Starting a proper rebuild is like dealing with alcoholism- the first step is admitting you have a problem, but most teams aren't honest with themselves and let things get worse until they wake up in a ditch on the side of the road. Artificially trying to keep that playoff window open was Detroit's first mistake.
I really don't see what the Yzerplan is getting at. The reason some of these rebuilds take so long with little or no progress is because they don't also come with a team identity. I couldn't tell you what the Red Wings' is. They've been screwed by lottery luck, but you gotta take what you can get and get some guys in the later rounds that pan out. The development has been subpar with the young guys either not taking the next step or just flat out not being as good as expected. Finally, you can't just sign shiny new toys in free agency to fill roster spots, especially when they're expensive. Kane and Tarasenko need to be added later, and they need to fit in with that identity.
The reason the Devils got out of a lengthy rebuild is because they eventually checked off all of those boxes- build around the youth core, establish an identity as a fast team, and get vets who fit that mold. It hasn't been all perfect, and they had to retool with that identity this offseason, but it's safe to say that they are out of it. What steps have the Wings taken with any of that? The Yzerplan should have started with an identity and went from there.
And the Devils have had two 1st overalls, a 7th, a 4th and a 2nd.
Not sure that is a good comparison for Detroit. Perhaps more important, and I don't say this as a criticism, just a reality of how hard rebuilds are (and NJ has done great) but since Yzerman has been in Detroit, the Devils have made the playoffs......drumrolllllllllllllll - one time.
Also the idea that Detroit does not have prospects developing is just ignorance from HF Boards in general. SY does not care about HF Board's timeline expectations.
A Brief run down:
Most Important Prospects:
Simon Edvinsson - yeah he is not really a prospect anymore, but people who are not watching him play are not aware of how good he has been and his potential. There is an assumption because he played in Grand Rapids last year that he was somehow a disappointment or even a bust. Right now, I think he ends up better than Seider, but then I also think the current coaching staff has taken some bite out of MO's game.
Sebastian Cossa - Following up on a very good season in GR with an excellent start this year. Has the potential to be an elite game changing net minder. Many have sold him short based on a slow start in d+1 and the controversy/comparison s related to Jesper Wallstedt.
Axel Sandin-Pelika - Doing fantastic in the Swedish league. Offensive minded puck moving D and PP QB. There is a lot of hype, but to be clear he is not the second coming of Cale Makar, or Adam Fox. But he doesn't need to be. Able to play 22 minutes a night and be part of what should be a top tier Top 4 d-core.
Next Level Prospects:
Marco Kasper - One of the few bright starts in a frustrating start to the season. He is not lighting it up on the scoresheet, but playing well and even last night demonstrated a great release/shot. Expected to be a good 2/3 center, not a world beater but a very good contributor and may still surprise on the upside.
Nate Danielson - Playing well in his first pro season in Grand Rapids, getting good reviews from staff, Wings likes him quite a bit. Can be a very good 2C , with an upside potential approaching Dylan Larkin. That said he does need to keep developing.
Trey Augustine - Another top tier goal tending prospect. Had a great freshman year at Michigan State, off to a great sophomore start.
Should contribute, need to keep developing:
William Wallinder D - 2020 2nd round. Don't write him off because he is not yet in the NHL. Played 2 season in Swedish league, did not come over to Grand Rapids until last year. They are looking for him to take step up (with promotion of Edvinsson) this year, which he seemingly has done when healthy, but has some injury issues. Needs to keep developing, but if he reaches potential could round out a top 4 pairing anchored by Seider or Edvinsson or be a very good 5/6.
Carter Mazur LW - 2021 3rd round pick. Won't set the world on fire but has potential to be energy and "identity" guy in 3/4 role.
A little early yet but promising starts:
Dimitri Buchelnikov, LW - 2022 2nd round pick playing very well in KHL, has another year (after 24/25) on his KHL contract.
Jesse Kiiskinen, RW - 2023 3rd round pick (Nashville). Obtained along with 2nd round pick (to replace Wallman pick sent to SJ) for Red Wing 2023 2nd round D prospect Andrew Gibson. Kiiskinenen producing nearly a point a game in Finish league.
Misc:
Anton Johansson, D - 2022 4th round. (Not to be confused with AlJo on current roster), playing in the Swedish league, and got very good reviews last year, but haven't seen much on him this year, not sure where that might stand.
I would also keep an eye on Dylan James, LW - 2022 2nd round pick playing at North Dakota.
My personal belief is that Detroit ends up with excellent goaltending and a top tier top4 d-core. Upfront there will be a core of very good if not elite players. Will that be enough to contend?
They will likely need to add a big FA signing or trade to round out the roster to be at that level. Time will tell, but that is still several years away at best, and I am not sure how they are supposed to do it any different.