I think this is a copout answer. No one thought the true talent level of the roster was bottom five.
But that’s where they were. They were, on average, closer in points to the bottom five teams.
They had
39 points when Tocchet came in.
The five teams below them (SJ, Anaheim, Arizona, Columbus, Chicago) were all in the 30-37 range. They were right there. The only team that was trying to tank and doing better than us was Montreal.
If you look at the closest five teams around us by seasons end (Philadelphia, Ottawa, STL, Detroit, Washington) they had 47, 43, 49, 46, 56.
We were actually closer to the bottom five than we were to the next five teams that we ended up passing (sans Ottawa).
No one who is disappointed in what happened thinks the team overperformed its talent level. Their record wasn’t even that special. They played a lot of bad teams and were worse under Tocchet than they were under BB from a pure results standpoint (13th vs 11th).
They iced Dries and an AHL blueline because that’s the roster they built. They looked better without OEL in the lineup.
There is just no world where anyone will be able to convince me that the ice times + starts for Miller, EP, Hughes, & Demko made sense.
I get the early coaching bump and most of it up until about mid-march. The wins against shit teams is whatever and mostly would have happened regardless of deployment. But playing the shit out of top players like they did 2x v Calgary and 2x v Dallas will remain weird to me forever. We did not learn anything additional in the last fifteen games from doing this. I don’t get why they just wouldn’t have made a few different decisions in those games. It’s just inexplicable to me.