2018 NHL Entry Draft Thread (Less then 24 Hours Edition)

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I know Hughes is a great skater, but it doesn't mean Boqvist isn't a great skater.

Is McDavid a better skater than Karlsson ? It's kinda the same way..


That didn't actually help convince me, but I do see your point... They are different. Still I give Hughes' the edge in skating hands down.
 
You forgot Yakupov and I think we expect the top 15 in each draft to play more than 60 games? Especially the picks up to the 2012 draft.

Lets look at the 2007 draft alone:
- Hamill (8), Ellerby (10), Plante (15) are for sure busts.
- Alzner, Sutter, Eller are decent NHL players but fringe disappointments. If Bouchard turned into Alzner, I think that team would be disappointed. If Hayton turned into Sutter or Eller, I think there is disappointment

We can't say the 2018 top 15 are NHL locks for sure and there won't be disappointments. They do look good today but 12 months from now, the story will change for a lot of prospects. How do you feel about Nolan Patrick today? It's not like he had a terrible season but 30 pts in 73 games? Would you trade the 3rd overall pick for him today?

I would have to go back and re-check. I chose 60 games because most of the players played 3x that amount. For sure, anyone pre-2010 I would expect to have quite a few games played before considered a bust.

I didn't forget Yakupov. I do think he's a bust when we consider what is expected from a #1 pick, but he is an NHLer and if we nit pick every player who underperformed or didn't meet expectations, we could be going on all day about each year. I did forget about Plante, so thanks for that. I did see him, but I guess I forgot to c/p his name in. Thus, I went with the simpler 60-game criteria.

Certain players I think just need more development time. In the case of Patrick, I think the jury is still out on him as he still needs development time. Would I trade our 3rd for him? Probably not as he isn't the type of player I would like to be the centerpiece of our team though my opinion isn't the Canadiens'. I could see them making that trade though I don't think that thought crossed their minds.

Anyhow, I think it isn't an unreasonable expectation that 2-3 of this year's top-15 picks won't work out. Hopefully it isn't ours.
 
I would trade the 3rd overall pick for Nolan Patrick personally. Stepping into the NHL after injury riddled seasons and getting 30 points in 73 games on the 3rd line for the most part isn't anything to be disappointed in.

Trading the 3rd overall pick for a 19 year old who has proven he handle NHL time at centre, be defensively responsible and has good size is a win for us IMO.
 
I would trade the 3rd overall pick for Nolan Patrick personally. Stepping into the NHL after injury riddled seasons and getting 30 points in 73 games on the 3rd line for the most part isn't anything to be disappointed in.

Trading the 3rd overall pick for a 19 year old who has proven he handle NHL time at centre, be defensively responsible and has good size is a win for us IMO.

Patrick has struggled since Junior hockey with being able to stay healthy. If he could stay healthy I like your proposal.
 
I would have to go back and re-check. I chose 60 games because most of the players played 3x that amount. For sure, anyone pre-2010 I would expect to have quite a few games played before considered a bust.

I didn't forget Yakupov. I do think he's a bust when we consider what is expected from a #1 pick, but he is an NHLer and if we nit pick every player who underperformed or didn't meet expectations, we could be going on all day about each year. I did forget about Plante, so thanks for that. I did see him, but I guess I forgot to c/p his name in. Thus, I went with the simpler 60-game criteria.

Certain players I think just need more development time. In the case of Patrick, I think the jury is still out on him as he still needs development time. Would I trade our 3rd for him? Probably not as he isn't the type of player I would like to be the centerpiece of our team though my opinion isn't the Canadiens'. I could see them making that trade though I don't think that thought crossed their minds.

Anyhow, I think it isn't an unreasonable expectation that 2-3 of this year's top-15 picks won't work out. Hopefully it isn't ours.

