Speculation: 2016 NHL Entry Draft Discussion (Part III)

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kylbaz

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Nov 14, 2015
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We have no idea where the Jets have Dubois on their board. Just because the Jets HFboard pegs a player in a certain spot doesn't mean that is who they would pick in that spot. And no one knows who ends up being the better player at the end of the day.

Willing to bet they have him pretty high. I bet they'd take him pretty early if they had the chance.
 

Grind

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Jan 25, 2012
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I don't think I'd have a total kineption if we took brown at like 7. I'd be very surprised but I could see why they'd gamble (not that I'd agree with it depending on who's available).

Numerically he's not actually a step off of the dmen (but the dmen numbers are far less reliable)


I generally don't go in for much outside the numbers but if brown has legit 1 c potential oh lordy... Even a 1b type at 6'6" it's just so rare.

His combination of size and scoring makes him a real wild card. He could be anything from Tom Wilson, to Nik Antropov, to Dustin Byuglien The Center Version.

As for Keller I'm still left humming and hawing. The issue is ehlerd and Connor are IMO comparable/better prospects and he doesn't have any of that "wild card" value, and is again, not a huge player.

I'd feel better about getting him knowing/thinking the teams before us "missed" him and I'm just not convinced that would be the case at 6-7, there's probably legitimately that many players in and around his wheel house.

I'm still hoping and praying a guy like PLD falls.

If your getting Keller outside the top 10 you're laughing. But at 6-7 I don't know if I believe he's actually plus value, more so par for the course.
 

KingBogo

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Nov 29, 2011
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Willing to bet they have him pretty high. I bet they'd take him pretty early if they had the chance.

No doubt they have him pretty high. Every team would. But thinking 5th or 6th seed is the difference is a big leap. McKeen's just put out their April rankings that had Laine ahead of Matthews and McLeod 3rd with PLD 7th. If you go around to the different team boards their is a pretty wide range of perceived top picks. This draft will surprise as they all do.

http://www.mckeenshockey.com/prospects-blog/mckeens-2016-top-30-nhl-draft-rankings-apr-2016/
 

CaptainChef

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Jan 5, 2014
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No doubt they have him pretty high. Every team would. But thinking 5th or 6th seed is the difference is a big leap. McKeen's just put out their April rankings that had Laine ahead of Matthews and McLeod 3rd with PLD 7th. If you go around to the different team boards their is a pretty wide range of perceived top picks. This draft will surprise as they all do.

http://www.mckeenshockey.com/prospects-blog/mckeens-2016-top-30-nhl-draft-rankings-apr-2016/

McKeen's is totally out to lunch. I'm betting that the Jets & several other teams have PLD 4th if not higher. I suppose its possible that somehow he lasts until 6th or even 7th, but that would be another steal in the neighborhood of the Ehlers-Connor steals.
 

JetsFan815

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Jan 16, 2012
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We have no idea where the Jets have Dubois on their board. Just because the Jets HFboard pegs a player in a certain spot doesn't mean that is who they would pick in that spot. And no one knows who ends up being the better player at the end of the day.

I very much doubt the Jets would pass on Dubios at 6 assuming the top ranked players are gone by then, why would they? Either way, if we are drafting 6th, I hope Dubois is gone by 4, watching him get taken at 5 would be very stinging

Really? The Jets, who had Trouba, Ehlers & Connor fall to them :shakehead

Ok well you got me on Ehlers and Connor :laugh: but I was thinking Domi and Konecny.
 

csk

Registered User
Nov 5, 2015
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Winnipeg, MB
I very much doubt the Jets would pass on Dubios at 6 assuming the top ranked players are gone by then, why would they? Either way, if we are drafting 6th, I hope Dubois is gone by 4, watching him get taken at 5 would be very stinging



Ok well you got me on Ehlers and Connor :laugh: but I was thinking Domi and Konecny.

Fair enough, Konecny would have been nice
 

JetsFan815

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Jan 16, 2012
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I don't think I'd have a total kineption if we took brown at like 7. I'd be very surprised but I could see why they'd gamble (not that I'd agree with it depending on who's available).

Numerically he's not actually a step off of the dmen (but the dmen numbers are far less reliable)


I generally don't go in for much outside the numbers but if brown has legit 1 c potential oh lordy... Even a 1b type at 6'6" it's just so rare.

His combination of size and scoring makes him a real wild card. He could be anything from Tom Wilson, to Nik Antropov, to Dustin Byuglien The Center Version.

As for Keller I'm still left humming and hawing. The issue is ehlerd and Connor are IMO comparable/better prospects and he doesn't have any of that "wild card" value, and is again, not a huge player.

I'd feel better about getting him knowing/thinking the teams before us "missed" him and I'm just not convinced that would be the case at 6-7, there's probably legitimately that many players in and around his wheel house.

I'm still hoping and praying a guy like PLD falls.

If your getting Keller outside the top 10 you're laughing. But at 6-7 I don't know if I believe he's actually plus value, more so par for the course.

I agree that Keller probably doesn't supplant Ehlers or Connor in terms of potential and electricity but if all the top forwards are gone, he seems to be a great prospect for the future, I mean between him, Nylander, McLoed or Jost would you take any of the other 3 over him. I have heard Giroux comparisons.

Logan Brown is very interesting indeed, there isn't that much between him and Nylander in primary point production and I certainly wouldn't rage if we drafted him in the top 10 either but I dunno, I feel about him the way you feel about Keller, if we were drafting 14th, that's the guy I'd be drooling over to fall to us.

