Speculation: 2022-23 Sharks Roster Discussion Part II

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obviously we have to see how well they do in the preseason, but as of right now I'd say Eklund has a >90% chance of making the NHL roster. Borderleau at between 45 and 55 percent.

holding your top prospects back a year in lieu of hoping for better draft position is absurd.
 
If you start Eklund in the AHL there’s no reason to call him up to the NHL at all unless they’re miraculously competing.
I think you get him his 9 games regardless this year. He's eligible to slide his ELC another year so I would agree that unless he blows the doors off you keep him with the Cuda to dominate the AHL this year before bringing him up next year where there's more support from veterans that know the system and style expected of them under a new coach and GM.
 
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I think you get him his 9 games regardless this year. He's eligible to slide his ELC another year so I would agree that unless he blows the doors off you keep him with the Cuda to dominate the AHL this year before bringing him up next year where there's more support from veterans that know the system and style expected of them under a new coach and GM.
Sliding it one more year is also taking a huge risk. Less risks for using up his 1st year then we get him longer at a lower price.
 
You don't see the value in him getting experience at a higher level?
At the expense of starting his contract early, no. If you're starting him at the AHL level, you're already saying he needs time to develop so keep him there and let him work on that instead of worrying about NHL responsibilities on a losing team. Sure, give him his nine games at some point but I see more value in picking one or the other and keeping him there to figure certain things out.
I think you get him his 9 games regardless this year. He's eligible to slide his ELC another year so I would agree that unless he blows the doors off you keep him with the Cuda to dominate the AHL this year before bringing him up next year where there's more support from veterans that know the system and style expected of them under a new coach and GM.
The premise for my statement is that they don't think he's ready for a nine game NHL audition that typically happens to start the season. If they don't feel like he's earned that, you might as well defer the start of the contract and let him play the whole season there. Maybe late in the season you can pick out some games where the other team really needs the points and you can get him some experience in playoff-like games but that doesn't seem an option used at all for these sorts of situations. If the Sharks need a call-up down the road, it should be the vets they recently brought in like Suess, Agozzino, and Veronneau. Maybe Weatherby since he has experience playing lower lines in the NHL but I wouldn't want to bring up the kids to fill depth spots in injury situations.

Sliding it one more year is also taking a huge risk. Less risks for using up his 1st year then we get him longer at a lower price.
I think the difference in risk as it relates to sliding it or not is pretty negligible.
 
At the expense of starting his contract early, no. If you're starting him at the AHL level, you're already saying he needs time to develop so keep him there and let him work on that instead of worrying about NHL responsibilities on a losing team. Sure, give him his nine games at some point but I see more value in picking one or the other and keeping him there to figure certain things out.

The premise for my statement is that they don't think he's ready for a nine game NHL audition that typically happens to start the season. If they don't feel like he's earned that, you might as well defer the start of the contract and let him play the whole season there. Maybe late in the season you can pick out some games where the other team really needs the points and you can get him some experience in playoff-like games but that doesn't seem an option used at all for these sorts of situations. If the Sharks need a call-up down the road, it should be the vets they recently brought in like Suess, Agozzino, and Veronneau. Maybe Weatherby since he has experience playing lower lines in the NHL but I wouldn't want to bring up the kids to fill depth spots in injury situations.


I think the difference in risk as it relates to sliding it or not is pretty negligible.
So if he breaks out in the final year and the sharks are still not contenders, then you now need to probably sign him for 8 years at 7/8 mil a year.

But using up his elc for the growing pains, in 3 years you now sign him for 3 years at 3 or less per season.

You are getting more years at a lower salary. Most of us do not expect the sharks to contend in the next 3 years anyways, so lowering the risks of adding massive salary is always the way to go.
 
Keeping him in the AHL if he is producing and dominating to slide his ELC another years is absolutely ridiculous and a good way to ensure you have a young player that will demand a trade and head back to Europe until you do.

At a certain point, players need to develop in the NHL too, and I’m not convinced he isn’t at that stage where NHL is a better place for him to develop.
 
