If it wasn't for his serve, I might agree with you. Once the ball is in play, he's looking like his old, nettlesome self, but he has served poorly all year, probably the worst year of his career on that score (he is currently ranked a dismal #39 as a server, just behind Roman Safiullin). If that part of his game doesn't somehow find a way to dramatically improve, I think Sinner or Paul will eat him up. Love to see Daniil win another US Open, though.That round of 16 matchup on Monday with Sinner v Paul should be insane as well. I actually like Meddy a lot too to win this whole thing.
For those who like Zverev as a dark horse, watch for the number of four or five set matches he plays before the quarterfinals. Especially since his injury in 2022, he plays a surprisingly high number of such matches, not conserving injury but expending it. It's a big reason he has never won a GS. So far in the first three rounds, he has played two four setters. If this trend continues in the fourth round, it might be evidence that this Slam is not really going to be different from the others.
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So, no, I am not still taking Paul over Sinner. Paul looks in poor form at the moment while Sinner's mental and physical question marks all seem to have positive answers.
I'm a little surprised another predicted quarterfinalist is still around. De Minaur has done a great job playing at less than full capacity, has adjusted his movement accordingly, and is winning convincingly.
Zverev/Nakishima looks fun. This is the sort of match up that Zverev often makes five sets out of. Anything less is a bonus for him in terms of energy management. Three sets, chef's kiss.
Zverev is now the second favourite. Medvedev is playing very well once the ball is in play, but I can't see him winning the championship with that service game right now.
This is the round where the minor players are usually led off the stage--Borges, Thompson, Machac.
On the women's side, not only 13 seeded players make the round of sixteen but two of the unseeded players are Wozniacki and Muchova--seed quality. Only Wang is the outlier. Pretty impressive,