So I put together a top 25, separated by tiers. Why 25? I don't feel like I've seen enough prospects regularly to rank them confidently past the 1st round, and at this point 26-32 would be pretty ambiguous. Also, after these 25+HM I can't say I particularly like any other prospect.
*Quick note 1: I've been following the draft since 2016 and I tried to correct common mistakes I made while projecting players in the past. So, I'm not only gunning for upside here, but I rather rank these players as what their probability-weighted impact on their team will be. Case in point; I have Gaucher ranked rather high because I don't see a probable scenario where he's anything less than a solid 3C, and I think he has more offense than he showed. In comparison, Mateychuk could have great offensive numbers (mostly PP) but I see him as a below-average defender, therefore regardless of upside there's a very real scenario in which he's not top-4 D worthy.
*Qn 2: BPA is a myth. You may not like it, but that's the truth. Seriously though, I think at any point in the draft you always have 3-4 players who could be considered BPA and in that mindset, players in each tier are pretty much interchangeable based on position or personal preference. Tiers are mostly separated on upside vs risk.
I didn't add comments but I'm all up for a discussion!
- Simon Nemec
- Shane Wright
- Frank Nazar
- Logan Cooley
- Juraj Slafkovsky
- Brad Lambert
- Danila Yurov
- David Jiricek
- Jonathan Lekkerimaki
- Owen Pickering
- Matthew Savoie
- Pavel Mintyukov
- Marco Kasper
- Cutter Gauthier
- Conor Geekie
- Mattias Havelid
- Joakim Kemell
- Ryan Chesley
- Liam Ohgren
- Jagger Firkus
- Nathan Gaucher
- Denton Mateychuk
- Gleb Trikozov
- Mats Lindgren
- Jiri Kulich
HM: Sykora, Hutson, Bischel, Kyrou, Miroshnichenko, Korchinski
*idk why the numbers are formatted like that but anyway you get the point