So if he breaks out in the final year and the sharks are still not contenders, then you now need to probably sign him for 8 years at 7/8 mil a year.

But using up his elc for the growing pains, in 3 years you now sign him for 3 years at 3 or less per season.

You are getting more years at a lower salary. Most of us do not expect the sharks to contend in the next 3 years anyways, so lowering the risks of adding massive salary is always the way to go.
The final year breakout into an 8 year deal is the least risky proposition though because it gives you low buyout options early on and if it works out, you've signed him through his prime years. The bridge contract scenario puts you in a position where you have to sign a 25 or 26 year old to the same sort of contract as the breakout and eat more downside years.

Keeping him in the AHL if he is producing and dominating to slide his ELC another years is absolutely ridiculous and a good way to ensure you have a young player that will demand a trade and head back to Europe until you do.

At a certain point, players need to develop in the NHL too, and I’m not convinced he isn’t at that stage where NHL is a better place for him to develop.
I think this sort of situation is making mountains out of mole hills. It's one year. Where he plays beyond that is going to be up to him and how well he plays. Nobody takes their ball and goes home over the slide.
 
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Any chance Jumbo is gonna sign with the Sharks ? He would be the last Gen X and 1970s birth to play in the NHL if he does. Chara just retired.
Would be cool to see him keep playing another year as the last of the last of Gen X in the NHL.
 
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Any chance Jumbo is gonna sign with the Sharks ? He would be the last Gen X and 1970s birth to play in the NHL if he does. Chara just retired.
Would be cool to see him keep playing another year as the last of the last of Gen X in the NHL.
I can't see it - the Sharks have already brought in a bunch of veterans to fill up the bottom six, and Thornton has almost certainly aged out of being a viable NHL forward. He wouldn't be among the Sharks twelve best forwards - he might not be among their fifteen best forwards.
 
Just sign him to the AHL and have a blast
This I could see (I don't expect it, but I think it would be a hypothetically viable option) - veteran player keeps in shape and around the team, gets some games in, and you reevaluate toward the middle of the season whether to bring the veteran up, sign and trade, let him be signed by someone else, etc, to allow him to chase a cup. He serves as a mentor/playing coach for younger players as well.
 
Keeping him in the AHL if he is producing and dominating to slide his ELC another years is absolutely ridiculous and a good way to ensure you have a young player that will demand a trade and head back to Europe until you do.

At a certain point, players need to develop in the NHL too, and I’m not convinced he isn’t at that stage where NHL is a better place for him to develop.
That was such an issue when Colorado did that to Rantanen the year he put up 60 points in 52 AHL games. Shame he's in Europe and mad at the Avalanche for not trading him.
 
So if he breaks out in the final year and the sharks are still not contenders, then you now need to probably sign him for 8 years at 7/8 mil a year.

But using up his elc for the growing pains, in 3 years you now sign him for 3 years at 3 or less per season.

You are getting more years at a lower salary. Most of us do not expect the sharks to contend in the next 3 years anyways, so lowering the risks of adding massive salary is always the way to go.
That's not the way the league works anymore. Players are not rewarded for taking 3 year bridge deals and thus don't take them usually if they have any sort of pedigree. If we're at a point in 4 seasons where he deserves a big contract, sign him the hell up to a max term deal like every other team in the league is doing with their young players. I'd rather have him for 8 years in his age 24 through 31 seasons than for 8 years in his age 26-33 seasons.

If you slide his deal another year, you're left with the first year of his new deal being the last years of Karlsson/Couture and then a fresh slate with 3 years of Hertl plus Timo as the only other large contracts on the book along with being at a point in time where the cap should be back to larger annual increases.
 
That's not the way the league works anymore. Players are not rewarded for taking 3 year bridge deals and thus don't take them usually if they have any sort of pedigree. If we're at a point in 4 seasons where he deserves a big contract, sign him the hell up to a max term deal like every other team in the league is doing with their young players. I'd rather have him for 8 years in his age 24 through 31 seasons than for 8 years in his age 26-33 seasons.

