5v5 is the main area in question though, no? And we’re right around Florida, Tampa, Carolina, Washington, etc in pdo there. If we’re so lucky we should be way above those teams, no? Good teams will have good goaltending and shooting generally, a lucky one with a similar record should have a pdo off the charts I’d think but correct me if this is wrong
I understand your point that the PDO isn't necessarily crazy but I don't think anybody is saying this team doesn't do some things well. We have a very good powerplay and we're legitimately good at producing quality with the possession we have (4th in the NHL in high danger chances per shot attempt).
So maybe it was a little harsh to say they'd be a lottery team without Shesty. I take that back.
That said, with how poorly low-possession "quality" teams generally fare in the playoffs and how little our good qualities have to do with our young players, there's a lot to be concerned about.
More than anything, it's just frustrating. Fans wanted change with this rebuild and so did the organization -- that's why they did it. Not because we've necessarily been terrible but because the old ways didn't get us to the Cup, and it was a feature, not a bug.
A few years into the rebuild, we're a poor development team that's bad at possession and overreliant on goaltending. That's exactly what we were the day the letter was sent and for many years before that. The talent level has increased in a satisfactory way for sure, but the team hasn't moved one inch in terms of its culture and institutional problems. That's a massive failure of the rebuild.
I don't want to be critical of folks paying attention to the record. If being 27-11-4 makes you happy, what can I say? I just feel that we're still at a point as a team where I'm measuring the success of this project not in wins but in institutional change over the obsolete product, and there hasn't been any.
If Lafreniere and Kakko looked great and we were a strong possession team, while being 18-18-6 for whatever reason, I would be a lot happier than I am now.