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WJC: 2022 IIHF WM U20 D1A in Hörsholm, Denmark ( december 12 - 18)

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So they tourney is on a break today, and the avid gobal mid-tier junior fanbase of half a dousin can have a day off and reboot. Wednesday will be the decisive one. A win for Latvia will most likely make them the winners. A regulation time victory for Belurus might send Norway back into the mix.
 
A Bundy said:
So they tourney is on a break today, and the avid gobal mid-tier junior fanbase of half a dousin can have a day off and reboot. Wednesday will be the decisive one. A win for Latvia will most likely make them the winners. A regulation time victory for Belurus might send Norway back into the mix.
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1B and 2A is still ongoing.. Casuals man :shakehead
 
Namejs said:
85/15 odds on Belarus today

Too good of a chance not to use it.
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Yes, that could be worth a try, assuming you mean betting on Latvia:naughty:. Belarus seem stronger, but it has proven tricky to be the team who team who has the puck most of the time at this level - ref Latvia - Denmark.
 
A Bundy said:
Yes, that could be worth a try, assuming you mean betting on Latvia:naughty:. Belarus seem stronger, but it has proven tricky to be the team who team who has the puck most of the time at this level - ref Latvia - Denmark.
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Yeah, I bet on Latvia.

At this level 85/15 is too much even if a team is facing a tier weaker side. 90/10 was too much on Latvia/Denmark and I said that before.

And the difference between Latvia and Belarus is not that big. They still are the favorites, but no way anything like that.
 
Yeah, Latvia looks well. No lazy penalties like in the Denmark game, just work hard, skate well. Looks like they have gotten more confident as well as the period progressed. Good stuff. Kolosov with one great save so far but goalies aside, teams look even.
 
Surely more even han the bookies predicted. The result puts Norway back in the mix, and will it will all probably come down to the last game if Norway doesn't screw up again.
 
Well, probably the game most of us expected. In the end, an even game where the difference maker on the Belarussian team made the difference by only allowing 1 goal and that was that.
 
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Yeah, this game could have gone either way.

It irritates me a bit to see such a stark difference and increase in tenacity and drive towards the net when we are pressured to score. It becomes a different team, we get wayy more shots on goal.

It looks like mentally we're not quite aggressive enough or confident enough, but the skill is there. That probably doesn't say anything good about our coach.

Otherwise it sort of went as expected.

The only really bad takeaway from this game was how many peewee mistakes did Brants make. He doesn't look like a future pro hockey player to me. Tumbling around, bad positioning at times, not great hockey iq. That's not good if you're a defenceman.

Ravinskis and Ansons were standing out also today against Belarus. The puck just seems glued to Ravinskis stick, real good stickhandling, but it looked like he could have been more aggressive as well, often opting not to be the driving force and just trying to cycle the puck around in the offensive zone.

Basically we didn't have enough balls, but looked pretty solid throughout the game anyway.
 
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So many times it comes down to goaltending, and even more so at this level than in top tier where they always have a handful of potential candidates with less game-deciding differences. Belarus having Kolosov is just such a difference maker. The best mitigation is to have an excellent goaltending team so they at least find the best equipped one for the big occation. Norway might be on route there now where they stick to one, but it remains to be seen. It has not worked well in the past where some really good goaltenders were scrathced or underperformed in these tourneys,
 
My bookie has 3,40 on Denmark vs Kazaksthan now in the 2nd half (0-0). That's worth a shot.
 
Not unexpected but Denmark is on thin ice. They are still favorites against Hungary but it's gonna be close.
 
I am still at a loss when it comes to who Norway choose to run with as goalie. Plogås was 92 % yesterday, allthough the goal was on the soft side he was solid. A decade long headacke.
 
It will be an interesting last round. Could be three teams tied on 12 points if Norway win against Belarus in the last game. Deccisive game also between Denmark and Hungary to avoid relegation.

Norway must win with at least three goals against Belarus to be promoted. Or with at least two goals, but then scoring at least five goals against Belarus. The head to head classification Belarus/Latvia/Norway will then decide.

Standings

PosTeamPldWOTWOTLLGFGAGDPtsQualification or relegation
1
23px-Flag_of_Belarus.svg.png
Belarus		44000236+1712Promoted to Top Division
2
23px-Flag_of_Latvia.svg.png
Latvia		43001169+79
3
21px-Flag_of_Norway.svg.png
Norway		430011810+89
4
23px-Flag_of_Kazakhstan.svg.png
Kazakhstan		42002111106
5
20px-Flag_of_Denmark.svg.png
Denmark (H)		40004924−150
6
23px-Flag_of_Hungary.svg.png
Hungary		40004522−170Relegation to Division I B
[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Rules for classification: 1) points; 2) head-to-head points; 3) head-to-head goal difference; 4) head-to-head number of goals scored; 5) result against closest best-ranked team outside tied teams; 6) result against second-best ranked team outside tied teams; 7) seeding before tournament.

Last round.

