It seems likely that Grier doesn't intend for this team to compete until 2025-2026. However..the Sharks will have oodles of cap space this off-season. Can it be expected for Smith and the 2024 top-3 pick to make the team in a top-9 capacity? If so, even if Barabanov and Duclair are traded, the forward group would look quite competitive. If Blackwood is the real deal, the only real issue would be the defense. The Sharks would have plenty to target a top defenseman, no?
As said, there are no impact defensemen likely to be available.
The forward group still needs much more than Smith and Celebrini/Eiserman/Demidov to be competitive. Right now they are a laughingstock. Come 2025, they can at best be marginally NHL quality from purely internal assets, even if everything goes right:
Eklund - Hertl - Halttunen
Musty - Celebrini - Smith
Gushchin - Bordeleau - Couture
Sturm - Bystedt - Zetterlund
Robins, Lund, Young, Coe
Something like that is the
best we can do by late-2025 purely from internal sources. Unless some of these guys (or the other unnamed depth) greatly exceed their expectations, this is not a great forward group - it's a mediocre to poor 1st line, a 2nd line with a lot of promise but little to no experience, and mediocre 3rd and 4th lines.
On top of that,
half of these guys will bust or disappoint at best. Without a miracle or three, we will need to add a bunch to this to get it to middle of the league standards.
Add two years to your projection - I suspect our 25-26 goal will realistically be to avoid finishing in the bottom ten.