2023 NHL Draft June 28 and 29, Nashville, TN (Selections - 13, 39, 45, 86, 109, 141, 173, 205)

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Chainshot

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Just for fun, ran the draft lottery sim over coffee. Buffalo moved up to 3. The downside was the Wings won.
:biglaugh:


Then I ran it again and Buffalo moved to 4, Ottawa moved to 2.

:biglaugh:
 

Chainshot

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Nah I’ll take Bedard.


Who are you taking in that range, just out of curiosity?

Figure Bedard goes one...

Then it's the cluster of Fantilli/Carlsson/Michkov/Benson. I'd prefer one of Fantilli or Carlsson since Michkov is signed for so long and Benson is a recent add to the top 5 as well as being more of a redundant small offensive winger. So at three, one of Fantilli or Carlsson since at least one of them is there.

At four, I might just take Reinbacher and watch the world burn.
 

Jim Bob

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Figure Bedard goes one...

Then it's the cluster of Fantilli/Carlsson/Michkov/Benson. I'd prefer one of Fantilli or Carlsson since Michkov is signed for so long and Benson is a recent add to the top 5 as well as being more of a redundant small offensive winger. So at three, one of Fantilli or Carlsson since at least one of them is there.

At four, I might just take Reinbacher and watch the world burn.
Capture.PNG

Speaking of watching the world burn...

:lol:

I did not force the Yotes to take Michkov, either.
 

EichHart

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Figure Bedard goes one...

Then it's the cluster of Fantilli/Carlsson/Michkov/Benson. I'd prefer one of Fantilli or Carlsson since Michkov is signed for so long and Benson is a recent add to the top 5 as well as being more of a redundant small offensive winger. So at three, one of Fantilli or Carlsson since at least one of them is there.

At four, I might just take Reinbacher and watch the world burn.

What would you give up to get Rein? Is he that good?
 

Chainshot

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What would you give up to get Rein? Is he that good?

He's good but I wouldn't try to move up from where they are now to get him and I might later regret taking him if I was taking him at 4 since the quad cluster at 2-5 looks really good. I like Nemec and Jiricek better from last year (Nemec from draft year views, Jiricek with Cleveland views) but he's probably close to that tier. He isn't polished and is still clearly learning, but the difference from the first time I watched Kloten to the last was impressive.
 

Jim Bob

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“Consensus draft list” is an oxymoron. Let’s get that out of the way right now.

Just as it is with teams on draft day, opinions on players can vary wildly. It’s one reason you’ll see the occasional draft day fall for a player who is generally accepted to be a strong overall prospect — he just may not be the top remaining prospect on several teams’ lists.

And for that reason, looking at multiple lists together can paint a picture for just what a player’s ceiling — and floor — might be.

That’s why a consensus list is valuable. Even without, uh, consensus.

So, with Corey Pronman and Scott Wheeler both putting out new 2023 NHL Draft boards in March, it felt like a good time to see how their lists stack up to each other — and to Bob McKenzie’s midseason draft list, which is itself a survey average of 10 NHL scouts.

McKenzie’s list came out in late January, and with how quickly opinions can change on players, it’s important to note: it might already look quite different even two months later. But even with that said, it’s a good window into the opinions of NHL scouts, and a good third opinion to keep in mind when examining how The Athletic’s draft experts view these players.

And there was quite a bit of difference.

It was unanimous, of course, that WHL sensation Connor Bedard was the number one prospect. There was also a general agreement that Michigan’s Adam Fantilli, Russia’s Matvei Michkov and Sweden’s Leo Carlsson were ranked second, third and fourth in some order, with U.S. NTDP center Will Smith a consensus pick in the top six.

Beyond that, though? The variance even among some of the top overall players was pretty notable. Winnipeg Ice forward Zach Benson, who ranked in the top six for both Wheeler and McKenzie, was 13th for Pronman. And conversely, Pronman’s No. 5, Nate Danielson, was 15th for McKenzie and as late as 22nd for Wheeler.

The variability between lists from team to team is a thing and it is funny how many people refuse to allow for variability to these generic public lists and criticize people for being higher or lower on certain guys than the "consensus".

The biggest range, however, belongs to Saskatoon defenseman Tanner Molendyk, who ranked as high as 20th for Pronman and as low as 62nd for McKenzie. And he’s followed by three other defensemen, Sioux Falls RHD Maxim Strbak, London Knights RHD Oliver Bonk and Russian LHD Dmitriy Simashev.

That speaks to the wide range of opinions on this class of defensemen.

It’s been 20 years since the draft’s top defenseman went outside the top five, when Ryan Suter was picked seventh in 2003. But none of Pronman, Wheeler or McKenzie have a defenseman in their personal top six, and all three have different preferences for the top dog on ‘D.’

It is going to be really interesting to watch what happens with the D in this draft class.

NameConsensusPronmanWheelerMcKenzie
Quentin Musty23222026

Musty's ranking was pretty consistent across the board.
 

TheMistyStranger

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Turned on the Preds game for 6 minutes and I'm honestly not sure the sabres are going to win another one this year. Time to start following this thread, I guess.
 
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Chainshot

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If interested in another Russian defenseman, Omskie Yastreby is in action again right now with Mikhail Gulyayev. He's



-or-


...for some flavor. He's tiny so I haven't spent much time on him.


 
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Chainshot

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More draft conversation -



Some subset of their conversation includes:

Gulyayev vs. Simashev
Brindley vs. Perron
Barlow vs. Wood
Sandin Pellikka vs. Reinbacher
 

Chainshot

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Watching Yager against the Ice tonight and he's got a pair - 5-2-7 in six games against the top team in the WHL for the season. I just wish he wasn't another 6'/165 lbs. player.
 
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Jim Bob

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Feb 27, 2002
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Morning mock:

1679572313130.png


Just finished drafting using Draft Prospects Hockey’s NHL Draft Sim.
Buffalo Sabres
(10) Quentin Musty, LW
(36) David Reinbacher, RD
(41) Gabriel Perreault, C
 
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