I mean yeah, but its different with goalies and why so few are taken early. If you’re drafted in the top 10, there’s no way in hell you should be grossly outplayed by anyone in the later rounds. Depending on the draft, top 3 to top 5 need to be the absolute best in their class and among the better players in the league and top 10 needs to be high caliber NHL player. Beyond that you’re dealing in boom/bust, a player who has potential to be incredible but there are issues that make him less of a sure thing. Once you get to the later part of the first round into the second, you’re dealing with impact player hopefuls, with an expection of bottom 6/bottom pair at the very worst. Once you’re in the 3rd round and beyond, you shouldn’t expect him to sniff an NHL rink. You’re hoping he may be good enough to be a bottom of the barrel player.
It’s also one thing to be outperformed by a player in the later rounds, it’s another thing to not be a high impact playet yourself