12'/13' Draft Thread: Offensive flash is a beauty but defensive presence rules.

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Almost all NHL teams with a bonafide number 1 center drafted and developed their center, and if there is any time for the Leafs to nab a number one center, its in this draft. This draft is high skilled center heavy, last year lot of great defensemen, but the Leafs have a great shot this draft. 3 balls so there is a good chance to have a top 7 pick, Mackinnon, Barkov, Monahan and Lindholm all have a chance to be elite centers and will all be in the top 7. Go Leafs. This lockout has been a blessing in disguise.
 
New Jersey has to forfeit their 1st this year right?

Does that mean that they won't have any balls in the lotto at all?
 
New Jersey has to forfeit their 1st this year right?

Does that mean that they won't have any balls in the lotto at all?

No they will because they still have picks in rounds 2-7. Wherever they're ball lands, it determines the order for the whole draft. They'll just skip their first round pick.
 
No they will because they still have picks in rounds 2-7. Wherever they're ball lands, it determines the order for the whole draft. They'll just skip their first round pick.

Oh true, makes sense.

NJ is probably rooting to get the last pick in the 1st since its a snake IIRC (they would get first pick of 2nd round)
 
If the Leafs have the 2nd overall pick and Mackinnon is selected first overall, then the Leafs will take Seth Jones. Any further discussion is laughable, including suggestions that the Leafs should trade the pick in an attempt to fill a hole at center.

This shouldn't even be debatable, really.

Why? Is Jones really that far ahead of barkov/Lindholm? I don't thinkmso .

Is it really so set in stone that Jones is a lock for the 2nd spot? No.
 
This, except Jones is the BPA regardless of how the season unfolds.

I really am beginning to question if people actually know what the term "BPA" really means.



The fact that you think Barkov and Jones are about equal is just...

The Leafs need to be asking themselves: who has the better chance of reaching their top-end potential? And the answer is Seth Jones. 10 out of 10 times. At the very worst, you are getting a top 4 d-man for the next ten years. Do not let the failures of Luke Schenn scare you.



I'm confused. Do you think Barkov will be the next John Tavares? If you think he's John Tavares, then who does Nathan Mackinnon project to be? I don't think this is a fair comparison. And for the record, Hedman holds tremendous value. Just ask the Tampa Bay fans on this board.

From my understanding, the knocks on Jones are:

1) He's a d-man, while the Leafs need forwards (particularly a center).
2) D-man take longer to develop.
3) The Leafs already have a 'solid' d-core.

All of these are extremely challengable.

I have yet to see anything that is a severe knock to his game, or at the very least, someone challenging his high-end potential.

Take the BPA, which is Jones (if you have the #2 pick). Build up your defensive-core, and if you really find it is a strength, then a d-man can be moved for a number #1 center or a prospect with that upside. I fail to see how this is not a viable strategy, where value can best be maximized.

Why is Seth Jones BPA no matter what? Its absolutely stupid for you to say that.

Basrkov has just as high potential. He also is likel y the safest prospect in the draft, being a physically dominant 2nd line two way defender at minimum.

Jones may be BPA come draft day but to say no one will pass him is idiotic.
 
I think that its all dependent on what you are getting in return for moving back.

Obviously you are going to take the best player available regardless of where you pick, but if you are getting another prospect or another draft pick that is worth while, then you have to think very strongly about the deal.

I do think the 1st round pick, companied with the 2nd round pick gives you a better chance of hitting on a player.

What would you give up to move from 3 to 2? I wouldn't give anything more then a 3rd, depending on the opinion of the scouts. Not worth it to move back.

'bout 6.25%.

Isn't it 6% to win outright, then the odds in crease with every pick being designated. What I mean is, our odds would get better as other teams get taken out of the equation. Of course to get it exact, you need to know how many balls are left, and you won't know that until you know who is getting the picks, and how many balls they had to begin with.


