I agree with you. Pretty much every prospect gets hyped to some level about how they are going to make it and generally don't get buried until it is blatantly obvious that it isn't going to work. The more important the prospect, the more excuses will be made for a poor season. Doesn't mean that some of the excuses aren't valid but it also doesn't mean it wasn't a poor season.
We love Kaliyev and Fagemo's WJC but brush aside Turcotte's. The Kings first four picks from 2019 all met or exceeded expectations except for Turcotte: that's a fact. It doesn't mean he's a bust but I just don't like how everyone feels better about the other three guys because they kept developing but aren't worried about Turcotte seemingly because he is supposed to be our best prospect and was taken 5th overall.
Hickey was routinely in the Kings Top 5 prospect list. Yes, he was a reach and Turcotte wasn't but guys get a bump in their rankings/expectations simply based on where they were drafted even if there are red flags afterwards. There are some valid excuses for Turcotte's season but it should be somewhat concerning to all of us: he's a very important piece to the puzzle be it in a Kings sweater or as a trade asset ala Schenn.
That’s a swell point about expectations being tied to the draft spot.
We are fans. We want our whole top-6 to be point-per-game superstars. We want every 1st round pick to be perennially in the hunt for the Heart and Rocket.
But when you look at the guys feeding their kids cereal from the Stanley Cup each year ... it’s the 70-point 1C that plays that 200-foot game
O’Reilly, Backstrom, Toewes, Kopi ... for the most part steady 70-point guys with flashes of more every now and again.
Pens are the only oddity by virtue of winning the lottery of the century and getting a true generational center in Crosby.
So as a fan, I want Turcotte to be a 80-90 point guy cuz I’m a fan dammit.
But then I stop myself and realize that a Turcotte that brings a reliable 50-70 points over a decade will give us a better chance at a parade. Screw the draft spot, we need that play-driving center that carries the team forward, not some stat sheet.