Blue Jays GDT: 2024 v6 | Fri, Sept 13 | vs StL | 7pm ET/4pm PT | TBA vs TBA Ohtanis Makes History

  • HFBoards is well aware that today is election day in the US. We ask respectfully to focus on hockey and not politics.

canucksfan

Registered User
Mar 16, 2002
44,730
10,436
British Columbia
Visit site
I mean it wasn’t just some pitching. It was three rotation pieces, one coming off a CYA season, one durable #3, and an often injured but TOR arm. Plus adding an AS SS in Reyes, a healthy Bautista and a full season of Lawrie? Are you forgetting the hype around that team?
I remember that first game well. JP couldn't catch Dickey's knuckleball. There was a lot of hype around that team but it fizzled out quickly.

Due to the offseason, this current team didn't have much hype. The 2021 season had more.
 

canucksfan

Registered User
Mar 16, 2002
44,730
10,436
British Columbia
Visit site
I think for a majority of fans the Jays are their '2nd team' and there just isn't the intensity of feeling that you get from NHL fans in Canada, or Yankees/Red Sox teams in MLB as an example.

How many Jays fans are 'the Jays are my #1 team in any sport' sort of fans?



I remember the hype but to me it was more 'hope of turning a corner finally' more than 'expectation of success and contending'. Everyone would have been over-the-moon to sneak into the last wildcard spot and end the playoff drought, which was basically the minimum expectation for the 2024 Jays.
Here's an article from 2013. https://bleacherreport.com/articles/1533649-complete-toronto-blue-jays-2013-season-preview

There are a few more I found with a quick search.

The 2013 team was expected to win the division and make the playoffs. Same can't be said for the 2024 Blue Jays in March.

EDIT: Also worth noting the Jays hadn't made the playoffs since 93' so fans were very eager to cheer for a very good team. Coming into this season they made the playoffs three of the last 4 years.
 
Last edited:

GoonieFace

Registered User
Jun 24, 2013
7,851
8,104
The Matrix
This is a great post, I couldn't agree more with everything you've written. The bolded is the especially disappointing part when it comes to the state of this team. How you can justify, accept, condone, and forgive the travesty we've witnessed this season is astonishing.
While I agree this year was a complete letdown, you seem to be a little over the edge. I think Atkins should be let go, but this team and organization isn’t the gong show you seem to think it is.
 

MS

1%er
Mar 18, 2002
55,783
91,887
Vancouver, BC
Here's an article from 2013. https://bleacherreport.com/articles/1533649-complete-toronto-blue-jays-2013-season-preview

There are a few more I found with a quick search.

The 2013 team was expected to win the division and make the playoffs. Same can't be said for the 2024 Blue Jays in March.

EDIT: Also worth noting the Jays hadn't made the playoffs since 93' so fans were very eager to cheer for a very good team. Coming into this season they made the playoffs three of the last 4 years.

They were 22 games behind the Yankees in 2012 (and 20 behind Baltimore). 'Expected to win the division' reeks of overreaction and delusion.

I personally remember just hoping to make the wildcard and see some playoff games. And my feelings when they didn't and it was 'just another Jays season' are nowhere near the disappointment I feel about 2024 and the way things have unfolded for the team in the last year.
 

CabanaBoy5

Registered User
Feb 17, 2013
3,720
4,260
Woodbridge
While I agree this year was a complete letdown, you seem to be a little over the edge. I think Atkins should be let go, but this team and organization isn’t the gong show you seem to think it is.
I'm not on any precipice, but this season has been about as close to a gong show as you can be. I was expecting Chuck Barris to show up this weekend (I know he's dead but you get what I mean).

The team had a miserable finish to the season (7-17), finished 23rd of 30 teams (74-88), their farm system was ranked 24 out of 30 teams as of August, their bullpen is a mess, their starters are getting older, their offence was putrid (Schneider .191, Barger .197, Loperfido .197, Berroa .189), their defence faltered at the end of the season. The ultimate has been the horrible decisions in the past two playoffs (Gausman and Berrios inexplicably taken out of winnable games because of some bullshit analytics.......at least we won't be exposed to that). That's pretty much a gong show in my books. And best of all, they're going to run it back with this management team!!
 

