Ted Hoffman
Done
- Dec 15, 2002
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While I wouldn't use "Zadina sucks" in any justification for what to do with Yzerman, I do want to talk about the general idea of "moving from a player who's showing signs of crapping out."So I’ll ask again here:
Are you saying he should have traded Zadina for a haul? How could he have done so if he sucked? How is getting maybe like a 6th any better than seeing if he finds his game?
Sometimes, a guy shows those signs early and you're trying to decide if it's "he needs more work and it'll all eventually unlock" or "no, he really does suck." I was an advocate of the Blues moving on from Jake Allen and Patrik Berglund as early as 2010 and 2011 respectively: I thought Allen would always be unreliable in pressure situations, I thought Berglund would stall out in production and land in the 20-20-40 range and struggle to hold a top-6 spot. I wanted the Blues to unload Jordan Schmaltz from the moment they drafted him. I knew by late 2009 that David Rundblad had issues and the Blues needed to dump him ASAP. Same for Ty Rattie circa 2014, when he was putting up 31 goals for the Chicago Wolves but not "getting it."
Of course, I also wanted to dump Jake Neighbours from the moment he drafted, and I'll concede after repeatedly getting put up with top guys and getting spoon-fed chances he appears to have finally "gotten it" with 26 goals this season. [I'm hoping it's not a 1-time thing.] Everyone misses projections at some point.
If you're going to throw in the towel on a prospect early, your hope is "no one else is seeing what you do." That's easier said than done. Sure, there might be someone out there wanting your prospect you see failing; cutting loose a 1st-round pick, especially a high 1st-round pick, for a [sometimes much] lower pick is a really unpopular move. It's even more unpopular - and can be a job killer - if that guy goes to another team and "gets it" and becomes the star you picked him to be. There's also a very real sunk cost fallacy with high picks: you invested 6OA, 8OA, 13OA into the guy, you don't want to admit that was a terrible call, let's salvage something out of it because of internal and external pressure. But, I think when that moment comes you need to try and salvage something if you can and hope you're really leaving the next guy holding the bag.
That said, IMO when someone is looking to fire a GM and he didn't trade [guy picked high in the draft] who was a bust is one of the justifications, you're reaching for reasons and you should be able to find more prominent things than this.