Couple things heading into the draft and July 1…
Walman was always gonna be the wildcard, out of the 3 they want to get rid of. At least on what his return would be…. Make no mistake though, he had almost no chance of returning. He’d played his way into the press box. As a former Dman, and it’s solely my opinion, but I know it’s shared by many “hockey people”….. he’s the most frustrating type of Dman to watch. He has all the physical tools you could want, but drives you nuts NOT doing the basics. Normal things 12 year olds do consistently. The biggest comment I hear? He plays like a roller Dman. Everything is circling and wide open. So frustrating to watch on the ice. Especially because 50% of his mistakes are unforced. All the blind passes, chipping the puck when he should control it, reversing it the wrong direction, etc, etc. It’s always been his problem though. Every team’s known exactly who Walman has been because he’s so physically talented. The Wings just thought he’d finally turned a corner, but went right back to being the player he was in college and St Louis… after he got paid.
You just hoped a team thought better of him than teams obviously did. Now they’ll try getting rid of Holl and Maatta. That’s always been the plan. One should obviously be easier than the other. Holl may have to be bought out. The fact we haven’t heard that yet, tells me someone may have interest. Maybe it’s San Jose on waivers?? Don’t think they want to retain anything with him though. Maatta should be pretty easy to move. I’d heard Utah on him, but Vancouver would be smart to step up and throw the Wings a 3rd, 4th or 5th rounder, if they’re not re-signing Zadorov.
Whether they sign Ghost again, will have a lot to do with what type of Dmen they can add. If he signs this week, that means they don’t have too much confidence they’ll sign/trade for a blue liner with any real offense.
Two names I’ve heard about for months now, other than Roy as a UFA (likely wanting to sign in Detroit if he hit the market, and the money is right) has been Shea Theodore (if Vegas does move him) and the other being Justin Faulk, who there was talk about pre-deadline.
Theodore is the more consistent of the two, but both could add a nice piece to their blue line. Faulk has been the more up and down player, but he’s still a good, role playing dman. Don’t ask him to do too much, and he’ll be a solid Dman for any team.
Roy obviously has been the biggest UFA name connected for obvious reasons. He does participate in some summer skates, etc. So those guys are always speculated to come home. He does like playing in LA though, and would probably re-sign if that deal was right. As of now, looks like he’s hitting the market. With a lot of interest around the league, don’t be surprised if someone sends the Kings a pick, to get his negotiating rights and a jumpstart on signing him. Once that happens, teams can be real convincing.
Like I said, they’re gonna want some offense from one of the two they obtain, and that’s not Roy. If they ended up with Zadorov and Roy, then Edvinsson is gonna have to be more involved offensively, earlier then they have planned. Have heard they were real happy about how he created offense. Whether with his quick puck movement or his transporting the puck.. Just think of that Toronto game. Very few young Dmen have games like that early in a career. So would I be shocked at two Defensive Dmen added? No, but I do think one of them will have some offense to his game, and that’s why we still hear Ghost mentioned so much as well. Know he earned a ton of respect (in the organization) after how he played down the stretch. Especially the last few games. He played a playoff type roll. Can’t take that away from him..
Don’t forget about Brady Skjei either. That would be a sneaky signing someone told me Detroit may sneak in on.
Cernak from Tampa could be another one. Yzerman has traded for him before I believe and Tampa could move a dman.
As for Trouba, I’ve only ever heard of people speculating. As in fans and media types. I know he’d like to play in Detroit at some point, and Yzerman does like that type of dmen, so maybe we should speculate more. All of that group of local players would love to play in Detroit one day. So would Tory Krug and Cam Fowler. Doesn’t mean they ever will. Although, like Petry, it can happen real quick. Fowler would be great to have around, but just think he’s too important for what Anaheim is trying to do with their young Dmen. They need him.