I would be as happy as I was with Connor falling to us, if Dubois falls to us, I know praising him here is like preaching to the choir but wow those stats make me drool everytime I look at them and the kid is barely 17. I wonder if some teams have him over Pulj @ 3. But I am not going to get my hopes up about him falling.
 

Aavco Cup

"I can make you cry in this room"
Sep 5, 2013
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Really? The Jets, who had Trouba, Ehlers & Connor fall to them :shakehead

I was wondering the same thing. When exactly has something similar happened to the Jets on draft day? Perhaps Domi ahead of Morrissey is the only example.
 

Daximus

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If we slip out of the top 6. We should take a chance on Jost. I see a lot of Tyler Seguin in him. I think he'd be higher up in the rankings had he played elsewhere.
 

Mortimer Snerd

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Chevy indicated on H&L that part of the reason he hasn't been more active in trading is that he didn't have the assets to trade from a position of strength, where trading something significant would have left a big hole. Now he has much more depth and assets, and can probably move assets without creating a big hole.

So now it remains to be seen if he will be able to convert those assets into a strong team. Having a theoretical willingness is only the first step. The kind of trading you suggested can be disastrous if you make 1 successful trade or 2 but can't complete the chain.
 

garret9

AKA#VitoCorrelationi
Mar 31, 2012
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We have no idea where the Jets have Dubois on their board. Just because the Jets HFboard pegs a player in a certain spot doesn't mean that is who they would pick in that spot. And no one knows who ends up being the better player at the end of the day.

Some of us have more idea than no idea.

No one knows who will be best, but some players are more likely to be better than others and there are better bets than others.
 

garret9

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Mar 31, 2012
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No doubt they have him pretty high. Every team would. But thinking 5th or 6th seed is the difference is a big leap. McKeen's just put out their April rankings that had Laine ahead of Matthews and McLeod 3rd with PLD 7th. If you go around to the different team boards their is a pretty wide range of perceived top picks. This draft will surprise as they all do.

http://www.mckeenshockey.com/prospects-blog/mckeens-2016-top-30-nhl-draft-rankings-apr-2016/

McKeen also had their best mind essentially disavow that list as potential click bait.
 

ps241

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If we slip out of the top 6. We should take a chance on Jost. I see a lot of Tyler Seguin in him. I think he'd be higher up in the rankings had he played elsewhere.

Did you get a chance to watch any of his games live?
 

KingBogo

Admitted Homer
Nov 29, 2011
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Some of us have more idea than no idea.

No one knows who will be best, but some players are more likely to be better than others and there are better bets than others.

IMO lamenting a future event and implying that it was an organizational failure when there are so many unknowns is just another opportunity to offer your own biases. In terms of the upcoming draft there are 3 unknowns to any of us.

1) Outcome of the draft lottery.
2) Where the Jets have the top 10 players on their draft board.
3) Which players 5-10 years from now will end up having the best careers.

My bias is I trust an organization with a successful track record a large staff dedicated to it and a budget in the millions to have more information than I do spending some of my free time doing some reading and catching the odd game on TV.
 

drumzan

#NHLJets
Jul 9, 2011
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I was wondering the same thing. When exactly has something similar happened to the Jets on draft day? Perhaps Domi ahead of Morrissey is the only example.

I was ticked that Boeser went before Roslovic. Damn Canucks. LOL...
 

Daximus

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Did you get a chance to watch any of his games live?

I did. Kid is just an offensive powerhouse. Playing in the BCHL hurt his ranking though. I think he's going to kill it at UND next year. He could be a longer term project but when he's ready he could very well have #1 C potential.
 

Whileee

Registered User
May 29, 2010
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Tkachuk now has 17 primary points (10 goals) and 47 SOG in 10 OHL playoff games.

Even if the Jets had tanked one or two more spots, the likelihood of a top 4 pick would have been remote, so if PLD goes in the top 4 he would have been out of reach regardless.

I'm not sure how much difference there is going to be among the 5-7 group, which is where we would have likely picked, and are still most likely to pick.
 

ps241

The Ballad of Ville Bobby
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I did. Kid is just an offensive powerhouse. Playing in the BCHL hurt his ranking though. I think he's going to kill it at UND next year. He could be a longer term project but when he's ready he could very well have #1 C potential.

Who would you compare Jost to style wise? I guess if you saw him you must have watched Fabbro as well? I have quickly become a fan boy of Dante if you haven't noticed. :laugh:
 

Jeti

Blue-Line Dekes
Jul 8, 2011
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Or maybe you use a roster player to nab a #2 or #3 pick, and then use #7 and #24 to maneuver up to get your favourite other top-6 player, and then trade prospects / young players to fill key roster gaps.

Trouba ---> Edmonton for #2/3 (Laine or Pulju).
#7 / #23 ----> #4 / #5 (PLD or Chychrun).

You then have Armia, Dano, Lemieux and maybe even Perreault to fill in the D gap left by Trouba.

If the first trade is for #2, sure.

The second trade is probably unlikely to happen as Edmonton is the only team at the top of the draft IMO that's likely to trade down and settle for one of the D instead of taking a top forward. It's also unnecessary if they could get Laine in the first trade - settle for whichever D they feel is best at 7 and leave the draft with great prospects at F and D.

The last trade is completely unnecessary. If they're moving Trouba, it's because Myers and Buff is sufficient RHD. The top-4 would hopefully be Enstrom-Buff, Morrissey-Myers, and in a few years the D at #7 replacing Enstrom. That's how I see that scenario working out.

But I don't know if that first trade is realistic.
 

surixon

Registered User
Jul 12, 2003
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The U18 game is on TV tonight. Does anyone know if Jost will play? He didn't dress in either the pre tournament games.
 
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