I don't think his shooting percentage is that unsustainable if he keeps playing like he is. He is very, very one-dimensional right now but its a dimension we need badly and one he is excelling at. A lot of his shots are off rebounds 3 feet from the net with the goalie out of position. If you get that shot off, its going in. Not knocking him. He is doing a ridiculously good job getting into that position.
Look at his shot and goal heat maps. Its almost all concentrated between and below the dots. He has one goal from distance. He has 2 more goals barely beyond the dots and at the inner edge of the circle. The rest are all below the dots and between the circles.
I'd like him to add more dimensions to his game. But with how he is playing this year, I'm not worried about an unsustainable shooting percentage. I am worried coaches may highlight him to box him out so he doesn't get those shots anymore. He may be one dimensional right now, but its a dimension we need. It's a dimension he could carve out a decent career with even with nothing else if he can keep getting in tight, keep getting to those rebounds and keep getting in the goalies face.
His one goal from distance was that 1-timer clap bomb that I also didn't believe he had in his arsenal. I think he's been focused on getting to the net a lot this year, but that 1-timer was a thing of beauty and something he should work on over the offseason as well. Skating, puck skills, and one-timers are my three areas of off-season training focus for Jake Neighbors if I'm playing NHL 2024.
I really hope he does continue to grow and add to his game. I think for this team to be successful long term, it's probably in our best interest to break up Thomas and Kyrou and have each of them anchoring their own lines from an offensive standpoint, much like the Hawks did with Toews and Kane for all those years. If we keep Buch I think starting in 2025-2026 I'd like to see something along the lines of:
Buch-Thomas-Snuggy
Neighbors-???(Dvo?)-Kyrou
Schenn-Hayes-???(Bolduc?)
who cares it's the 4th line.
Saad is traded in this scenario, but if not, perhaps him and Schenn play on the third line together with Hayes. If Dvo isn't ready by 2025 that's a huge wrench in the plans, b/c Schenn clearly isn't up to the task of 2C now, much less in two years time. If Buch is traded, we probably keep Saad and move all the LW up one spot, unless Bolduc makes Saad expendable too.