This, except Jones is the BPA regardless of how the season unfolds.


As others have said, how do you know this for certain? I'm not adverse to picking Jones, but none of us know for sure where they rank. Burke would make that call anyway.
 
As others have said, how do you know this for certain? I'm not adverse to picking Jones, but none of us know for sure where they rank. Burke would make that call anyway.

Do you honestly think Brian Burke will pass up Seth Jones? If he would, then he should be categorized with the idiotic general managers list that I have going (see last reply). However, I happen to think he's a smart guy, and will not make such a short-sided move.

Again the only reason people are against him appears to be because they feel there is a hole at the number 1 center position, which is this teams biggest need. However, 1) Barkov or whoever will not set step into this role at present. It should take at least 1-2 years, perhaps 3-4 to produce where expected. Who knows how the Leafs and their defense look in 4 years? 2) Goaltending is just as big a hole as the center position.

Take the sure thing, who at worst projects to be a top 4 pairing defender for the next ten years. When you have a significant amount of value at defense (which they will), then you can make a trade. Jones is also, arguably, NHL-ready. His size and intelligence along with skating is, at least.

Why? Is Jones really that far ahead of barkov/Lindholm? I don't thinkmso .

Is it really so set in stone that Jones is a lock for the 2nd spot? No.

Yes. The reasons that scouts have Jones as the number 2 pick is solely due to high-end potential along with hockey intelligence, mobility, size and physical gifts. This is not going to change if he stops putting up points, for example.

My point was that if he gets injured right now, then he's still getting selected or ranked as BPA because he truly can be the best defender in the NHL. There will be teams such as Edmonton (if they win the lottery), who would be glad to take him regardless of what happens from now until the draft. He is head and shoulders above the rest of the defense-men, to automatically be a top pick no matter what.

Basrkov has just as high potential. He also is likel y the safest prospect in the draft, being a physically dominant 2nd line two way defender at minimum.

Jones may be BPA come draft day but to say no one will pass him is idiotic.

I have no idea who you are talking about in the bolded. In fact, it seems like you have a completely different player in mind.

You're right. I should not have said no one will pass him; there are a lot of idiotic general managers along with franchises that are part of the reason we are in this lock-out. I should not doubt the fact that one of them will not select Jones.

Great, another forum poster who thinks his knowledge and wisdom is greater than that of those who are hockey professionals, working in the industry.

Nice strawman.

If you honestly think that every general manager deserves to be a general manager, makes the correct decisions, and has not been a cause of this on-going lock-out, then you are completely naive.

I'm sorry, but how can you be so 100% sure about Jones? Nothing, I mean nothing, in this life is 100% certain. Jones, Barkov, MacKinnon, there are no ABSOLUTE guarantees that any of them will pan out as expected.

I never said Jones will be a sure-thing; the sure-thing of him would be one of, if not, the very best d-man in the NHL. The Rob Blake, Chris Pronger comparisons, are not randomly created out of thin air.

I have said that at worst, he becomes a top-4 pairing d-man. If you, or somebody else thinks he can be even worse, I would love to see why.

And how do you know how many years it takes for Barkov or whoever to step up for his role? How do you know Jones will?

How many years it will take Barkov to step in and be the Leafs number 1 center? Um. Okay. You're right that I don't know for sure, however, the likeliness of him doing this in his rookie-season is incredibly unlikely. I'd have to think many scouts agree. If not, then I would love to hear why he's not being ranked ahead of Mackinnon.

So, I don't think there is anything wrong with my conservative prediction of Barkov taking 1-2 years. If he can take less longer, and be impactful straightway (i.e., putting up number 1 center numbers or being better than Grabovski), then awesome. I look forward to it.

I'm sorry, but you seem to be Jones-enthusiast to the extreme, who will not tolerate any different opinions.

Irrelevant.

However, I will address this by saying: I want the Leafs to do the right thing.
 
