but for the quality of players we're talking about, neither of those is likely to be a factor.) Meier's four-year, $24 million deal pays him $4-4-6-10 million in the four seasons. Most of it is signing bonus in the first two seasons, but in the fourth season, it's all base salary, meaning he has to get qualified at $10 million in the summer of 2023 or become a UFA. Can you imagine the leg up in negotiations that will give him, *guaranteeing* that his first year's salary *starts* at $10 million?!?!
So that's what Marner's agent wants if he's going to sign an offer sheet. Obviously, that's not a great plan for Toronto. The job of GMs across the league is to see this, and not to become Marner's unwitting accomplice. *If* they can structure a deal that makes sense to their team -- in terms of compensation to Marner and compensation to the Leafs -- I think they should do it. But, if all they're going to do overrule the plans of Toronto's management and give Marner what he wants as part of a sure-to-fail offer sheet, that's not a good faith play.
This is essentially what Bergevin did to Carolina, and I put the blame 100 percent at his feet. His *only* ploy here was to mess with what Carolina was trying to do in terms of signing Aho long term. His plan from the start was to substitute his judgement for Waddell's and hurt Carolina's planning for the future. Now, there's some value in that, but not enough to paint a large target on your back. And believe me when I say that other organizations see what Bergevin did. They all know he never had a shot at the player and gave the player what he wanted in his next contract. It won't be appreciated around the league.
I can assure you of this much. Whatever Montreal "plans" to do contract-wise with Domi and Kotkaniemi just got a whole lot harder to pull off.