Speculation: 2019-20 News/Rumors,Roster thread Post Deadline

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I won't lie, I love that movie! This is the only style of draft lottery the Kings have ever won. Back to the future baby!

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All right everyone, start prepping the voodoo rituals and ceremonial shrines to the hockey gods. Imagine how salty the main boards would be if we ended up with LaFreniere after they watched the NJ, NYC, and Chicago jump past everyone last year.

East coast would lose their shit and immediately forget the last few years of lottery shenanigans.

We'd be right back to "kings are unlikeable," "need Hollywood in the playoffs," etc
 
f*** off Toronto..



Interesting choice, not sure I understand it on his behalf, with Reilly, Muzzin, Sandin, Dermott...he either plays the wrong side or reduced minutes compared to his other choices. We don't need any cowards here anyway :sarcasm: :naughty:
 
Interesting choice, not sure I understand it on his behalf, with Reilly, Muzzin, Sandin, Dermott...he either plays the wrong side or reduced minutes compared to his other choices. We don't need any cowards here anyway :sarcasm: :naughty:
I watched some of what I could find on youtube of him and think this guys has a good chance to be pretty good. Wish we could have signed him.
 
How revised NHL draft odds would impact lottery teams - TSN.ca

Now, let’s re-do the math with just one ball being drawn for the top spot. How does that impact the likelihood of where a team may land? Well, let’s do the math one more time.

Los Angeles better represents the magnitude of the change. Because the Kings finished fourth, we see only three scenarios. The first is them winning the draft lottery and picking first overall, which has a 10 per cent chance of occurring. The second is one of Detroit, Ottawa, or San Jose winning the lottery and them holding in the fourth spot. There was only a three per cent chance of Los Angeles picking fourth two months ago. Now, there is a 62 per cent chance of them picking fourth. The last scenario – one in which Anaheim, New Jersey, Buffalo, or Montreal win the draft lottery – gives them a 29 per cent chance of sliding their pick to fifth.

yost2.png
 
If the Kings draft 4th or 5th, I'm all aboard the Lucas Raymond train. Only 3 scenarios. 1st, 4th or 5th. #1 would be the dream shot, but the Kings are going to get an excellent prospect regardless.

Oh and interesting that in THN Draft Preview that Byfield's "Best Case" development scenario is Kopitar. Man we got lucky with Kopi. Thanks Lumbus and others :laugh:. I watch that draft war room video from time to time. Good times!
 
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Please, please, please let us stay top-4. Nothing against any of the other prospects, but I really want one of Lafrenier/Stutzle/Byfield/Drysdale.

4th is really that tipping point, if OTT gets 1/3 or 2/3 and goes FWD and Drysdale, you get Stutzle or Byfield, if they take 2 FWDs, you take Drysdale, it's a no-brainer.
 
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It's refreshing to see him be as open and honest as he was about this mistake. Nash x Kopitar would've been pretty gnarly though.

Agreed. He owned it for sure. It's funny that Gilbert Brule became a footnote in Kings history during the Ryan Smythe exodus. Colin Fraser ended up being a solid 4th line center during that 2012 run, so it worked out for the best.
 
How revised NHL draft odds would impact lottery teams - TSN.ca

Now, let’s re-do the math with just one ball being drawn for the top spot. How does that impact the likelihood of where a team may land? Well, let’s do the math one more time.

Los Angeles better represents the magnitude of the change. Because the Kings finished fourth, we see only three scenarios. The first is them winning the draft lottery and picking first overall, which has a 10 per cent chance of occurring. The second is one of Detroit, Ottawa, or San Jose winning the lottery and them holding in the fourth spot. There was only a three per cent chance of Los Angeles picking fourth two months ago. Now, there is a 62 per cent chance of them picking fourth. The last scenario – one in which Anaheim, New Jersey, Buffalo, or Montreal win the draft lottery – gives them a 29 per cent chance of sliding their pick to fifth.

yost2.png
Your picture and Bob McKenzie's Tweet (posted by KopitarFan above) that only the worst 5 teams get a shot at #1 don't agree. Here's the version I see in the article:
yost-2.png

Most importantly, Detroit gets a great shot at #1 under this model.
 
4th is really that tipping point, if OTT gets 1/3 or 2/3 and goes FWD and Drysdale, you get Stutzle or Byfield, if they take 2 FWDs, you take Drysdale, it's a no-brainer.
There is another possibility, Ottawa may be willing to move down a bit with their 2nd pick if they don't have a clear cut choice at that spot or want to take Drysdale leaving a top forward on the board.
 
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