I don't get the feeling that people are down on Newy maybe except for a couple of posters. He is brought up a lot in trade proposals around here mainly because he is a good option to get a 2C in order to have a better chance to win another cup next season. I don't think it is because people are down on him.
Ya pretty much... Plus, if he's a Winger not a Center, where does he fit in the lineup long term exactly?
We already have 5 wingers signed for the foreseeable future as is. Landy is here for 7 more years, Nuke for 8 more years, and Lehky for 5 more years. Mikko 3 years(And possibly 8 more after that), and then you've got LOC for 3 years as well.
He's above LOC on the depth charts obviously, but the other 4 guys are all ahead of him at this point, and realistically IMO the only guy he maybe jumps ahead of is Lehkonen if his offensive numbers drop back down to his career levels with us next year. If they dont, and he continues to be a 20-25G, 45-50 point player for us... With his two-way game, Newhook will have a hard time jumping over him as well.
So at that point all 4 Top 6 wingers are here for at least 3 more years. Are we really going to start paying Newhook 4-5M, or potentially even 6M+ to be a 3rd line winger for us? I dont think so, not when with almost $30M invested in wingers already going forward.
IMO this should be the make or break year for Newy with us. Give him a true, extended opportunity at Center with some quality wingers and see if he breaks out in that spot. If you give him 20 games for example at 2C with Rantanen and Lehkonen, and he puts up 15-20 points and
looks good in the role, then fine maybe you really do have the internal solution to the 2C spot, and especially if he can carry that over to a full season at 2C and he puts up 55-60 points, at that point maybe we dont even need to trade for a 2C. Perhaps giving him ~6M on a 5-6 year deal is our 2C solution.
But if you give him that opportunity and he looks uncomfortable or not as effective as on the wing or whatever, at that point I think he's quality trade bait for the 2C solution. Though even then he's trade bait for a 1, maybe 2 year solution like a JT Miller or PLD or whoever... But I dont think he has enough value to be a centerpiece for a long term 2C solution either.
That's also why I love the idea of bringing in Stastny in particular on a 1 year deal. He can play 2C, 3C, and he can play on the Wing if needed as well. So you have the option to move him and Newhook around during the season to try and figure out exactly what we've got with Newhook.
My opinion is Newhook will be a good, 55-60 point Winger in the NHL in his prime years, maybe a couple career years where he scores 30G and ~70+ points but in general a high end 2nd line winger sort. For the Avs with the guys we have signed in the last couple of years, that's just not a need for us anymore and so he becomes trade bait for a center.
I also think Olausson should be trade bait as well. For a lot of those same reasons, we dont need wingers for the next 3-4 years at minimum but we really need a Center. Whatever assets we have to use to get a 2C is what they should be trying to do. Everywhere else is pretty much locked in and good to go at that point. The one thing Olausson has going for him is still 3 years of only making 900k. If he pans out at the NHL level that could be a nice cheap 3rd line winger for us for a couple of years.
*Assuming they re-sign Mackinnon at least.