I think the situation with German players is somewhat similar. Basically 03, 04 and 05 were weak years, and the few promising ones that tried to go the CHL route weren't exactly sucessful.
- Bettahar did well in his first year, but his second season saw a regression in points, performance and usage, so he went back home.
- Hänelt was always injured, but when healthy never set the world on fire.
- Hafenrichter pretty much busted completely, Proske did well and could maybe have stuck it out, but also decided to go back home to play pro hockey.
- Hauf had a solid first season on a really bad Oil Kings team, we'll have to wait and see how he does on a new team this season.
- Niedenz also moved back home after one unspectacular season split between Barrie and Oshawa.
- Moritz Elias didn't even stick around for an entire season, but bolted back home from Saskatoon mid-season.
And right now the trend seems to be that the best prospects we have rather stay in Germany to get their first taste of pro hockey, or try to succeed in Sweden.
The Sweden route in particular seems to become more attractive. We have seen it the last few years to varying degrees of success from guys like
Yegor Alanov, Roman Kechter, Julian Wäser, Elias Pata, Dustin Willhöft, Noah Garthe, Maximilian Brunner, Nikita Müller and Carlos Händel. And I believe for the coming season, Darian Rolsing ('08) will also go that route.
The types of prospects that would definitely succeed in the CHL are rare and can just as easily play pro at home (e.g. Stützle, Seider, Peterka, Reichel)
There have not been many kids from Germany that weren't very high level prospects, who did well in the CHL. Those rare exceptions like Sebastian Uvira, Markus Eisenschmid, Leon Gawanke, Marcel Noebels oder Mathias Niederberger are just not enough to make me think any of these borderline prospects of the last few years could actually thrive in the CHL.
But in the end it's all about the individual player. Just look at Nico Sturm and his amazing journey to the NHL.
From lower level programs in Germany to the NAHL to the USHL to College to a year mostly in the AHL to NHL regular.