I guess Chychrun should have stayed after allUtah is humming right now .... hope we keep the energy from last game with a dash of ullmark
Season | W-L | GF | GA | GD | PP | PK | SF/G | SA/G | FO% |
22-23 | 3-2-0 | 21 | 16 | +5 | 25 | 72.2 | 34.2 | 29.6 | 56.1 |
23-24 | 3-2-0 | 21 | 15 | +6 | 22.7 | 76.2 | 33 | 26.8 | 54.4 |
24-25 | 3-2-0 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 38.1 | 75 | 31.2 | 29.6 | 48.5 |
Objectively, we are on a 99 pts pace, despite our starting goalie being out the last three games, along with Zub and Greig. With Fla, NJD, LAK and TB 4 teams expected to be in the playoffs, it looks like a bit tougher schedule than the previous two years.Thought it would be interesting to compare our starts up to this point for the last 3 years.
Caveat: this is a really small sample size but I think it's important to look at anyway because we've talked about slow starts derailing seasons.
Season W-L GF GA GD PP PK SF/G SA/G FO% 22-23 3-2-0 21 16 +5 25 72.2 34.2 29.6 56.1 23-24 3-2-0 21 15 +6 22.7 76.2 33 26.8 54.4 24-25 3-2-0 18 19 -1 38.1 75 31.2 29.6 48.5
If I look at this objectively, these are NOT good numbers to start this season.
Never felt like he gelled with the team. No doubt we need some depth though just don't think he's the guyI guess Chychrun should have stayed after all
I meant with Arizona, he was offered an out because they were rebuilding, but now they are Utah and are hummingNever felt like he gelled with the team. No doubt we need some depth though just don't think he's the guy
5 games is a really small sample size to base anything on, doubly so because the opposition can be really different. 20 games is a better barometer. In our case, I think our first 20 is the toughest 20 game segmentObjectively, we are on a 99 pts pace, despite our starting goalie being out the last three games, along with Zub and Greig. With Fla, NJD, LAK and TB 4 teams expected to be in the playoffs, it looks like a bit tougher schedule than the previous two years.
2024-25 xGA/60 @ 5v5 is 2.11, 3rd in the league
2023-24 xGA/60 was 2.64, 22nd in the league
2022-23 xGA/60 was 2.63, 17 th in the league
So, is the jump in GA systemic and likely to continue? Underlying numbers suggest no. On the flip side, the xGF are also lower than prior years, might be something to keep an eye on as the PP won't continue scoring one 38% of attempts.
The reality is for all the story lines about our slow starts needing to improve, we never actually got off to a slow start in the first 5, as you've shown. Our issue is flaming out immediately after that.
What stands out to me is that our defensive play didn't crumble the moment that Zub got hurt.5 games is a really small sample size to base anything on, doubly so because the opposition can be really different. 20 games is a better barometer. In our case, I think our first 20 is the toughest 20 game segment
I like the x/GA stat. Probably some confirmation bias built in there but we're not giving up a lot.
The 5 on 5 scoring needs to improve but sub 5% shooting won't stay that way.
We are in pretty good shape
Our Stars are scoring
Norris looks way better than at any point last year
Sanderson looks like he wants to enter the Norris discussion
Kleven is making guys pay to come down that right side wall
And Ullmark has looked great..
The only real weak point has been back up goaltending. We need Ullmark to be healthy and fortunately back up goaltending isn't the hardest thing to find
5 games is a really small sample size to base anything on, doubly so because the opposition can be really different. 20 games is a better barometer. In our case, I think our first 20 is the toughest 20 game segment
I like the x/GA stat. Probably some confirmation bias built in there but we're not giving up a lot.
The 5 on 5 scoring needs to improve but sub 5% shooting won't stay that way.
We are in pretty good shape
Our Stars are scoring
Norris looks way better than at any point last year
Sanderson looks like he wants to enter the Norris discussion
Kleven is making guys pay to come down that right side wall
And Ullmark has looked great..
The only real weak point has been back up goaltending. We need Ullmark to be healthy and fortunately back up goaltending isn't the hardest thing to find
so look at why the defensive play didn't crumbleWhat stands out to me is that our defensive play didn't crumble the moment that Zub got hurt.
In 2022-23, Zub got hurt early on in game 7 and our xGA/60 was 3.24/60 for the next 9 games he missed.
in 2023-24 Zub got hurt in game 4 and in the next 7 games our xGA/60 was 3.5
So far (very small sample warning), we look more resilient to injuries to key players. That's a big positive.
Totally meaningless unless you factor in opponents plus other variables.Thought it would be interesting to compare our starts up to this point for the last 3 years.
Caveat: this is a really small sample size but I think it's important to look at anyway because we've talked about slow starts derailing seasons.
Season W-L GF GA GD PP PK SF/G SA/G FO% 22-23 3-2-0 21 16 +5 25 72.2 34.2 29.6 56.1 23-24 3-2-0 21 15 +6 22.7 76.2 33 26.8 54.4 24-25 3-2-0 18 19 -1 38.1 75 31.2 29.6 48.5
If I look at this objectively, these are NOT good numbers to start this season.