I haven’t heard anyone talking about Pesce or Tanev with Detroit. Doesn’t mean they wouldn’t be interested though. Pesce could also be a great partner for Edvinsson, but think Roy may fit better, because if let’s say ASP is just so great after this year, he’s coming straight to the NHL, Roy can move down to the bottom pairing and actually “carry the pair.” That’s a big deal.
Signing/trading for any of these Dmen AND signing Roy for the money they shaved off the blue line, would be a steal.
You’d be talking about roughly $12 million off the books, and probably adding $11-$12m. Not counting trading for Trouba. That would obviously skew some numbers.
Heard something today about possibly buying out Petry too. He’s so cheap though, they wouldn’t save much. Also heard they could trade Chiarot (if they had to) in one of these deals, to make the money right. They’d prefer he be the leader on their bottom pairing right now though. His name came up talking to someone about Trouba, saying they could see Chiarot going in that trade somehow. Pure speculation from an evaluator though. We do know his name was thrown around last August/September when they were sniffing around Hanifin. The Wings like Chiarot, and to be fair to him, he played well down the stretch with Seider, unlike when he first got to Detroit, and tried leading Seider, rather than supporting Seider.
If they pull off adding two legit, higher end, role playing dmen, for basically money out-money in, they’d still have money for other things, and it would be a coup really. Upgrading for the same money.
Up front? Think they will be in on one big name, and then a secondary scorer type. No clue who that forward will be, but they’d like it to be a C or someone who can drive a line from the wing. Those guys aren’t easy to get though. Even as UFAs. Obviously other teams throw money around too. Reinhart could be a sneaky add, and he can play C. He drives a line. Stamkos is Stamkos. Lindholm can help you the middle. So could Chandler Stephenson. Although I consider him more of a secondary move.
Two names to keep an eye on (on the secondary market) are Anthony Duclair and Jake DeBrusk. DeBrusk goes back to December when Boston was looking at getting Perron, and if people remember, the Wings scouted Boston like 6 games in a row. They were looking at DeBrusk and Lauko mostly. They’d like a secondary winger to replace Perron, but with more speed and the ability to drive that 3rd line IF he’s slumping. A player they can move down the lineup, who can create pace. Both those players can do it. DeBrusk can really do it well, and his pace would be great with Larkin.
The big goal though, is finding two standout partners for their two young minute eaters on the blue line. Partners for the next few years that make their Top 4 very hard to play against. Then let Chiarot, Petry and Johansson, fill out their bottom pairing. Plus upgrading their net if they can.
One other thing to mention.. There was a reason Albert Johansson was playing the right side towards the end of the season in GR.
Good bet he shares time, rotating in and out with Petry, playing with Chiarot… but also don’t be surprised if Johansson gets some time with Seider in training camp, to see how that looks. Obviously that would be back on the left. He’s a very solid player.
To have a player with those wheels, who’s really solid technically, will open things up for Seider.. Or at least it could. Keep an eye on that come camp. Especially if they don’t land that partner for Seider.
They really like Johansson. He won’t get a lot of fanfare but could turn into a player very much like Matt Roy. He does all the little things right defensively. All the things coaches appreciate and fans ignore. Yet every team, every year, does nothing but praise him. His speed and how he processes the game quickly, should help him make a pretty smooth transition into the NHL. We’ll see. Don't sell him short though. Stats aren’t everything.
The main goal though, is to find two really good role players, to play with Seider and Edvinsson moving forward.
Exceptional post. I only have one very minor "claim":
It seems to me, that Stamkos is to old too fit the mold of what Yzerman is building here.
It's absolutely possible to take a player at Stamkos' age, but not for that piece in the whole puzzle.
As I see it, Yzerman is still waiting to sort of catch a break on two spots, that you can barrely miss if you are going to go all in on a championship run: A sure shot goalie and a legit 1-2 punch at the center.
Now, when building a master class contender that will be able to challenge for 4-6 years (at least) you will need a strong (and steady) top goalie, a first, a second and a third center and a first, a second and a third defenseman with a nice mix of skills. I'll get back to that.
