For a lot of different reasons, I think trading Sam Girard is the key to the Avs offseason. Use him as the foundation to acquire a 2nd line center and the Avs will have a lot better roster balance and will be well-positioned going forward in the future.
As great as he in the offensive zone and transitioning the puck out of the defensive zone, repeated playoffs show that he does not play like a top 4 defenceman in the playoffs in the defensive zone when the opposition has the puck. Does not want to take a hit when retrieving the puck, can not win board battles, can not clear the crease, can't dislodge the offensive player from the puck, does not block shots. Makar, Toews, Byram all are arguably in the same tier in the offensive zone and in transition and all are better in the defensive zone when the opponents have the puck. Having all 4 is also the reason why you can never play Jacob MacDonald in the playoffs with a fully healthy roster because there's no way Bednar would play 5 regular-to-smallish sized defencemen who excel in transition but leaving no room on the roster for the big bodies needed to play in the defensize zone and penalty kill. The fact that we also have Justin Barron waiting in the wings makes it even easier to let Girard go as he also excels in transition.
Moreover, the free agent class for 2022-2023 is absolutely loaded with the best class in recent memory and the Avs might be able to pick up a two-way defenceman/defensive defenceman in an in-season trade for a 1st rounder, prospect, + or simply sign them outright next offseason. The list includes Jones, Lindholm, Nurse, Pulock, Parayko, Ekholm, Rielly, Manson, Connor Murphy, and Ristolainen.
If they could trade Girard as the base for Couturier or a Hertl with adjustments as necessary, Avs roster can easily be filled out.
Landeskog-MacKinnon-Rantanen
Newhook-Hertl-Saad
Nichushkin-Kadri-Burakovsky
X-Jost-O'Connor
Kaut/Ranta/Bowers
Byram-Makar
Toews-Timmins
X - Johnson/McDonald
Grubauer
Francouz
Unload Graves, Compher, Donskoi. Sign Oleksiak or use a 1st rounder + prospects to get one of the impending stud free agent defencemen.
If needed, Burakovsky could also be moved in the package to get a big defencemen, and then sign a third liner at less than Burakovsky's 4.9 million salary who adds more grit e.g. Armia, Foligno, Coleman, Goodrow. If trying to get a gritty type on a cheap contract, would look at Nick Paul, Max Jones, and Lawson Crouse.