If you slide his deal another year, you're left with the first year of his new deal being the last years of Karlsson/Couture and then a fresh slate with 3 years of Hertl plus Timo as the only other large contracts on the book along with being at a point in time where the cap should be back to larger annual increases.
amen
 
That's not the way the league works anymore. Players are not rewarded for taking 3 year bridge deals and thus don't take them usually if they have any sort of pedigree. If we're at a point in 4 seasons where he deserves a big contract, sign him the hell up to a max term deal like every other team in the league is doing with their young players. I'd rather have him for 8 years in his age 24 through 31 seasons than for 8 years in his age 26-33 seasons.

If you slide his deal another year, you're left with the first year of his new deal being the last years of Karlsson/Couture and then a fresh slate with 3 years of Hertl plus Timo as the only other large contracts on the book along with being at a point in time where the cap should be back to larger annual increases.
So you want to, repeat the same mistake that happened with meier. Sharks do not slide his contract, and we get to sign him cheap after a 30 point season, but instead the sharks gave him that one extra year of development and was able to sign his current contract and had the leverage to not only up his contract from 900k to 6 mil but also to have his qualifying offer be 10 million.

Yall are living in the past where contracts past 30 years old were bad because the player falls off the cliff. But every year more and more players are continuing to be dominant way past there 30's and closer to there 40's.
A
 
So you want to, repeat the same mistake that happened with meier. Sharks do not slide his contract, and we get to sign him cheap after a 30 point season, but instead the sharks gave him that one extra year of development and was able to sign his current contract and had the leverage to not only up his contract from 900k to 6 mil but also to have his qualifying offer be 10 million.

Yall are living in the past where contracts past 30 years old were bad because the player falls off the cliff. But every year more and more players are continuing to be dominant way past there 30's and closer to there 40's.
A
Who exactly has been dominant who is close to 40 years old?

Active players over 35 who scored more than 20pts last season (age as of Jul 1) source CapFriendly

Ovechkin 36 years old 90pts (16th)
Bergeron 36 years old 65pts (65th)
Burns 37 years old 54pts (107th)
Carter 37 years old 45pts (154th)
Giordono 38 years old 35pts (229th)
Parise 37 years old 35pts (232nd)
Suter 37 years old 32pts (255th)
Goligoski 36 years old 30pts (279th)

The only 2 on the list who could maybe be said to dominate are Ovi and Bergeron. All the others have been basically given away by their teams. So signing a guy to a contract that goes past 35 for any cap hit is going to look really bad unless they are a multi Selke winning forward or possibly the greatest goal scorer of all time. Even Burns won a Norris so he could be given a pass but I don't think anyone would say he dominated.
 
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Who exactly has been dominant who is close to 40 years old?

Active players over 35 who scored more than 20pts last season (age as of Jul 1) source CapFriendly

Ovechkin 36 years old 90pts (16th)
Bergeron 36 years old 65pts (65th)
Burns 37 years old 54pts (107th)
Carter 37 years old 45pts (154th)
Giordono 38 years old 35pts (229th)
Parise 37 years old 35pts (232nd)
Suter 37 years old 32pts (255th)
Goligoski 36 years old 30pts (279th)

The only 2 on the list who could maybe be said to dominate are Ovi and Bergeron. All the others have been basically given away by their teams. So signing a guy to a contract that goes past 35 for any cap hit is going to look really bad unless they are a multi Selke winning forward or possibly the greatest goal scorer of all time. Even Burns won a Norris so he could be given a pass but I don't think anyone would say he dominated.
Crosby. Wheeler. Kessel. Pavelski, thornton did until he hit 40. And there are plenty more that have 40/50 points over the age of 35.

But then again people are worried about signing someone until they are 32/33 because some 40 year old average that after the age of 30 the play falls off to the point they are useless. Which is not the case any more.

And i would rather follow the winners way of doing contracts like tampa. If they allowed kucherovs rookie contract 1 more year to slide they would of been signing a 80 point center compared to the 3 year 4.7 mil contract they signed him at after a 66 point season.

Worked also for colorado by locking mackinnon up before he broke out. Little different, but still in line with what i am saying, less money now and pay them later.

