The Athletic's Stanley Cup Tiers.
We assembled a seven-person anonymous panel including an NHL GM, four additional high-level NHL front office executives, one scout and an agent. We asked each person to sort all 16 playoff teams into a Tier from 1 to 5 and tallied the average votes.
- Tier 1: Stanley Cup favorites (top 3-4 teams)
- Tier 2: Strong Cup contender (High-end contenders just below the inner circle)
- Tier 3: Dark horse (Solid team that could make a deep run if they got hot, but have glaring question marks/concerns)
- Tier 4: Long shot (maybe they can get hot and win a round, but they aren’t realistically contending for the Cup)
- Tier 5: First-round cannon fodder (Should feel lucky just to be in the playoffs)
Average rating: 3.1
Our panel, except for the GM, wasn’t fully sold on the Canucks as a high-end Stanley Cup contender despite Vancouver finishing second place in the Western Conference.
“If they made it to the (Stanley Cup) Finals, it wouldn’t shock me,” said the GM, who was the lone panelist to rank them in Tier 2.
Executive 2: “I look at the rest of that D core and I’m like
Quinn Hughes needs to be a f—ing Bobby Orr for them. I’m not a (Filip) Hronek guy — he did the exact same thing last year, he had an incredibly hot first half of the season and cooled off a bit. Hronek can complement a D very well because he has a lot of good attributes, but Hronek for me is a No. 3/4 (on a Cup contender). I don’t have any faith in
Tyler Myers. (Carson) Soucy’s solid, (Ian) Cole’s solid but again I just don’t love this D core.”
Executive 1: “Getting
Nashville does help (the Canucks), I think they got the right matchup for the first round, but I don’t see them winning more than a round. The first year in the playoffs is just hard.
“This is how I look at it: Do you like Vancouver (as a favorite) against Dallas? No. Do you like Vancouver (as a favorite) against Winnipeg? Probably not. Do you like Vancouver (as a favorite) against Vegas? No. Do you like Vancouver (as a favorite) against Edmonton? Well, the goalie difference (
Thatcher Demko being elite and
Stuart Skinner not) makes it pretty even, but I look at McDavid and Draisaitl and think that they find a way. Do you like Vancouver (as a favorite) against L.A.? (The
Kings) are as flawed a team as there is and I’m not sure I like Vancouver against L.A. I don’t think Vancouver’s a clear favorite against anybody but Nashville. I’m not a believer yet.”