The fact that I said surface level and your mind directly went to advanced stats is again what I'm talking about.
You analyze hockey in a vacuum.
Which aspect of hockey will improve significantly and why?
I will give you, potentially some improvement on the PP if Hutson is an upgrade over Matheson and Dach is an upgrade over newhook/Monahan (although none of Dach/Slaf/Newhook/Monahan/etc were the engine of the PPs results, that is heavily driven by Suzuki, Caufield, and Matheson).
Which teams are they jumping?
Utah just added Marino and Sergachev, VASTLY improving their defensive core.
Ottawa just went from the worst goaltending in hockey to Ullmark
Seattle just went out and got Stephenson and Montour to add to their roster
NJD added massively
Buffalo added significantly to their bottom 6.
And behind them, don't sleep on chicago who added significantly to their Dcore (which will now be much better than MTLs with Seth Jones, Vlasic, Martinez, Brodie, Murphy, and Korchinski).
CBJ is in a very similar spot to MTL in terms of how they played last year, and hoping for injury luck and internal improvement.
SJS will still likely suck, but they're gonna be adding Will Smith, Macklin Celebrini, Walman, and Tyler Toffoli
The Ducks have done f*** all I expect them to finish dead last tbh. And tbh I'll give you the flames a a dumpster team (although MTL fans seem convinced they'll somehow finish 11th worst).
Maybe you're hoping Pittsburgh falls off the map?
Behind: SJS, Anaheim, Calgary
Same Tier: CBJ, Chicago.
Ahead: Everyone else
You clearly have an idea and a belief in your head that will keep you locked into that thought process.
They will fall, this team will be much worse.
There’s no team in our own division that will be worse.
Dach has never shown to be a 2C.
When making prediction ( which are dumb to begin with) you need to look at the odds of something actually happening.
Potential is just a possible reality, when making prediction you need to guess the most probable reality.
Bunch of young guys with no structure.
I can’t honestly find 5 worse teams that us.
I see 3 worse teams.
Anaheim, Calgary, and SJS still.
2 teams that could go either way in Chicago and CBJ.
And everyone else a step ahead. Best bet to get to 7th overall pick is Pittsburgh falling off the map with age I'd think.
The goaltending will be a lot worse this year I think. Primeau and Montembault both had excellent years last year. But, unless it's a star goalie like a shesterkin or a swayman or a hellebuyuck, I am inclined to predict average goaltending results for every team in the league, given the volatility. Could be much better, could be MUCH worse.