But lets just slide it one more year so we can sign him right away to the big contract right after elc. Its worked so well for toronto.
 
Jesus christ you are really quick to write off any prospect.

As someone pointed out - Meier had 14G 9A 23 points in 33 AHL games. Same season he has 3G 3A and 6P in 34 NHL games.

Thankfully, they didn't give up on him being a future first liner.
To be fair, Meier is notoriously inconsistent and has been in the NHL as well. For him it's all about effort and drive...that's why I'm hesitant to proclaim that he's a first liner. If he puts up a couple more seasons like last year, then he's a first liner.

Regarding Eklund, he has plenty of things to work on in the AHL and it wouldn't be the worst thing in the world for him to be with the Cuda for the year. He got overwhelmed pretty fast early last season and his production in Sweden left a lot to be desired. I wouldn't rush him to the NHL again even if he gets off to a hot start with the Cuda. The Sharks are going absolutely nowhere this season, so I'd want to see a consistently good AHL season from Eklund before he gets promoted. It'll be good for his development, and it's all about that right now given where the Sharks are at in terms of rebuilding.
 
That was such an issue when Colorado did that to Rantanen the year he put up 60 points in 52 AHL games. Shame he's in Europe and mad at the Avalanche for not trading him.
From all reports Eklund was pretty frustrated about being sent back last season. How do you think he’d feel if they held him back again just to slide his contract.

Rantanen played one season in the AHL the same year he got his 9 NHL games. He was in the NHL the next season - his ELC was pushed back one season.

To be fair, Meier is notoriously inconsistent and has been in the NHL as well. For him it's all about effort and drive...that's why I'm hesitant to proclaim that he's a first liner. If he puts up a couple more seasons like last year, then he's a first liner.

Regarding Eklund, he has plenty of things to work on in the AHL and it wouldn't be the worst thing in the world for him to be with the Cuda for the year. He got overwhelmed pretty fast early last season and his production in Sweden left a lot to be desired. I wouldn't rush him to the NHL again even if he gets off to a hot start with the Cuda. The Sharks are going absolutely nowhere this season, so I'd want to see a consistently good AHL season from Eklund before he gets promoted. It'll be good for his development, and it's all about that right now given where the Sharks are at in terms of rebuilding.
Eklund was not put into a position to succeed in Sweden. Not only was he on a horrible team, he wasn’t put in an offensive position. He was 3rd line with no real scorers on his lines. He can drive play, but without people to capitalise it’s going to impact production.
 
I don’t buy that the best development path for every player is a extended run in the AHL. We know from experience that it’s not. Some of the best players in the NHL spent little or no time in the AHL. Players need to be challenged and they need time when they are not in over their heads to work on things they need to improve. Some rookies are challenged just playing in the AHL. Some rookies step right into the NHL and aren’t in over their heads. Many rookies need to move back and forth between leagues.

Pre-determining where the player should spend the season and blanket statements about the best development path for all players don’t really make sense to me. Let Eklund, and every other player, show the coaches by their play on the ice where they belong.
 
I don’t buy that the best development path for every player is a extended run in the AHL. We know from experience that it’s not. Some of the best players in the NHL spent little or no time in the AHL. Players need to be challenged and they need time when they are not in over their heads to work on things they need to improve. Some rookies are challenged just playing in the AHL. Some rookies step right into the NHL and aren’t in over their heads. Many rookies need to move back and forth between leagues.

Pre-determining where the player should spend the season and blanket statements about the best development path for all players don’t really make sense to me. Let Eklund, and every other player, show the coaches by their play on the ice where they belong.
I agree with the theory here about being challenged, but if i may hi-jack this to ask follow up adjacent:

What's the AHL like these days? Is it still packed with goons or did Covid reshuffle the deck? Is it a bruising gauntlet or a development league now?

With that in mind, if the AHL is just a less-good version of the NHL, shouldn't isn't the best course for all rookies to let them dictate their spot based on their play? confining a player to games where they aren't challenged just because you want to save a year on his contract seems counterintuitive, no?
 
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