Saturday, 11/19/22
Rochester Americans @ Utica Comets
Final Score -
Rochester 3 Utica 2
Forwards:
25 Foote/28 Pinho/12 Thompson
15 Gambardella/21 Stevens/10 Dugan
79 Laberge/91 Hutchison/24 Halonen
11 Johnsson/26 Schmelzer/90 Senyshen
D-Pairs:
82 Okhotiuk/5 Russo
23 Wotherspoon/7 Nemec
2 Vukojevic/22 Walsh
Goal - 50 Daws
Scratches (all healthy):
CLARKE
Talvitie
Groleau
Blujus
Geertsen (2nd of a 6-game suspension)
Pinho (8) from Foote (4) and Johnsson (9)
Hutchison (2) from Halonen (4) and Laberge (2)
That lineup is the best the Comets can ice player wise. The exception may be adding Clarke back into the fray. He was a healthy scratch and probably for good reason, 12 GP 1G/4A 5Pts.
He has played most games with a good opposite winger (Gambardella-Centered by Stevens, Johnsson [3] with Stevens and Thompson for 2. He managed 1 point.
Then all of a sudden he was with Laberge and Schmelzer, but he recorded 2 points.
Next game he was only with Schmelaer on a broken line with the Comets skating 11 forwards.
Then he found himself on the 4th line with Laberge centered by Talvitie.
Then sunk another level with Geersten and Stevens for 2 games.
Then he was put on lines with better mates Foote for 2, Johnsson for 1, and Gambardella for 1. The result was still the same, 0 points.
His passing has become poor. He flubs passes to him. He is often out of position and commits horrible turnovers. He just seems out of sorts. He got scratched.
Now, this description could be used to describe almost every forward on the Comets. Those less guilty would only be Schmelzer and Johnsson. You can see the lineup above. It is not a good AHL lineup as far as forwards are concerned. With the exception of the 8-3 drubbing by Syracuse which was 8-1 after 2 periods and the Crunch let up on the gas for the 3rd, the Comets have been in low scoring games because the D and the keepers (discount the 2 Poulter played (he wasn't all bad in his first start either) are AHL quality or better.
The Devils' forward prospects still on the farm don't look anything like NHL prospects. Even when Dineen has put them together, the results have been meh.
Just as simple examples:
- Johnsson has played 9 games and has 11 points and it hasn't seemed to matter who he skates with, points still come.
- Pinho was acquired to help the team with scoring. He is supposed to be the missing #1 center. He has 11 points in 11 GP. 8 of those points are goals. A #1 center with only 3 assists when his wings have mostly been the best the team has to offer in Thompson, Foote, Johnsson, and Senyshen (Dineen's effort to reconstruct Senyshen, which seems to have been determined a lost cause before NJ ever gave him a chance).
The best wings results:
- Johnsson - 11 GP 2G/9A/ 11Pts 1.38 PPG
- Foote - 13 GP 5G/4A/ 9Pts 0.69 PPG
- Thompson - 9 GP 3G/3A 6Pts 0.67 PPG
- Senyshen (AHL contract) - 13 GP 2G/2A/ 4Pts 0.31 PPG
The rest of the NJ contracts:
- Pinho - 11 GP 8G/3A 11Pts 1.00 PPG
- Dugan - 13 GP 2G(1EN)/4A 6Pts .46 PPG
- Halonen - 13 GP 3G/4A/ 7Pts 0.54 PPG
- Clarke - 12 GP 1G/4A/ 5Pts 0.42 PPG
- Talvitie - 11 GP 0G/2A/ 2Pts 0.18 PPG
- Geersten - 11 GP 0G/1A/ 1PT 0.09 PPG
- Gambardella - 4 GP 0G/0A/ 0Pts 0.00 PPG (Played the 1st 2 games. Was out with a medical issue until this weekend. Played these 2 games like he was carrying 25 pounds of rust. He will improve.
Let's look at last year's players who are no longer here.
- Deleo (C) (A LW who played center for a major portion of the season) - 55 GP 21G/35A 56Pts 1.02 PPG More assists than goals like most centers.
- Zetterlund - 58 GP 24G/28A 52Pts .90 PPG
- Greer - 53 GP 22G/30A 52Pts .98 PPG
- Holtz - 52 GP 26G/25A 51Pts .98 PPG
- Gauthier (C) - 51 GP 8G/24A 32Pts .63PPG look at his assists compared to goals. That's what a #3C's numbers should reflect. Add in his +17 on the checking line and this guy was right on the mark.
- Schnarr (C) - 43 GP 13G/13A 26 Pts .60 PPG Then traded.
- Studenic - 13 GP 5G/5A 10 Pts .77 PPG before being claimed off waivers.
What did NJ do to replace the core of the Comets? Let's compare. look mat the stats above
Deleo vs Pinho Maybe in points.
