Why would you go back three seasons to compare these two players when Ghost is 3 years younger? Compare this season:
Ghost: 28 points in 45 games (.622 PPG), 22:08 TOI, -9 on a team with -70 Differential
Barrie: 17 points in 36 games (.472 PPG), 19:35 TOI, -6 on a team with +4 Differential
The user that I replied to stated that the return for Barrie would be similar to the return of the Ghost trade this past summer. It would make more sense to view Ghost's stats on the previous three seasons before the trade than his stats after the trade.
If you wanted to compare their values, you would use Ghost's previous season and Barrie's current season to see if their trade value would be similar.
Ghost: 20 points in 41 games (.487 PPG), -2
Barrie: 17 points in 36 games (.472 PPG), -6
If you were to ignore previous their track record, you argue that they were similar in stats at the time of their trade. However, GMs do not look at a single season. Teams were willing to give Barrie $6 M per season after his year in Toronto.
Ghost is 27, Barrie is 30. Barrie's production has dropped from last year's COVID season, where Ghost's hasn't. That's a factor in their relative values.
Same caphit, but Ghost cost $3.25M next year and Barrie costs $4.5M, plus has one more year at $5M.
Looks like Barrie is fading as he ages, plus he's more expensive. If given the choice, which player is a GM going to acquire?
And the Coyotes have shopped Ghost, but couldn't get a late 2nd (or a late 1st with retention), so they agreed to keep him into next season (he likes the team and the Valley) until they can get a better return.
The market for offensive D is pretty weak right now. My guess is that if Ghost can't get a late 2nd, than Barrie's value is similarly probably a 3rd round pick or later, especially if the Oilers won't retain or take back cap.
Firstly, Ghost is 28 years old, not 27. He is about to turn 29 on April 20, while Barrie will turn 31 on July 26. Barrie is actually only 1.74 years old than Ghost. As you can see, the age difference is much closer than you stated in your post.
The actual cost will only matter to teams that are cheap. The cap hit is going to be more important for most teams. You are stating that Barrie is declining as he ages, while he literally had one of the best seasons the previous year. Barrie consistently outproduces Ghost. Ghost is an inconsistent player who had to play in the AHL in 2019-2020 season since he had 12 points in 42 games with the Flyers. If given the choice, which player is a GM going to acquire?
It makes sense that teams are not acquiring Ghost since he is inconsistent. Teams do not know what type of Ghost they are going to get. With Barrie, you can at least expect.50 PPG.
Do you know a team that needs a PP QB? Seattle. Where is Barrie from? Lower mainland Vancouver. The market will be stronger for Barrie. I think he ends up in Seattle during the summer.