Okay, so to answer your question from last night. Keep in mind I'm not saying all of these players are bad, but considering their toolset, I am disappointed in how they developed/matured (nobody picked later than 2015):
- Toffoli (I know you already addressed this but I'm doing it for completion)
- Pearson (same)
- Michael Mersch (skating's one of the easiest tools to develop)
- Jonny Brodzinski (not as much power as Frk, but his release was phenomenal. There was a mental component to his game which was lacking)
- Mike Amadio. He's rather unique in this list, in that he is the kind of player I expected him to be, but certain offensive tools haven't been developed further.
- Jordan Weal was a victim of being in the Sutter system mostly, but he had potential to be a second line playmaker.
- Brandon Kozun was an energy winger in the same vein as Lizotte, but he played without structure
- Austin Wagner. I still have hope for him. I don't expect him to be a sniper, but I feel a lot of his offensive shortcomings are mentally related.
Toffoli and Pearson both, regardless of draft position, had skillsets and potential to be top line players.
The others just had some shortcomings, some which weren't fixed (skating) nor do they seem to have been identified or addressed (mental makeup).
Where I DO see the Kings lacking, as far as drafting, is picking up players with offensive creativity. And they don't get too many flashy players (Robbie Czarnik was probably the flashiest). But I certainly feel all the above forwards, though they have different issues, were good starting points.
And maybe that's the rub, as I'm writing this. The development staff has shown they do a good job preparing players to be pros, but many of them already have good character. The staff hasn't shown "this player was lacking in this skill, so we worked with him to improve it and make him a top-line player". With Imoo, we knew he was the goalie whisperer and could grow the mental aspect. Ranford lets the goalies keep their styles, but incorporates it so it works more efficiently within the confines of a system.
If you had several forwards, each lacking in ONE of these traits:
- passing
-shooting
-stick handling
-creativity
-awareness/vision
-mental toughness
All other attributes being equal, which one would you say "send that player to the development staff to work on them. They have a history of bringing the best of that trait out of a player."
As it stands, already mature players are being taught to grow up, and I don't think that's good enough.
Fair.
-Re: Toffoli, they
did work on his skating to get him to 'average' from 'bad'.
-Pearson, I guess I just disagree on his ceiling. I'm not sure his scouting report was anything but complementary winger, he could certainly play top line. Not sure much more they could have done there. 25-20-45 is a pretty good statline for a late first. If that's not enough he's on pace for 20g 60p this season. What else is there? If you spent a decade drafting Pearson at the end of the first round, you'd be in an excellent spot.
-Mersch--I suppose. He's had years and years to work on it and he's not doing much more in a different organization.
-Brodzinski--ehh. He never struck me as anything but a guy with good wheels and a shot, I guess that's a good start we could have molded more. Fair here. But again, doing next to nothing in another organization now too.
-Amadio--I think it's a little early to be jumping ship on him. He was a late bloomer in junior as well, where he just slowly picked up truckloads of momentum year to year. His skating is
noticeably better, even if his production this year isn't much better.
-Weal--I mean, he's spent more time out of the Kings org than in it. I think most of us agree that his blueline turnover that got him traded was premature.
-Kozun--I don't really have much to say here, the only real feedback we got was from that Futa(?) interview where he talked about a chip on a shoulder being negative rather than positive.
-Wagner--I'm definitely thinking he's ruined. Good one, frankly. But because he
didn't spend the appropriate time marinating and was pressed onto the NHL team instead of the opposite.
To me a lot of those guys--were mostly tweeners to begin with. AAAA players.
I'll agree wholeheartedly on Wagner. Good one. I'll split you Mersch and Brodzinski because I was never high on them anyway, but maybe development was why--skating is fixable so I'll give you Mike, brain isn't so I'll take Brodz. I'll grant Weal as well because I think he was a victim of the MOAR GRITZ Kings. I think it's too early for Amadio and if anything he's shown development pretty consistently. I just flat out disagree on Toffoli and Pearson, I think that's all they were going to be and we should be happy with their outcomes. And sorry but I'm not broken up at all about Kozun, that's a 6th round pick, maybe he's 'like' Lizotte, but a TON of players like Lizotte don't get to stick, and that's because Lizotte is the rarity of being a small waterbug guy who is also absolutely unstoppable at puck theft and corner work, Kozun went hard and god bless him for it, he had a lot of spunk, but he didn't have half the possession-recovery and ability of Blake.
I think a lot of what you're saying is fair, I'm trying to rethink this a bit, because like I said I agree with your conclusion. I just still don't think that's a lot of skill to work with. Toffoli and Pearson are the best of the bunch. Amadio is a 3rd rounder, so's Weal. Mersch is a 4th rounder, so's Wagner. Brodz, 5th. Kozun 6th. These are all 'flawed' draftees that certainly needed development but even getting NHLers at those spots is a victory.
However, I 100% agree on 'offensive creativity,' I think that's where the drafting
and development is lacking in both identifying and actually molding. And the boldfaced is where I agree with you most and where my criticism about a lack of vision as an org is an issue--what are we working towards here? What are we working on? I trust Glen Murray to teach shooting. I trust Emerson with skating. Who in the org is doing anything with stickhandling, creativity, vision? And until now with Kupari as an example, who have we drafted in the last decade that's really any sort of dangler? All those guys you listed are various shades of vanilla so teaching them to continue to play on rails is easy--but none of them (maybe Amadio at times? Kempe?) ever really took a step away from their 'lane' on the ice. So I guess maybe that's where I agree with you most WRT these players--I think it's one part bad draft position, one part drafting 'stereotypical Kings,' one part development being so vanilla. And that's what finally has me so worried about this crop, to ME this is the first real crop they've had to work with, I think they're all a step-up skillwise from the ones you've listed--maybe that's where my disagreement came from, I'm not sure, I'm trying to work through it haha.