Discoverer

Registered User
Apr 11, 2012
11,236
6,592
I remember that first game well. JP couldn't catch Dickey's knuckleball. There was a lot of hype around that team but it fizzled out quickly.

Due to the offseason, this current team didn't have much hype. The 2021 season had more.
Yeah, I really don't see how this one compares to 2013. This one was a slow build: underwhelming 2023, disappointing/frustrating postseason, poor offseason where they didn't address their needs, followed by a huge let-down of a season. Most people still thought they would be good, but battle-for-a-wild-card-spot good.

Between the Marlins trade and the Dickey trade, 2013 was easily the most exciting offseason in the league and probably in the history of the Jays. They increased payroll by something like 40% in one offseason and added multiple star players to the team. Most people expected them to win the division or the first Wild Card.

I'm not on any precipice, but this season has been about as close to a gong show as you can be. I was expecting Chuck Barris to show up this weekend (I know he's dead but you get what I mean).

The team had a miserable finish to the season (7-17), finished 23rd of 30 teams (74-88), their farm system was ranked 24 out of 30 teams as of August, their bullpen is a mess, their starters are getting older, their offence was putrid (Schneider .191, Barger .197, Loperfido .197, Berroa .189), their defence faltered at the end of the season. The ultimate has been the horrible decisions in the past two playoffs (Gausman and Berrios inexplicably taken out of winnable games because of some bullshit analytics.......at least we won't be exposed to that). That's pretty much a gong show in my books. And best of all, they're going to run it back with this management team!!

That's a bit of a weird thing to add considering they were the best defensive team in the league for the second straight year.
 

canucksfan

Registered User
Mar 16, 2002
44,730
10,436
British Columbia
Visit site
They were 22 games behind the Yankees in 2012 (and 20 behind Baltimore). 'Expected to win the division' reeks of overreaction and delusion.

I personally remember just hoping to make the wildcard and see some playoff games. And my feelings when they didn't and it was 'just another Jays season' are nowhere near the disappointment I feel about 2024 and the way things have unfolded for the team in the last year.
Your argument is basically was the hype deserved. That argument is meaningless when comparing what team had
More hype The reality is, the 2013 team had a lot of excitement and hype around it. The team was expected to win around 90 games. The best and logical thing to look at is the season previews of 2013 and 2024. When you do, there’s isn’t much of a comparison.
 
Last edited:

henryasteroidlionnet

Registered User
May 4, 2024
91
75
I'm not on any precipice, but this season has been about as close to a gong show as you can be. I was expecting Chuck Barris to show up this weekend (I know he's dead but you get what I mean).

The team had a miserable finish to the season (7-17), finished 23rd of 30 teams (74-88), their farm system was ranked 24 out of 30 teams as of August, their bullpen is a mess, their starters are getting older, their offence was putrid (Schneider .191, Barger .197, Loperfido .197, Berroa .189), their defence faltered at the end of the season. The ultimate has been the horrible decisions in the past two playoffs (Gausman and Berrios inexplicably taken out of winnable games because of some bullshit analytics.......at least we won't be exposed to that). That's pretty much a gong show in my books. And best of all, they're going to run it back with this management team!!
Yup and that last series against Miami was a disgrace. You can tell the entire team gave up. This gong show needs to end! Fire these clowns running this organization. Enough is enough!
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: CabanaBoy5

MS

1%er
Mar 18, 2002
55,783
91,887
Vancouver, BC
Your argument is basically was the hype deserved. That argument is meaningless when comparing what team had
More hype The reality is, the 2013 team had a lot of excitement and hype around it. The team was expected to win around 90 games. The best and logical thing to look at is the season previews of 2013 and 2024. When you do, there’s isn’t much of a comparison.

I’m including everything that happened since the last game of last year.

