Value of: Adin Hill - 2023 Unrestricted Free Agent

[Goalie_Bob]

My issue with Hill is that he has never played more than 27 games in any regular season. So all of sudden paying him starter money and expecting him to just play twice as many games+ is a big leap. He has never played that many games in his pro career. And then to expect him to keep the same performance level.......

I am very hesitant to give him starter money when he hasn't shown he can be a starter. The playoffs are a totally different animal than being relied on to be there for your team for 55-65 games.

 

[Epic Neal Time]

He'll get 4x4 and will hit waivers by September 2024

 

[treple13]

Whoever signs him for bigger money/term is very likely going to regret it.

 

[1909]

If Hill help Vegas to win the Cup, the vaults are going to open for him all over the league.

 

[strattonius]

As a comparable, Michael Leighton's rise from 3rd stringer to SCF starter as a 27YO impending UFA earned him an around 2.5x raise in AAV (to what was 2.61% of the cap at the time) for two years the day before he was to become a UFA.

For Hill, the same raise would put him above 5.5M. The % of cap however, puts him at around $4.75M. That's the same AAV the Wings gave Husso for 3 years last summer, with Husso having a much shorter resume than Hill.

To me, $4-5M for 2 or 3 years seems to make sense.

Horrendous.

Not FOR Hill but for whomever is dumb enough to look at his resume and the context of his current run and think he's anything but a backup.

4-5M? Yeah right.

 

[ShelbyZ]

Horrendous.

Not FOR Hill but for whomever is dumb enough to look at his resume and the context of his current run and think he's anything but a backup.

4-5M? Yeah right.

Highlighted will be the key. His agent certainly isn't going to have any trouble pointing out the money that guys like Husso or Petersen or even Nedeljkovic, Vanecek and Driedger received with the resume's they all had before their most recent contracts.

 

[SEALBound]

I think if some team is looking for that 1B option to go tandem with a current goal to do a 41/41 split load, yes. Your 60+ game starter...I have doubts.

That said, the goalie market is extraordinarily weak at the moment so...who knows.

 

[T_Cage]

Adin hill is a guy who for the right price, LOTS of team should be in on....but I feel like someone will overpay him, and I can't fault him for getting that bag if he can

 

[BlueSeal]

Stop drooling Toronto.

 

[Squirrel in the Hole]

The new Scott Darling

or Michael Leighton, or Anton Khudobin, or the Hamburgler, etc....

 

[Vegan Knight]

The cap will probably be 83.5 million in year one, about 90 million in year two of the deal and about 93 million in year three.

Taking that in account, and what some other similarly less proven goalies have gotten when the cap was going to be in the low 80's for those entire contracts, I think there will be some GM during bidding that will offer him around 4m x 3. Maybe a bit above, maybe a bit below.

Vegas can't go even 3m without sacrificing some other part of the roster, so with Thompson already in the fold for cheap, I think it's less likely they will keep him.

 

[WarriorofTime]

PAY DAT MAN HIS MONEY

 

[ponder719]

Someone's giving him the Koskinen Special.

 

[WarriorofTime]

Someone's giving him the Koskinen Special.

Sharks paid Antti Niemi and he didn't even play well..

 

[CycloneSweep]

Someone's giving him the Koskinen Special.

Koskinen won a cup?

 

[Billdo]

Guys gonna be a bag from a desperate team and it'll be bad but that isn't his fault.

 

[MicronMega]

Is Binnington not the comparable? He was almost sent to Boston's farm team to make room for other goalies and then ended up winning the Cup with STL

 

[LeafalCrusader]

 

[LEAFANFORLIFE23]

he's about to get paid money

 

[MagnumForce2]

If the contract is reasonable, I wouldn’t mind him in Buffalo in tandem with Devon Levi.

 

[CupInSIX]

I realized he does that lean on the crossbar because he probably has a bad back.

I hope he stays as a 1b making less than 4m, even though the smart thing would be to let him go get paid.

He loses net? How do you lose a net! It's 6x4!


Also...they made a mountain of that Hill.

 

[johnnybbadd]

Is Binnington not the comparable? He was almost sent to Boston's farm team to make room for other goalies and then ended up winning the Cup with STL

I thought of him too. I believe he was a RFA and got 4.4x2. Hill is a UFA and has played more. I see a 4-5 year contract between 5-6 per year. If he re-signs with Vegas I can see something in the 4.5-5.5 range for 4 years.

 

[CupInSIX]

I thought of him too. I believe he was a RFA and got 4.4x2. Hill is a UFA and has played more. I see a 4-5 year contract between 5-6 per year. If he re-signs with Vegas I can see something in the 4.5-5.5 range for 4 years.

I'm not sure a team would offer him that kind of contract with the crop of goalies being available this summer.

 

[Thallis]

Anyone paying above $4.5M is asking for trouble.

 

[CanadienShark]

Watch the Sharks sign him to a long term deal and he goes back to mediocrity.