W Beckett Sennecke - Oshawa Generals, OHL (2024, 3rd, ANA)

wetcoast

Registered User
Nov 20, 2018
24,881
11,712
When you find the consensus BPAs after Celebrini, let me know.

The closest we have is that Levshunov Demidov and Silayev garnered the most votes in the top after Celebrini. So the only way a left shot defenseman is 'BPA' and again, not every scout in the world is sold on Silayev, is if Silayev is on the board and Lindstrom is not.

In which case the move is to let someone pay you to take Silayev, the answer is not for Montreal to take Silayev, trade Guhle, and hope in 3 years when Silayev comes over on NA ice for the first time, that he's anywhere close to what Guhle is -now-.

Now your potential top pair LD is learning the NHL and NA style of play, with no guarantees he'll ever be as good as Guhle is now, and Suzuki is 30 years old.

It doesn't work.
If the Habs want to play it safe they can take Dickinson at 5 the and no need to trade some Dmen can play off hand.

I just think there are much better prospects with less risk and higher ceiling combinations at that spot.
 

WeThreeKings

Demidov is a HAB
Sep 19, 2006
95,719
107,446
Halifax
If the Habs want to play it safe they can take Dickinson at 5 the and no need to trade some Dmen can play off hand.

I just think there are much better prospects with less risk and higher ceiling combinations at that spot.

That's fine but it's clear the Habs feel more than comfortable on their left shot D, and so they are rightfully going to invest their high value pick on a high value player at a position they need.

This isn't a draft where people are convinced there's a clear BPA, you poll one scout team and they might have one defenseman at the top and one at the bottom and the next it's inverse.
 
  • Like
Reactions: viceroy

Anardil

Registered User
Nov 25, 2012
622
468
West of Chalet BBQ
They did a mock draft on the Sick/Recrutes podcast on Tuesday, I believe it was. Their top 5 mock went:

1. Celebrini
2. Demidov
3. Lidstrom
4. Buium
5. Sennecke

These are pro scouts (not attached to an orgainization, but still). I think when it comes to Sennecke, where there's smoke...
The "douche" that you were asking about earlier made the Habs pick. ;)
 

vildurson

Registered User
Jun 2, 2021
849
704
Interesting mention regarding Sennecke in Wheelers recent mailbag from Athletic.

"Everyone saw the skill and the potential, but as one OHL coach told me, he had a lot of bad habits he needed to break, a tendency to play one-on-one too much, and wavering competitiveness. There were also benchings and off-ice questions. In a survey of a few people early on this season, everyone handicapped him as a late-first. One coach even questioned if he’d take him in the first."

He later on clarifies that things have changed a bit for the better.

Will be interesting to see how he develops and if there has been growth. Also how will Sennecke react when things go not his way.

He has skill and size but not necessarily speed, I have only seen one game so far though. Probably top 15-20ish pick in my books but some of the stuff is just impossible to see through video only.
 

wetcoast

Registered User
Nov 20, 2018
24,881
11,712
That's fine but it's clear the Habs feel more than comfortable on their left shot D, and so they are rightfully going to invest their high value pick on a high value player at a position they need.

This isn't a draft where people are convinced there's a clear BPA, you poll one scout team and they might have one defenseman at the top and one at the bottom and the next it's inverse.
I just think that if Catton was available that I would take him and my guess is that if they pass on him, like they passed on Michov then they will regret it but we shall see.

There also is rarely any consensus on players as each team has their own scouting departments and even the scouting services we have public access to have vastly different ratings most years.

Without looking my guess is that the Oshawa winger isn't on most top 10 lists.
 

WeThreeKings

Demidov is a HAB
Sep 19, 2006
95,719
107,446
Halifax
I just think that if Catton was available that I would take him and my guess is that if they pass on him, like they passed on Michov then they will regret it but we shall see.

There also is rarely any consensus on players as each team has their own scouting departments and even the scouting services we have public access to have vastly different ratings most years.

Without looking my guess is that the Oshawa winger isn't on most top 10 lists.

He's top 5 on one and top 10 on 2 others. Bob McKenzies list indicates that.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Andrei79

wetcoast

Registered User
Nov 20, 2018
24,881
11,712
He's top 5 on one and top 10 on 2 others. Bob McKenzies list indicates that.
Perhaps but the highest on the list of 18 different rankings on elite prospects has him at 17 and the lowest at 45.

McKenizie's consolidated list has him at #19.

 

Leto

Registered User
Feb 16, 2023
1,019
2,173
Perhaps but the highest on the list of 18 different rankings on elite prospects has him at 17 and the lowest at 45.

McKenizie's consolidated list has him at #19.