And other people are free to feel differently. 2013 didn’t really register with my that heavily because I was used to getting trampled by Boston/NYY and just hoping for a wildcard spot. Conversely, after 2021-22 (and even after the pause that was 2023) this felt to me like a team that was legitimately going to go to a WS and this season has just been beyond disappointing.
 

CabanaBoy5

Registered User
Feb 17, 2013
3,720
4,260
Woodbridge
Yeah, I really don't see how this one compares to 2013. This one was a slow build: underwhelming 2023, disappointing/frustrating postseason, poor offseason where they didn't address their needs, followed by a huge let-down of a season. Most people still thought they would be good, but battle-for-a-wild-card-spot good.

Between the Marlins trade and the Dickey trade, 2013 was easily the most exciting offseason in the league and probably in the history of the Jays. They increased payroll by something like 40% in one offseason and added multiple star players to the team. Most people expected them to win the division or the first Wild Card.



That's a bit of a weird thing to add considering they were the best defensive team in the league for the second straight year.
Note that I said "at the end of the season". I was referring to the double digit errors in the month of September. Nevertheless, what's weird is saying they've been the best defensive team in the league. By what metrics? They were 20th in fielding percentage (.984). They were 23rd in number of errors. Looking at the categories of assists, errors, double plays, and fielding percentage together, they were 10th in the league (https://www.lineups.com/mlb-team-rankings/fielding).

Hmmm, I know you're a big fan of the Jays and I admire that but don't be an apologist for this regime. They've been terrible the past few years.
 

MK78

Registered User
Apr 8, 2023
2,459
1,650
Relative to expectations, the 2024 Jays was the worst season I've ever experienced relative to expectations for a pro sports team I follow and the collective 'oh, well' is just astonishing to me.
What were the expectations? I sure as heck didn't have huge expectation based on the last off season...

I knew the starting pitching was going to regress, it did but not terribly, and the hitting was not addressed in any meaningful way, and the "positive regression" the brass pushed completely flopped.

At best I hoped they would have competed for the last WC late into the season. at worst I thought they'd be around .500.

I didn't think they'd be this bad, worst bullpen in all of baseball, worse even than the 121 loss White Sox, and pathetic offense with only one bright star, the one guy that positively regressed, and even him it took 2 months to get going.

This organization needs a shakeup. Clearly the upper management hasn't delivered after reaching a high in 2021, each year after that the team got progressively worse in offense.
 

Discoverer

Registered User
Apr 11, 2012
11,236
6,592
Note that I said "at the end of the season". I was referring to the double digit errors in the month of September. Nevertheless, what's weird is saying they've been the best defensive team in the league. By what metrics? They were 20th in fielding percentage (.984). They were 23rd in number of errors. Looking at the categories of assists, errors, double plays, and fielding percentage together, they were 10th in the league (https://www.lineups.com/mlb-team-rankings/fielding).

Hmmm, I know you're a big fan of the Jays and I admire that but don't be an apologist for this regime. They've been terrible the past few years.
Based on stats that actually tell you how good they were defensively.

1st in baseball in DRS (106... second had 81, third had 64)
4th in UZR (24.9... first at 27.7)
1st in FRV (45... second had 37)
2nd in DEF (36.3... KC first with 37.9)

They won the team Gold Glove last year and there's a decent chance they're going to win it again.
 

CabanaBoy5

Registered User
Feb 17, 2013
3,720
4,260
Woodbridge
Based on stats that actually tell you how good they were defensively.

1st in baseball in DRS (106... second had 81, third had 64)
4th in UZR (24.9... first at 27.7)
1st in FRV (45... second had 37)
2nd in DEF (36.3... KC first with 37.9)

They won the team Gold Glove last year and there's a decent chance they're going to win it again.
Errors and Fielding Percentage are two basic stats that should be used along with the advanced stats UZR and DRS to give a complete analysis of a players defensive acumen or ability and should not be totally disregarded or minimized. They're stats that sometimes tell us more about how games are directly won and lost. Nonetheless, I didn't say they weren't good defensively, only that they faltered late in the season.
 

