Well I'm pretty confident in his 2C outcome, possibly a lower end 1C, absolute worst case scenario he's a decently scoring 3C like 40 point guy. Or with Dickinson I think you're getting a 3LD that might become a 2LD. I think those are better than middling ceiling. I think they have 8 ceilings and like 5 for floors, if you're talking 1-10. While the other guys I listed have floors in the 3 range and ceilings at the 10.
I agree with go big in the Top 5, but most years you aren't projecting this much in the Top 5, you're getting more a sure thing. Its only asking the question. I would be comfortable taking Catton at 2. Others won't be. Only time will tell.