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Great, another forum poster who thinks his knowledge and wisdom is greater than that of those who are hockey professionals, working in the industry.

1) Barkov or whoever will not set step into this role at present. It should take at least 1-2 years, perhaps 3-4 to produce where expected. Who knows how the Leafs and their defense look in 4 years? 2) Goaltending is just as big a hole as the center position.

Take the sure thing, who at worst projects to be a top 4 pairing defender for the next ten years. When you have a significant amount of value at defense (which they will), then you can make a trade. Jones is also, arguably, NHL-ready. His size and intelligence along with skating is at least.

I'm sorry, but how can you be so 100% sure about Jones? Nothing, I mean nothing, in this life is 100% certain. Jones, Barkov, MacKinnon, there are no ABSOLUTE guarantees that any of them will pan out as expected.

And how do you know how many years it takes for Barkov or whoever to step up for his role? How do you know Jones will?

I'm sorry, but you seem to be Jones-enthusiast to the extreme, who will not tolerate any different opinions.
 
Do you honestly think Brian Burke will pass up Seth Jones? If he would, then he should be categorized with the idiotic general managers list that I have going (see last reply). However, I happen to think he's a smart guy, and will not make such a short-sided move.

Again the only reason people are against him appears to be because they feel there is a hole at the number 1 center position, which is this teams biggest need. However, 1) Barkov or whoever will not set step into this role at present. It should take at least 1-2 years, perhaps 3-4 to produce where expected. Who knows how the Leafs and their defense look in 4 years? 2) Goaltending is just as big a hole as the center position.

Take the sure thing, who at worst projects to be a top 4 pairing defender for the next ten years. When you have a significant amount of value at defense (which they will), then you can make a trade. Jones is also, arguably, NHL-ready. His size and intelligence along with skating is, at least.



Yes. The reasons that scouts have Jones as the number 2 pick is solely due to high-end potential along with hockey intelligence, mobility, size and physical gifts. This is not going to change if he stops putting up points, for example.

My point was that if he gets injured right now, then he's still getting selected or ranked as BPA because he truly can be the best defender in the NHL. There will be teams such as Edmonton (if they win the lottery), who would be glad to take him regardless of what happens from now until the draft. He is head and shoulders above the rest of the defense-men, to automatically be a top pick no matter what.



I have no idea who you are talking about in the bolded. In fact, it seems like you have a completely different player in mind.

You're right. I should not have said no one will pass him; there are a lot of idiotic general managers along with franchises that are part of the reason we are in this lock-out. I should not doubt the fact that one of them will not select Jones.



Nice strawman.

If you honestly think that every general manager deserves to be a general manager, makes the correct decisions, and has not been a cause of this on-going lock-out, then you are completely naive.



I never said Jones will be a sure-thing; the sure-thing of him would be one of, if not, the very best d-man in the NHL. The Rob Blake, Chris Pronger comparisons, are not randomly created out of thin air.

I have said that at worst, he becomes a top-4 pairing d-man. If you, or somebody else thinks he can be even worse, I would love to see why.



How many years it will take Barkov to step in and be the Leafs number 1 center? Um. Okay. You're right that I don't know for sure, however, the likeliness of him doing this in his rookie-season is incredibly unlikely. I'd have to think many scouts agree. If not, then I would love to hear why he's not being ranked ahead of Mackinnon.

So, I don't think there is anything wrong with my conservative prediction of Barkov taking 1-2 years. If he can take less longer, and be impactful straightway (i.e., putting up number 1 center numbers or being better than Grabovski), then awesome. I look forward to it.



Irrelevant.

However, I will address this by saying: I want the Leafs to do the right thing.

So essentially your reasoning for him being a lock at 2nd overall is as such:

1) he's ranked as 2nd by scouts. Therefore at therefore that must be his final draft ranking

2) he has high potential as said by scout as. Plus since he's big and skilled, he could step in right away.