By top goalie I don't mean a goalie that is among the five besy in the league or anything measurable otherwise. I mean a goalie that doesn't lose games you were supposed to win. A goalie who will play as many games as needed and saving the shots the team "knows" he will take. I'm talking about a steady guy keeping us in the lane all the time. A back up is of course also needed, but they are easier to find.
On the D I need one offensive minded defenseman who can skate like only few other D's and create plays from the back, join the rush to a certain degree, maybe even do some rushes on his own when the opposition is caught out of position for whatever reason and quarterback the powerplay. I also need a top dog two way player with a physically strong presence on the back end, never losing his marks, checking hard, taking guys out in front of the net and so on and a capability to start plays from his own end, be it lead out passes, skating the puck to the middle of the ice or whatever. And a third D that is a top defensive player in the game without being so hopeless with the puck that you can only play third pairing. This third guy should be able to make the right decision with the puck all the time, but most of the time the easy solution is also the best. So, mostly: Just stay simple. But always be reliable. And defensively just being a wall that everyone hates playing against. I always think of Adam Foote as the best of these guys from the generation when I sort of developed this little model in my mind.
OK, on forward I'm concentrating on the C's: I need a real top offensive center. I don't need details here, right? On the second C though I need this guy to be a sure shot two way force. A Selke candidate. Hitting like 60-80 points a season and serving as the man who can also shut down the opposition. The third C would be a lot like the 2C just on a lower level, probably just producing some 45-60 points on good seasons, but always one of the guys ruining the day for the opposition'sbest offensive weapons buy reading plays defensively like a champ.
So... this is not rocket science - only a lot of what you all are thinking put into words, right?
Now, with Detroit, I think you have a mix of D's that will develop your top 3 D-men in a few years centered around Seider and Edvisson. The third guy in that mix will be easier to get on the market once the club is ready to throw the gautlet and go for the championship, but he might also develop from one more of the pretty good bunch of prospects, right? You don't have a top goalie ready yet, but of course you hope Cossa will turn out to be the guy. Might also hit the jackpot on the market, goalies are so confussing to grasp.
The big reason, though, I think Yzerman is still being very patient about it all is that you still need a top center. You need this teams top players to be within an age group that makes it doable to make a run for 4-6 years, so this center has to be a little younger than Stamkos, and these young centres are not easy to buy in the market, and not easy to trade for. I can hear some protests saying that Larkin is clearly a top first center, but I disagree. He is really, really good, but in this perfect scenario (which you need to be a perennial challenger) Larkin is perfectly fitted to be the 2C-extra ordinaire. I don't know if Michael Rasmussen is quite a top 3C, but I think he will do.
I know it's crazy to leave out the wingers and rest of the team, but this is just a framework that I have been noticing over the years as golden for spotting when you see a challenger developing in front of you.
All this just to say, why I think Yzerman is still being slightly patient on his bets: He does want to do his best with the team every year, but so far he has not sacrified anything to ruin the possibility to go for gold within the next couple of years. Let's see what he manages to bring aboard the next few days.
The Walman trade: Well, he won so many trades over the years and picked up so many extra picks in the draft, he can afford to lose a few trades and in this case a paid one of many 2nd's he won in other trades to do so. Can't make an omelet without cracking a few eggs.
Also remember that we are so far in the build up now that a second rounder in this years draft will probabaly not even be a player on this team when going for a run in one or two years. Yzerman's strategic view on draft choices will therefore change a little bit now to be able to optimize elsewhere. He's not gonna just start throwing them away, but he sure can afford passing on this one pick to SJ. Earlier in the rebuild he needed more picks to raise the possibility to find all these different pieces to the puzzle. Sometimes they fall from the sky when you didn't expect so (hello Zetterberg, Holmstrom, Datsyuk and so on), so early in a rebuild just stoke up as many picks as you can collect.