McKenzie updated his list last week. Sennecke is now 14th.
 

FrozenKing18

Where is my super suit?
Aug 11, 2009
7,171
1,946
SoCal
I was watching this kid hoping he’ll fall to the Kings as he could complement Byfield in a couple seasons. No chance of that now, he’s killing it!
 

DANOZ28

Registered User
May 22, 2012
7,122
477
nearest bar MN
it bothers me that he had just a meh / avg season and now hes tearing it up in the playoffs , ? why the difference? red flag for me. doesn't make him horrible just not the pick i want at #13.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Pavel Buchnevich

majormajor

Registered User
Jun 23, 2018
26,789
32,978
it bothers me that he had just a meh / avg season and now hes tearing it up in the playoffs , ? why the difference? red flag for me. doesn't make him horrible just not the pick i want at #13.

It's more of a straight ramp up over time.
 

HuGo Sham

MR. CLEAN-up ©Runner77
Apr 7, 2010
28,809
21,283
Montreal
Exactly but if the Habs take him at 5th and leave catton on the board they will regret it and I will be here, good natured of course, to remind them about it.
I suspect Habs are taking Lindstrom or Iginla. Maybe they package the Jets pick and try and advance into the middle of the first round for Sennecke
 

Leto

Registered User
Feb 16, 2023
1,019
2,173
What would it cost the Habs to move up 10 spots?

The most recent case of a team moving in the 1st round of the draft is Arizona in 2022. The price was one late 1st round pick + two 2nd round picks. So the price should in that ball park. Montreal has Colorado's 2024 2nd round pick, but not their own.

coyotetrade.png
 

malcb33

Registered User
Apr 10, 2005
1,252
1,267
New Zealand
The most recent case of a team moving in the 1st round of the draft is Arizona in 2022. The price was one late 1st round pick + two 2nd round picks. So the price should in that ball park. Montreal has Colorado's 2024 2nd round pick, but not their own.

View attachment 869458
If SJ sees’s value in Harris or Struble and would be interested in trading back, I would love to see Hughes be aggressive with the Winnipeg pick. I would be comfortable with that type of value, as IMO the Habs need to come away from this draft with potential impact forwards.
 
  • Haha
Reactions: Patty Ice

majormajor

Registered User
Jun 23, 2018
26,789
32,978
The most recent case of a team moving in the 1st round of the draft is Arizona in 2022. The price was one late 1st round pick + two 2nd round picks. So the price should in that ball park. Montreal has Colorado's 2024 2nd round pick, but not their own.

View attachment 869458

It's possible if a team offers enough.

I think this year the cost to move up would be higher. There seems to be a steep drop off in the mid first.

So are the Habs willing to offer four picks?

If SJ sees’s value in Harris or Struble and would be interested in trading back, I would love to see Hughes be aggressive with the Winnipeg pick. I would be comfortable with that type of value, as IMO the Habs need to come away from this draft with potential impact forwards.

I can't see San Jose being swayed by a spare player.
 
  • Like
Reactions: goforit and Grinner

Grinner

Registered User
May 31, 2022
1,908
1,514
If SJ sees’s value in Harris or Struble and would be interested in trading back, I would love to see Hughes be aggressive with the Winnipeg pick. I would be comfortable with that type of value, as IMO the Habs need to come away from this draft with potential impact forwards.
As a Sharks fan, that's a pass.
Sharks already have multiple picks in both rounds 1 and 2. They also need quality over quantity
 

Juxtaposer

Outro: Divina Comedia
Dec 21, 2009
50,379
24,688
Bay Area
If SJ sees’s value in Harris or Struble and would be interested in trading back, I would love to see Hughes be aggressive with the Winnipeg pick. I would be comfortable with that type of value, as IMO the Habs need to come away from this draft with potential impact forwards.
Stop fantasizing about the Sharks trading down from 14 to 27 for f***ing Jordan Harris. And please tell your fellow Habs fans to stop making horrible trade-up proposals. If you want to give us Reinbacher for 14+, we can talk. Otherwise, absolutely zero interest in trading down from 14 to 27.
 

TheDoldrums

Registered User
May 3, 2016
13,083
20,402
Newcastle, Ontario
I went to a couple Oshawa games this year and Sennecke never impressed me. Feel like his game is very "junior." Has size and some great tools so can get away without playing a pro style game within the system. Selfish isn't the right word, but it's like he was playing his own game rather than being cohesive with his teammates.

Honestly shocked when I was reading about him being in the mix as high as the 5th pick. I think there's definitely above-average bust potential at a spot like that.
 
Last edited:

Ad

Ad

Ad