Bad Goalie
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- Jan 2, 2014
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We in Utica are not even talking about NJ prospects. We are talking about the AHL vets available every off season that are used to support and help groom the prospects NJ does send here. Deleo, Greer, Gauthier, Flynn, Gambardella, and Schmelzer up front, with Russo and Wotherspoon on the backend were those guys last year. Russo and Gambardella were on 2-yr contracts so they were already set for this season. Wotherspoon (NHL 2-way) and Schmelzer (2-Yr AHL) earned 2 yr contracts off their play last season.It’s tough because the AHL is the development league that players seem to despise. The Kravtsov issues began when he didn’t want to play in Hartford, I don’t think Grits will want to play for Utica. You basically need to find tweeners that will sign for high dollar AHL two way deals. I think the Leafs do this specifically so the Marlies will be a good place for prospects to develop.
Deleo/Greer (1-2 in team scoring), Gauthier (#2/3 center, top PK man, and the face-off center), Flynn (C/RW didn't meet his qualifications due mainly to injury, but age caught up with him) were brought in to score goals and skate with the best kids to aid them in finding their pro footing as scorers and model the pro game for them.
All of them were brought in for their leadership qualities and that they did in spades.
Schmelzer was the team captain and he wears the C again. He is a bottom 6 center. Currently he is carrying the load as the #2 center as he was required to do last year when Schnarr was traded and Gauthier went down with a season ending injury. He put out a yeoman's effort last season and is doing so again, but his numbers did not and do not reflect those of a top center. His leadership qualities speak for themselves. That's why he wears the C.
Gambardella is a prototypical hard forechecking, backchecking, workhorse forward. He put up 31 Pts/65GP last season. He playe the 1st 2 games this season and then missed the next 9 with a medical issue. He has played the last 5 and recorded 2 assists. His presence on the ice has been noticeable.
Wotherspoon and Russo are doing what they are being paid for, anchoring a very strong young defense. All of the other 4 regulars are on ELCs, 1 is a rookie., and 3 of them will still be on ELCs next year They are playing in front of 2 ELC goalies, who will still be on ELCs next year. As I have already posted the Comets have yielded 46 goals, 5th best in the AHL. The back end is more than just doing their job.
UP front the scoring from last season is gone. Deleo, Greer, Gauthier, Zetterlund, and Holtz rolled up 243 points with 101 goals. Flynn chipped in 26 more points, but importantly 13 more goals. The team in total scored 246 goals, good for #4 in the AHL. At the moment this year's team is dead last in the AHL in goals scored.
Looking at this year's group the only forward brought in and being paid the big bucks to fill in for the scoring loss is Brian Pinho, $325K. He leads the team in goals with 8 which projects to 40 based on the # of games he's played.
Jack Dugan is a newbie being paid $125K. God knows for what! He has 2 goals and at the current pace projects to score 1O which matches his AHL career best.
That is it for the newcomers the Devils management group acquired to replace Deleo, Greer, Gauthier, and Flynn.
The new prospects up front totals 1, Brian Halonen. He currently has 3 goals which projects to 14.
The returning prospects I guess are supposed to pick up where Holtz and Zetterlund left off.
- Holtz #1 in goals 26, and #3 in Pts 51
- Zetterlund #2 in goals 24 and #2 in points 52
We'll count 3 returning prospects
- Foote
last season 14G/32Pts 55 GP
this season 6G/10Pts 16 GP > projection 27G/45Pts 72 GP This projection says Foote would double his goal total and surpass Holt's 26 by 1.
- Thompson
last season 6G/15Pts 16 GP
this season 3G/7Pts 12 GP > projection 17G/40Pts 68 GP(this number will be 4 times the number of pro games he's played in a single season and 5 times the number he played last year. Cross your fingers.
- Clarke
last season 10G/24Pts 52GP
this season 3G/8Pts 15GP > projection 14G/38Pts 71 GP
If the last 2 combine for their projected total of 31, it would surpass Z by 7. I'd be ecstatic for them if it were to happen. However, that means that Foote, Thompson, Clarke, Pinho (40 seems way over the top, but.....), Dugan, and Halonen would score a combined 125 goals.
To match last season's 246 goals the rest of the team would have to score 121 more. As of the moment the entire rest of the team including Johnsson and Holtz has amassed 16. Projected over 75 games (they only play 72) would be 80.
All of the projections are based upon players playing the # of games the rest of the season based on their current #/played over a 72 game schedule. most of these guys will not play a full 72 game season. Many won't get much past 50. Their number scored by projection will decrease not increase.
The top scorers for Utica last season played 55, 58, 53, and 52 games. For any of those projected to hit big numbers this season, they are going to have to stay healthy for the majority of games. Their projections are based upon that. Call me a pessimist, but I don't see many approaching the projections made off the small sample of GP thus far. Also, if the wrong guys get injured for any length of time or NJ has to call more of the best up, those numbers will fall even more. Too many guys left the roster and the top acquistions were simply not even closely replaced, let alone the lost prospects, who you hope will advance and therefore plan for it.