We have a better team at the start of this year than we did at the start of last year. I think we'll be okay.
That is highly debatable, Start of last year versus this year we have:
In:
Josh Manson
Arturri Lehkonen
Andrew Cogliano
Alex Georgiev
Out:
Nazem Kadri
Andre Burakovsky
Darcy Kuemper
Tyson Jost
Jack Johnson
Johnson to Manson is an upgrade. Jost to Cogliano is maybe a very slight upgrade(Overall they have very similar on ice impact, just in different areas). Kuemper to Georgiev is almost certainly a downgrade, possibly a significant one. Burakovsky to Lehkonen is probably a wash, what Lehky lacks in offense compared to Bura he makes up in two-way play, I will say this is an area where it could prove to be an upgrade overall if Lehky continues his 30 goal scoring pace he had with us last year.
But the biggest loss by far is Kadri, and we literally dont have a replacement for him right now. That's 3 Wins lost by not having him in the lineup and replaced by nobody. Even if we sign Stastny to replace him, this team is still worse then it was last season, when the season started.
Now the one thing I will say that this team has over last years IMO. It has less holes to start the year. Last year when the season started it felt like we were missing a Top 6 forward, 2nd or 3rd line Center, Top 4 RHD. We had a lot of unknowns last year regarding Nichushkin as a full time Top 6 forward, Kadri and how he would play(And whether he would be more of a 2C or a 3C for us) and we flat out didn't have a second Top 4 RHD. What made all that worse, was we had very little cap space to even start last year, and we had no 1st round pick thanks to the Kuemper trade.
This year, I think our lineup is worse then last year because we have no 2C at all... But overall I think we have less holes. We've got our Top 4 RHD in Manson, we know with JTC as a 3C he's solid enough to win a cup with(Plus Meyers will certainly get a look), we know Nuke and Lehky work just fine as Top 6 forwards. IMO we really only have 1 hole at the moment and while its a huge one, its also one you can work on all year and should be able to solve at the deadline using the 2023 1st as the base.