18 December 2021
13:00		Belarus
23px-Flag_of_Belarus.svg.png
v
21px-Flag_of_Norway.svg.png
Norway
[TBODY] [/TBODY]

16 December 2021
16:30		Denmark
20px-Flag_of_Denmark.svg.png
v
23px-Flag_of_Hungary.svg.png
Hungary
[TBODY] [/TBODY]

18 December 2021
20:00		Kazakhstan
23px-Flag_of_Kazakhstan.svg.png
v
23px-Flag_of_Latvia.svg.png
Latvia
[TBODY] [/TBODY]
 
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Denmark's #12 is an interesting prospect. Not sure if I was the only one left of the global mid-tier junior fan base watching this one, but I am pretty sure that Baden was the goalie for Denmark while the gamesheet says Invordsen? Nice to see Philip Granath finally get rewarded for good play, and is now PPG in the tourney.
So final tomorrow between Belarus and Norway. Gonna be deceided on internal standings threeways if Latvia does the job against Kazakhstan, otherwise Norway "only" needs a regulation win.
So Latvia will end with 5-4 internal three-way standings. Belarus has 2-1 and Norway 2-4, so the way Latvia is gonna win the promotion is if Norway wins by one or two goals? If they win 3-0 it is a tie between Latvia and Norway again, and as I understand the rules Kazaksthan joins the internal table and Norway has better goal difference against them than Belarus so Latvia's game vs Kazakhstan will be deceisive. To be on the safe side Norway must win 4-1 or more. That's a strech. I would try Plogås, for a start. Norway was impressive offensinsively today, but they really need to solve Kolosov + their own goalie whoever that is gonna be.
https://blob.iihf.com/iihf-media/ii...ulations/2022/2022_iihf_sport_regulations.pdf
 
A Bundy said:
Denmark's #12 is an interesting prospect. Not sure if I was the only one left of the global mid-tier junior fan base watching this one, but I am pretty sure that Baden was the goalie for Denmark while the gamesheet says Invordsen? Nice to see Philip Granath finally get rewarded for good play, and is now PPG in the tourney.
So final tomorrow between Belarus and Norway. Gonna be deceided on internal standings threeways if Latvia does the job against Kazakhstan, otherwise Norway "only" needs a regulation win.
So Latvia will end with 5-4 internal three-way standings. Belarus has 2-1 and Norway 2-4, so the way Latvia is gonna win the promotion is if Norway wins by one or two goals? If they win 3-0 it is a tie between Latvia and Norway again, and as I understand the rules Kazaksthan joins the internal table and Norway has better goal difference against them than Belarus so Latvia's game vs Kazakhstan will be deceisive. To be on the safe side Norway must win 4-1 or more. That's a strech. I would try Plogås, for a start. Norway was impressive offensinsively today, but they really need to solve Kolosov + their own goalie whoever that is gonna be.
https://blob.iihf.com/iihf-media/ii...ulations/2022/2022_iihf_sport_regulations.pdf
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I'm not sure if Kolosov is a future star, though, Bruveris has better stats so far as well.

And I've spent a ridiculous amount of time looking at goalie SVS%. Kolosov is turning 20 in a few weeks. Most great goalies have way better stats at the pro level than he does at that age.

So it's not like he's some beast even at this level. He's saving 1 extra puck on maybe 40 or 50 shots faced when compared to the Norwegian goalies. So -0.5 goals against on average.
 
A Bundy said:
So Latvia will end with 5-4 internal three-way standings. Belarus has 2-1 and Norway 2-4, so the way Latvia is gonna win the promotion is if Norway wins by one or two goals? If they win 3-0 it is a tie between Latvia and Norway again, and as I understand the rules Kazaksthan joins the internal table and Norway has better goal difference against them than Belarus so Latvia's game vs Kazakhstan will be deceisive.
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Yes, this is all correct. Realistically, Norway has no chance but they can console themselves with the fact that their faith is in their hands. Belarus just needs not to blow it and Latvia needs to pray.
 
Namejs said:
I'm not sure if Kolosov is a future star, though, Bruveris has better stats so far as well.

And I've spent a ridiculous amount of time looking at goalie SVS%. Kolosov is turning 20 in a few weeks. Most great goalies have way better stats at the pro level than he does at that age.

So it's not like he's some beast even at this level. He's saving 1 extra puck on maybe 40 or 50 shots faced when compared to the Norwegian goalies. So -0.5 goals against on average.
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Only catch is that Norway keep playing Stensrud who is 83 % rather than Plogås at 92,3 % Kosolov i 93% now, while Stensrud is 83 %, so that translates to 2,5 goals in 25 shots - pretty much the difference needed for Norway here. So if Norway is gonna have any chance at all they really need to find some weaknesses in Kosolov like lateral movements or stuff like that, or they have to fire off 50 shots + make sure their own pick has a 93 % day. Based on the exibition games and this tourney it looks like Plogås is the best pick. Norway is creating a lot of offense, but scoring like 4 or 5 against Belarus is gonna be really hard.
 
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