3) because you say so

4)barkov, nor no one else will step in right away so we should ignore them

5) since no one is ranked higher than MacKinnon, their potential must not be high and therefore don't deserve to be higher than Jones

6) at one point you all but said his sure thing is pronger, or top NHL man. I don't actually really know because it was so convoluted

All in all, great logic.

1)scouts have already, multiple times suggested that barkov, Lindholm are right in the conversation for first overall. Meaning those scouts your logic is based on are saying its possible Jones isn't the BPA

2) same exact thing could be said of barkov. His potential is at the same level as Jones. And he's already playing on the top line in a pro league and has then size to step in right away. In fact scouts have said he's likely the most NHL ready player in the draft , more so than Jones (and how homes stepping in early makes any difference is beyond me. He's as unlikely to step into a top d pairing as barkov is on a top line center spot

3) great logic on this number.

4) stepping in to the NHL doesn't make a playuer the BPA. In fact it is often the biggest reason team take a player over the BPA

5)your logic here is weird. It doesn't make any sense

6)again not entirely sure what you were trying to say here. Your picking cherry picking high end upside. I could too with barkov (Malkin/sound in) or Lindholm (toeews/backs from) or drouin (giroux) to show why they deserve to be above Jones.

Your making some seriously wrong assumptions. Jones is by no means a lock to be the BPA player in this draft after MacKinnon and suggesting so is beyond stupid
 
I would love it if we were in position to draft Jones or Pulock and later add a mid to late first for Justin Bailey. This could be a boom type of pick and a scout's make or break reputation pick. A Ryan Getzlaf type pick. I think he can be a dominant player one day. Right now I am sure a few are laughing but this is what makes the draft fun, it isn't saying I like the obvious, it is looking down the road 3 years and seeing a player that may turn out to be a steal that was passed over.
 
While I'd like to be in a position to draft a centre with a high pick, if Seth Jones is the BPA at our pick you most certainly take him ... Taking a page out of AA's book with the Jays, you can always trade from a position of strength to address a position of weakness

Jones, Rielly and Gards as staples on the blue line for the long term is nice to think about
 
I must have watched a different game than you then...

I agree, right now based on a very small sample, Jones is the guy I would take #1, with Mak #2. Both guys look like they can play (and play well) in the nhl right now. Jones is an absolute stud. He is a fast physical giant with strong puck control and shot. Both Mak and Jones are also the type of players you would love to have on your team during the playoffs.

Barkov was underwhelming in the first two periods, but really came out after his (flukey) goal. He seems to get most of his points by just being in the play all the time and by making the smart play, but he isnt much of a catalyst from what I have observed. He is very versatile though.

Did elias lindholm get any ES time? I really liked how he did in front of the net on the pp. But I didnt see him anywhere else.

Drouin has finish. He also really started to play more aggressively after his goal. It will be interesting to see how he plays from now on.
 
It seems likely we could end up witha top 10 pick(well, 50/50 shot)

so who as of now are the top Centres in that top 10?

who would you pick at say 6th or 7th? I wouldnt expect top 5.
 
I agree, right now based on a very small sample, Jones is the guy I would take #1, with Mak #2. Both guys look like they can play (and play well) in the nhl right now. Jones is an absolute stud. He is a fast physical giant with strong puck control and shot. Both Mak and Jones are also the type of players you would love to have on your team during the playoffs.

Barkov was underwhelming in the first two periods, but really came out after his (flukey) goal. He seems to get most of his points by just being in the play all the time and by making the smart play, but he isnt much of a catalyst from what I have observed. He is very versatile though.

Did elias lindholm get any ES time? I really liked how he did in front of the net on the pp. But I didnt see him anywhere else.

Drouin has finish. He also really started to play more aggressively after his goal. It will be interesting to see how he plays from now on.
By what I see/read, any of Jones, Mack, Drouin, Lindholm or Barkov would be sweet. I'm pumped for this draft.
 
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