We got the 3rd pick. Zadina has scored in the Q, U20 World Juniors, and the Prospects game. He is a proven asset and he has produced in several leagues and tournaments which means something to me. This is why we should draft him at 3rd overall. Even if he is not a center. Kotkaniemi seems like a great target but he could end up being a middle 6 forward in the end. I like his upside and think he will be a top 6 forward but we have seen it so many times. Guys who fans drool about prior to draft and then the disappointment after they are drafted.

2018 top 15 looks solid but I won't be surprised to see a few guys disappoint. I won't be surprised to see them all become top of the line-up players too. We have talked about them all in detail on these boards. They all look good at this point. Some look better than others depending on what you value but the depth is there it appears.

How long will it take Nolan Patrick to show the potential people were talking about 12 months ago? Yes, I know it's early but I was not impressed with his game as a 18 year old. I was more impressed with Galchenyuk as a 18 year old to be honest. I am very curious to see what Patrick can do as a 19 and 20 year old.

I ask again... if the Flyers call and offer us Patrick for the 3rd overall pick. Would you do it?
 
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I would trade the 3rd overall pick for Nolan Patrick personally. Stepping into the NHL after injury riddled seasons and getting 30 points in 73 games on the 3rd line for the most part isn't anything to be disappointed in.

Trading the 3rd overall pick for a 19 year old who has proven he handle NHL time at centre, be defensively responsible and has good size is a win for us IMO.

Galchenyuk as a 18 year old:
- 27 pts in 48 games with 9 goals.
- 12 min of average ice time.
- 1 power play point

Patrick as a 18 year old:
- 30 pts in 73 games with 13 goals.
- 14 min of average ice time
- 8 power play points

MacKinnon as a 18 year old:
- 63 pts in 82 games with 24 goals.
- 17 min of average ice time
- 17 power play points

I think Zadina is the safer pick vs Patrick IMO. Zadina will be very good at goal scoring. What will Patrick be very good at? Can he show promise like PLD at age 19 or will he be injury prone? I was not too sure about Patrick prior to the draft and not sure about his potential 12 months after the draft. I rather the Habs keep Zadina.. he has scored at every league he has played including international tournaments. Heck, even Galchenyuk has had a better season than Patrick as a 18 year old. And look at what happened to Galchenyuk.

Make it easy. Draft Zadina and watch him score goals. Habs need this just as much as we need centers and PMD. Zadina is very creative and he finds ways to score everywhere he goes. There is no weakness to his game other than he won't be a physical player like Tkachuck would be.
 
Yes. Patrick is not at all impressive. I think Glass has much higher upside. Heck I’d even go for Suzuki before Patrick.

Patrick had 21 points in the final 30 games. He had a slow start but he finished strong. If he can stay healthy he will be a very good player, people are sleeping on him way too much.
 
Hughes is the best skater in the draft no doubt.
Yeah, sure, but thats kinda like saying "Zadina is the best shooter in the draft" and then going Zadina can shoot better than Svechnikov... Sure... But like... who cares... there's actual differences in both players play that actually matter.

I always thought "ranking" things was incredibly pointless. "Best skater" "Best shot" "Best playmaker"... Is this a strength, if so, is it great or good ? Fine, then who cares. Nobody is going to come here and tell me Boqvist is not an elite skater, thus, this whole debate was pointless.
 
Yeah, sure, but thats kinda like saying "Zadina is the best shooter in the draft" and then going Zadina can shoot better than Svechnikov... Sure... But like... who cares... there's actual differences in both players play that actually matter.

I always thought "ranking" things was incredibly pointless. "Best skater" "Best shot" "Best playmaker"... Is this a strength, if so, is it great or good ? Fine, then who cares. Nobody is going to come here and tell me Boqvist is not an elite skater, thus, this whole debate was pointless.

Both have different strengths, but if we are just talking about skating Hughes is number one, but Boqvist is no slouch either.
 
Patrick had 21 points in the final 30 games. He had a slow start but he finished strong. If he can stay healthy he will be a very good player, people are sleeping on him way too much.

