Lou Bloom
Registered User
- Oct 14, 2020
- 1,046
- 1,998
Keep in mind I'm a fan of Wright as a prospect and I agree those are his best tools overall but I'm not sure I'd label any of them as elite (possibly his shot/composure). He should absolutely be a good player at the next level but his skating and creativity are both a bit lacking and I'm hard pressed to see him being a high end line driver at the next level. He's definitely still a top 5 prospect in this class but I personally have Jiricek and Slafkovsky over him right now and would take Cooley or Nemec over him depending on the situation.I'm going to have to disagree a bit here with certain aspects of this.
1) Wright certainly has elite tools. His shot, his IQ and his two-way game are all tops in the class among forwards. That's three elite tools, with every other tool possible ranging from "plus" to "high end". I'd be shocked if he was not the top overall pick.
2) Though I agree Slafkovsky has not cemented himself as the #2 player in the consensus rankings, he's certainly on an upward trajectory and is a very strong bet to end the season in that spot. Many of the questions you're asking about both Wright and Slafkovsky were topics of discussion in November and December, but both prospects have enjoyed extremely strong finishes to their seasons and have quelled many of these concerns.
3) I agree on Jiricek and Nemec. They're very likely top 5 picks.
4) Cooley is terrific, and his skating is elite. I'd agree with your assessment and say he's the other "most likely" for the top 5.
5) Lambert could fall out of the top 10. He's had a really tough season and there are questions about his two-way dedication, overall team play and compete level. Yes, he's a top talent -- no doubt -- but it takes some serious gumption to take a player with compete questions in the #4-#8 range, especially with other top talents available.
6) Savoie could fall for the obvious questions of size, lack of elite skating, and uncertainty if he can remain at center at the highest levels. There is no doubt he is a tremendous offense force, maybe the top pure offensive player in the draft.
7) After a freakishly hot start, Kemell has come back to earth a bit. Some of that is injury related and no slight on his actual play, and the fact he's a high-compete guy with a good two-way game only helps him. Still, I can't see him going top 5 anymore. I'd say he's a likely pick for the #7-#10 range.
8) We also need to include Nazar, Yurov, Geekie and Gauthier in these discussions of top 10 possibles. Chesley could squeeze in as well, since he offers so much of what NHL scouts like more than draft-rankers, and right now he's the top shut-down defender in the entire draft. Yurov might be more volatile because of the New Russian Factor, but the general consensus still sees him as a top 10 talent. Nazar is a guy I feel is trending upwards, as is Gauthier -- who is the top pure power forward in the draft, and features goal-scoring ability from the wing to rival Kemell and Lekkerimaki.
I have Slafkovsky #2 on my board but I was just pointing out that I disagree with the idea that Wright/Slafkovsky are in a different tier of talent, considering how wide open the top of this draft class is. Also while Slafkovsky has definitely shown signs of improvement and players his size tend to have longer development curves I still think it's fair to say he still presents a risky pick and that his offensive game is still a work in progress.
Lambert is definitely a risky pick, but his skating and offensive potential is arguably the best in the entire class. And with theway Raty has bounced back after a disappointing draft season and with what I'd argue is better overall tools I could see teams giving the benefit of the doubt to Lambert and betting on the most dynamic talent available and one of the few prospects in this class with true star potential.
Savoie is definitely going to be an interesting one, He's having one of the most productive seasons out of anyone in the class and has arguably the most complete offensive skillset to go along with it. And despite his height he has a strong build and plays much bigger than his size would indicate and absorbs contact extremely well.
Kemell probably won't go top 5 (possibly not even top 10) but he's still a very good prospect who just put up an amazing season in Liga for a 17 year old. If he can improve his skating he can be a high end scoring winger with a solid two way game to complement it.
I'm a big Nazar fan, and I'd put him firmly in the top 10 in this class. Love his composure with the puck and his mix of skating, shot and playmaking to go along with it. If the Devils miss out on the top 5 I'd be happy with either him, Savoie or Lambert.
Yurov I've never been much of a fan of even before the whole Russia ordeal. His game is just very vanilla to me and I don't really see a standout skill that makes me see him as anything more than a potential middle 6er down the line.
Geekie will probably go top 10 in the actual draft even if a lot of online pundits have him lower. Power forwards are at a premium and a center with his size and high end two way potential is going to be too tantalizing to pass on.
Gauthier is a good prospect and I think more highly of him than Yurov but I do think some of the other forwards offer a bit more in terms of potential. I think he could end up developing into a Chris Kreider type which is a damn good player to have on your team but maybe not something I'd be overly excited about drafting inside the top 10 when guys like Savoie, Lambert and Nazar all could be high end play drivers at the next level.
I'm also a fan of Chesley and think there's more offense than many are currently projecting.