winnipegger
Registered User
- Dec 17, 2013
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Really want to see Connor Petan Laine. Do it. Rookified 3rd line that will have super sheltered minutes.
I think some are a little over valuing Ehlers-Scheifele-Wheeler as a trio due to a 106.50 PDO.
I thought they were good (52% Adjusted Corsi), but I've seen much better top lines for the Jets and really don't think Ehlers and Wheeler are best fit for each other.
I think they should split Ehlers/Wheeler in the top six (puck carrier and table setter), and put Connor/Laine with the other (goal scorer and feaster). This also lets you split the rookies, but "shelter" them by keeping them with good linemates (QoT is bigger factor than QoC).
It's not about putting the best line together, it's about putting the best team together.
This is a good option. Too many are putting Laine and Connor together on the 2nd line. Little is a great player but I don't think it will work so well. I found it funny one article where a local pundit was saying Little wouldn't be able to keep up to those two. It's the other way around. There's no way Laine and Connor can offer a complete game like Little.
I'm just wondering about the power play. Maurice likes to run 4 forwards on the first unit and 3 on the second. That may be due to the talent we have. Maybe both units will have 4 forwards next year. That's hard to split your lines into that though.
Laine - Scheifele - Ehlers - Perreault (3rd line) - Buff
Connor - Little - Wheeler - XXXXXX - Defenseman
Doesn't look too bad to me and that's similar to what was ran last year. I'm not sure on the formation of the first one though, Perreault and Ehlers have similar roles on the PP.
It's actually really important to keep your first line intact and on the first power play. That way they can go out when the PP is done and play against usually weaker defensive players.
I hope he moves to 4F1D for both as he gets more tools, with Buff and either Postma/Morrissey/Trouba.
Top six:
Laine/Connor-Little-Wheeler
Laine/Connor-Scheifele-Ehlers
I think they should split Ehlers/Wheeler in the top six (puck carrier and table setter), and put Connor/Laine with the other (goal scorer and feaster). This also lets you split the rookies, but "shelter" them by keeping them with good linemates (QoT is bigger factor than QoC).
Third Line
Perreault-Burmistrov/Petan-Dano
Honestly, time to move on with Stafford. The Jets ran Perreault-Burmistrov-Dano and together they were honestly good enough to be a second line on most teams (64% Corsi and 67% expected Goals). Would dominate as a third line. Switching Dano for Stafford scares me. If Petan is able to take a top9 C role in the NHL, you replace Burmi with him. If not, he's the first call up with any C injuries to slot in 3C. The Jets are deep enough team that size will not be an issue.
Fourth Line
Best of rest.
Fourth line, you just take the cream of the crop between the rest (Lowry, Copp, Armia, Lemieux, Lipon, De Leo, Petan, Thorburn*).
* lol
Defense
Trouba-Byfuglien
Enstrom-Myers
Chiarot/Morrissey-Postma
Chiarot - Stuart
If Morrissey is ready, he's ready and Chiarot and Stuart shouldn't be regulars when everyone is healthy.
If not, it's okay.
Petan/Scheif/Wheels
Laine/Little/Ehlers
Connor/MP/Dano
Lowry/Copp/Burmi
Thor/Armia
Trouba/Buff
Toby/Myers
Morrissey/Postma
Stuart
Hellebyuck
Hutch
I'm not sure about the bolded. There will certainly be a price to pay for all the inexperience. Some people seem to be assuming that all of last years rookies will hit the ground running this. Most of them are still inexperienced players. If we give them all prime rolls and then add several more rookies we are going to be in the lottery again. But then you assume that anyway even moving a little slower so why not go all in?
The only reason would be that some of them are not ready and might be damaged in some way by being rushed. The 3 most prominent likely rookies are Connor, Laine and Morrissey. I could probably add Petan to that list. All are eligible for the A this year so we don't have to worry about 9 game trials and sending them back to junior. Expect them to struggle a bit. If they are struggling too much send them to the Moose like we did with Petan last year.
I've been pushing to trade Stafford sooner rather than later. Not because I don't like Staff. I do actually. But his particular set of warts makes him hard to fit into the lineup. But in trying to fit everyone in 2RW hasn't naturally been filled by someone else so I am coming around to keeping him until the TDL. If someone other than Ehlers can take 1LW then Ehlers can move to 2RW and I am back to trading Stafford as quickly as possible.
I agree with your direction of very different looking lineups at the beginning and the end of the season but I'd make a couple of changes to yours:
Ehlers - Schieffle - Wheeler
Laine - Little - Stafford
Connor - Perreault - Dano
Lowry - Burmistrov - Armia
Thorburn
If Connor has trouble go to your way. Bring in Petan to the 3rd line, either C or LW. OTOH if Laine has trouble Petan might fit that spot.
End of year line-up:
Connor/Laine - Schieffle - Wheeler
Laine/Connor - Little - Ehlers
Petan - Perreault - Dano
Burmi/Tanev/Lowry - Lowry/Copp - Armia/Lipon
Thorburn
Harder to be firm about the year end but there are lots of options. Some of them might have been thinned out at the TDL.
A lot of posters are being pretty quick to let go of MP. I want to extend him. He is a smaller, less robust but more offensive Frolik. He can play any position, any line. He sets a great example for the kids. The whole team plays at a higher pitch when he is on the ice and he is good in all 3 zones.
All the proposed lineups in this thread since the last few days are missing Chris Thorburn therefore they are all wrong. I feel that Chevy/Maurice will commit harakiri on national tv before they deny a healthy Thorburn a spot in the starting 12 forward group
How good is Armia? 3rd liner at prime? any 2nd or 1st line potential?
I'd say Armia has potential to be a great 2nd line winger, maybe 3rd liner on a really deep team (which Winnipeg is becoming if all this talent shapes up like we hope it will