I don’t like his skating. He’s a fine player but I don’t think he can be the guy. I wouldn’t trade the 3rd for him. And if he was so good, the Flyers wouldn’t entertain the offer either.
 
Just using 2007 as a start point, I looked for players with less than 60 games drafted in the top-15.

2007 - Zach Hamill (#8)
2008 - Nikita Filatov (#6), Kyle Beach (#11) and Colten Teubert (#13)
2009 - Scott Glennie (#8)
2010 - Dylan McIlrath (#10), Jack Campbell (#11), Brandon Gormley (#13)
2011 - Duncan Siemens (#11)
2012 - Griffin Reinhart (#4), Slater Koekkoek (#10)
2013 - Samuel Morin (#11), Ryan Pulock (#15)
2014 - Michael Dal Colle (#5), Julius Honka (#14)

I suppose we could look at 2015-2017, but it isn't really fair since most drafted would have still been in the junior leagues. However, for the sake of this discussion, since we are picking #3, here are top-3 draft picks who have yet to contribute regularly to their teams:

2015 - Dylan Strome (#3)
2016 - Everyone is a starter.
2017 - Miro Heiskanen, but he is only 18 now and he was just drafted.

So, keeping with 2007 to 2014, we could say there were 15 who couldn't make it to the show. During this period, all players drafted in the top-3 made it.

This of course means nothing for 2018, but it's statistically improbable all 15 this year will be NHLers. On the plus side, we are not picking #11... that came up 4 times in a seven year span.

Pulock has 84 games and played 68 last season. He will be long off this list in no time considering he was our best defenseman from January on.

Ryan Pulock Stats and News

If you get a chance to watch his shot you will enjoy it.

Now Reinhart is already a gigantic bust and I expect Dal Colle to have like a 200 game career which is still a bust.
 
I don’t think it’s good enough. Players will just clear a lane for the NHL goalie to see and he’ll be stopped. There’s no threat. I love the kid but it’s a big concern for me.

I mean Dobson won a couple of the fastest skater competitions at the CHL top prospects showcase, he’s 6’2 and has a much better shot. I’d feel better with him if they went with a defender.

You make it sound like that's easy... I can count the players on one hand that can beat a goalie with no screen so with that logic, they should just always leave an open lane for the goalie for every player? NHL players know that NHL goalies will stop 99.9% of those shots so they won't take the shot with no screen on the powerplay. The way I see it is he has such unbelievable edge work he will be able to create shooting lanes on his own, with traffic in front of the net. His shot is average but with his skating, he will be able to get a lot of pucks on net, similar to Keith (Not saying he's Keith loll)
 
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I don’t like his skating. He’s a fine player but I don’t think he can be the guy. I wouldn’t trade the 3rd for him. And if he was so good, the Flyers wouldn’t entertain the offer either.

They wouldn't. Just sayin this guy is criminally underrated.
 
So let me ask you if Timmims drafts Hughes will it hurt to see Zadina go?

Absolutely. My point was most likely that my coup de coeur this year was Hughes. Out of everybody this year. Including Dahlin. Not saying I would have picked Hughes before the normal 3...I wouldn't. See my list, Hughes is at 4. Still.....that's who I liked the most. But I sure as hell are able to see what the other players qualities are. Just that in a team that should go for more offense, and should be more dynamic, Hughes is just perfect. I know...shot strength has to happen. I believe it will. But this freakin franchise do not need complementary player no more. We need dynamic. We need pure skills. We need guys that drives the play. I believe Hughes is that type of guy. While I also love Zadina, my little concern, little, is that he falls more into an extraordinairy complementary top 6 guy. What that means is that he might STILL need a force to drive him. Will we have that? While I believe Hughes could be that force. So yeah....it will hurt to see some of those guys go. We should have done everything we could to get more 1st rounders this year.
 
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