Why would you write off a player that improved every year he was in the NCAA?
It's natural to see guys improve each year in the NCAA but that isn't a surefire metric for determining if they have a good shot at making the NHL. And when you pot 11pts in 30gp, the only way to go is up. Typically NHL players from the NCAA are PPG players as sophomores or juniors. Seniors are whatever. Plenty of PPG seniors are undrafted.
So relative to draft positions in my "will-he-make-it-o-meter", yeah I wrote him off in 2023 when he posted 28pts in 40gp. Didn't mean I didn't think he was a good player, just not a surefire 2nd round NHL player.
I could end up being wrong though because, as Jesse pointed out, the development curve just may be longer with him.