Greer vs Senyshen? No! No. Johnsson is expected to pick up a lot of those points, but he has been a playmaker much more than a goal scorer which is sorely needed.
Holtz vs Dugan? HA HA HA
Zetterlund vs Halonen? NOT a chance.
Gauthier vs Stevens? Not even worth a conversation.
Schnarr vs Hutchinson? Same quote as the last.
Studenic vs Geersten? Not applicable.
Obviously they expected returning prospects to improve off last season combined with a couple new acquisitions to make the above replacements.
Deleo (LW/C) vs Pinho (RW/C) He is puttting up points at the same rate, but is not helping his linemates also put up points which Deleo did on a nightly basis.
Greer (LW) vs Foote - It's not even a contest. Also the leadership qualities Greer brought to the table are absent completely from this season's roster. He tends to be selfish with the puck. Schmelzer is the best leader, but he is no Greer or Deleo.
Holtz RW vs Thompson (RW) - Thompson hasn't shown himself to be the prolific goal scorer/playmaker Holtz was. In his short stint with the Comets last season, Thompson benefited from having a couple or at least one of Deleo, Holtz, Zetterlund, and Greer on the ice when he racked up his points.. He is struggling without them having to go it alone more often than not.
Zetterlund (RW) vs Johnsson(RW?LW) - Johnsson is expected to pick up a lot of those points, but he has been a playmaker much more than a goal scorer which is sorely needed. The Comets also can't count on him to be here for the season. The way the prospects are playing, he's still the best choice for any forward callups except centers. There isn't one center here that can help NJ. They will have to help themselves if replacements are needed at center and fill in the spot they vacated with replacement wings.
Gauthier vs Schmelzer - Schmelzer is nowhere near Gauthier in the faceoff dot. He is the top PK center like Gauthier was. He is a good defensive center and would be good on the checking line, but due to the center weakness this team suffers, he is playing in the #2 slot way too much and he is often left treading water there rather than excelling.
Schnarr vs Stevens/Hutchinson - Neither Stevens nor Hutchinson could carry Nate's equipment bag off the bus for him. They are bottom line centers and are way over their heads trying to play any higher in the lineup.
Studenic vs Senyshen/Clarke - All we would be asking for here is a hard skating, board battling, hard forechecking forward who knows where the net is and isn't afraid to go there as often as possible every game. Neither of these guys fits that bill.
The only ones even coming close in the above comparisons are Schmelzer (#3C, but more often the #2C, which is not good) and Pinho (point wise), but not setting up his mates.
Much of this roster is filler material for any good AHL team, not every game players. Who do I mean?
Hutchison - Has been and always should be an ECHL/AHL tweener. He has been a 2/3 line center with the Comets.
Stevens - This guy should never see duty above the 3rd line.
Talvitie - Aarne is what he is, a 4th line center.
Geersten - The Goon does absolutely nothing every shift. When it ends he glares at somebody who may have been a little out of line, gets into someones face, pushes and shoves guys while he and they are on the way to their benches, yaps at guys, yaps at their bench, but makes no actual hockey contributions that his line might benefit from during the entire shift.
Senyshen - He has flashes, but not enough to fill a top 6 position on a regular basis.
Dugan - He's in the same boat as Senyshen at the moment. Very unimpressive.
To put it bluntly there are no players on this team the quality of Holtz, Zetterlund, Deleo, Greer, Gauthier. The best they have are below the talent level of these 5 in their specific roles. The best they have are struggling to put pucks in the net on a nightly basis and that's not just my opinion. The Comets are dead last in the AHL in goals scored with 33. They rank tied for 6th in goals against with 39. If they could score at an AHL average level of 48 they would be in much better shape Especially when you consider that of their 6 losses 3 have been by a single goal, 2 by 2 goals, and 2 more were 1 OT loss and another a SO loss that went 11 rounds in which they only scored 1 goal. Thus those last 2 losses were also by 1 goal. 8 total losses 5 by a single goal and 2 by 2 goals (1 of which that 2nd of the 2 goal margin was into an empty net. Only in the 8-3 loss to Syracuse were they out of the game.
Their PP is 29th in the league having scored 9 goals on their 46 opportunities. 1 better than IOWA and San Jose behind them with 8 and Chicago on the bottom with 7.
Their PK is ranked #21 percentage wise at 75.7%. They have only surrendered 9 goals, but have only been shorthanded 37 times which is 2nd in the league. So, they don't take a lot of penalties, but give up goals more often than they should.
The failure of NJ to provide their farm with 2 AHL level centers and a couple extra proven scorers has left this team with very little chance of being better than a bubble team and currently that possibility looks slim.
That's the last comparison to last season I will make the rest of the season. The proof is currently in the pudding. If this team should make some miracle run and end up in much better shape than today without significant changes in the lineup, I will roast the crow.