WeThreeKings

Demidov is a HAB
Sep 19, 2006
95,353
106,438
Halifax
Firing a guy two years too late isn't really any action and the fact that Shapiro and Atkins are doing the season ending presser means both are getting out unscathed.

Toronto sports, man, they really hate making the changes that are necessary in a front office, don't they?
 

Suntouchable13

Registered User
Dec 20, 2003
44,521
20,713
Toronto, ON
Firing a guy two years too late isn't really any action and the fact that Shapiro and Atkins are doing the season ending presser means both are getting out unscathed.

Toronto sports, man, they really hate making the changes that are necessary in a front office, don't they?

I am surprised Rogers is ok spending 200+ million on payroll and coming in dead last. These guys have driven this team into the ground and need to go.
 

Nineteen67

HFBoards Sponsor
Sponsor
Dec 12, 2017
24,980
11,666
I am surprised Rogers is ok spending 200+ million on payroll and coming in dead last. These guys have driven this team into the ground and need to go.
As long as they’ve sold the tickets and have multi year commitments on the expensive seats, missing is actually better than travelling to one of those play in series.

They can always reduce payroll this winter and I don’t think they’ll go through the charade of pretending to sign UFAs because they still need just everything other than a 1B and SS. And they may decide to trade one or both and rebuild around someone
 

GoonieFace

Registered User
Jun 24, 2013
7,851
8,104
The Matrix
How bout them Mets. Seems like they were the worst organization in baseball halfway through the season, yet they made the playoffs. It’s such a tough and random game, things can swing dramatically very quickly.

This team is far from a trainwreck. Atkins should be gone, but they have the pieces to turn this around quickly. Hopefully he’s not in charge of it.
 

Suntouchable13

Registered User
Dec 20, 2003
44,521
20,713
Toronto, ON
How bout them Mets. Seems like they were the worst organization in baseball halfway through the season, yet they made the playoffs. It’s such a tough and random game, things can swing dramatically very quickly.

This team is far from a trainwreck. Atkins should be gone, but they have the pieces to turn this around quickly. Hopefully he’s not in charge of it.

The turn over in playoff teams is kind of crazy, at least in the AL. Only 2 of the 6 teams made the playoffs last year also. We have 4 new teams (NYY, Cleveland, Detroit, KC). That doesn't even happen in the NHL.
 

MK78

Registered User
Apr 8, 2023
2,459
1,650
The turn over in playoff teams is kind of crazy, at least in the AL. Only 2 of the 6 teams made the playoffs last year also. We have 4 new teams (NYY, Cleveland, Detroit, KC). That doesn't even happen in the NHL.
AL East sucked this year, and the AL Central teams made the playoffs on the back of the White Sox 121 losses.

I'm rooting for the Tigers, they've had 10 years of futility.
 

Suntouchable13

Registered User
Dec 20, 2003
44,521
20,713
Toronto, ON
AL East sucked this year, and the AL Central teams made the playoffs on the back of the White Sox 121 losses.

I'm rooting for the Tigers, they've had 10 years of futility.

Tigers could be this year’s wildcard team that goes all the way. There’s always one every year it seems.
 

Puckstuff

Registered User
May 12, 2010
11,465
3,727
Milton
AL East sucked this year, and the AL Central teams made the playoffs on the back of the White Sox 121 losses.

I'm rooting for the Tigers, they've had 10 years of futility.
One reason to be optimistic: The Tigers only had one player with an OPS over .735 this season (*minimum 90 games played), and they are in the playoffs. Carpenter was good for them but only played half the season.

K.C. only had four players with an OPS of at least .743, and their second, third, and fourth best hitters had OPSs of .743, .760, and .786.

This shows that offense is down league-wide, and just landing one big bat to pair with Vlad could help the Jays get back to the playoffs quickly.

We also have some big bounce-back candidates in Bichette, Springer, Kirk, etc., and Horwitz looks promising, all being .750 OPS+ candidates.
 
  • Like
Reactions: aingefan

Ad

Upcoming events

Ad

Ad