Trades & Free Agency Thread: 2024-2025 - Trade Deadline Approaches

Oh, you are correct there, I misread the date. He can pace all he wants, just like Mitch can. If you dont do it, it didnt happen.
Just like when people here called Nylander a 115 point player when he signed to justify the contract.
98 points is the best season either of them has ever had, and Forsberg has never come close to reaching that pace again.
Coincidentally neither will Nylander seeing as he’s under a point per game in the 95 games since he signed. At least Forsberg put up a paltry 48 goals/94 points last year. As you said - not as good as 40 goals/98 points (unless you value goals more than points).
 
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This is extremely vague. What does he believe his market value is and what does Colorado believe it is?

If Colorado, who knows the player better than any other team, thinks he’s a 12M player, and the player thinks he’s a 14M player - he can take a “significant” cut and still not meet Colorado’s valuation.
Exactly what he meant if marner takes 100k less than mathews he ll say the same thing
 
Friedman on 32T insinuated that the Leafs might be compete on the higher-end targets at the deadline due to a lack of assets. He defended the leafs reported interest in Luke Kunin. I think we should prepare ourselves for an underwhelming acquisition (Unless they use the 2026 1st or Minten/Cowan/Danford).
 
The mistake you are owning defeats your entire argument which I’m waiting for you to acknowledge.
LOL no it didnt, they still signed 2 different contracts in 2 different markets under 2 completely different league conditions. Stamkos makes as much as Forsberg and signed at the same time as Willy, whos better? Who were Forsbergs comparisons at the time he signed?

Edit: also do you think If forsberg signed today, he would sign the same deal he did at that time? LOL

TO be clear, since you clearly are missing the obvious point. Forsberg is an amazing player who is as good or better than Nylander, that's not why they are not comparisons for contracts.

The leagues cap hits were different when Forsberg signed.
 
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Habs fan here coming in peace.

Just curious if you guys would have traded Marner for Rantanen as the base of a trade?

Wonder what Leafs fan think.
I mean both players will probably ask for the same money this summer.

Do you guys prefer Marner, a great playmaking winger that complements Matthews well or Rantanen, a more physical goal scorer and playoff performer?

Cheers!
 
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Habs fan here coming in peace.

Just curious if you guys would have traded Marner for Rantanen as the base of a trade?

Wonder what Leafs fan think.
I mean both players will probably ask for the same money this summer.

Do you guys prefer Marner, a great playmaking winger that complements Matthews well or Rantanen, a more physical goal scorer and playoff performer?

Cheers!
Most people would take Rantanen, I believe. If Mitch had any sort of positive playoff track record it could be closer but really, it shouldnt be too close at this point.
 
Habs fan here coming in peace.

Just curious if you guys would have traded Marner for Rantanen as the base of a trade?

Wonder what Leafs fan think.
I mean both players will probably ask for the same money this summer.

Do you guys prefer Marner, a great playmaking winger that complements Matthews well or Rantanen, a more physical goal scorer and playoff performer?

Cheers!

1 for 1 absolutely.

If the Necas trade was on the table still I may have flipped him as well after

We need a C though and cap for McDavid who is coming home to Toronto. Best city in all the land.
 
LOL no it didnt, they still signed 2 different contracts in 2 different markets under 2 completely different league conditions. Stamkos makes as much as Forsberg and signed at the same time as Willy, whos better? Who were Forsbergs comparisons at the time he signed?
This is the argument you made:
His contract comparable is NOT Filip Forsberg, that is a hilariously terrible take.

Forsberg signed 2 years earlier right before another massive cap rise while coming off 42 points in 50 games.
Edit: also do you think If forsberg signed today, he would sign the same deal he did at that time? LOL

TO be clear, since you clearly are missing the obvious point. Forsberg is an amazing player who is as good or better than Nylander, that's not why they are not comparisons for contracts.

The leagues cap hits were different when Forsberg signed.
The cap was 82.5M when Forsberg signed and 83.5M when Nylander signed. Why is Nylander paid 35% more only 17 months years later?

Would Forsberg sign that same deal? No, he’d use Nylander as a comparable if he signed today.

Would you sign Nylander to 11.5Mx8 today?
 
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Habs fan here coming in peace.

Just curious if you guys would have traded Marner for Rantanen as the base of a trade?

Wonder what Leafs fan think.
I mean both players will probably ask for the same money this summer.

Do you guys prefer Marner, a great playmaking winger that complements Matthews well or Rantanen, a more physical goal scorer and playoff performer?

Cheers!
Rantanen easily.
 
Habs fan here coming in peace.

Just curious if you guys would have traded Marner for Rantanen as the base of a trade?

Wonder what Leafs fan think.
I mean both players will probably ask for the same money this summer.

Do you guys prefer Marner, a great playmaking winger that complements Matthews well or Rantanen, a more physical goal scorer and playoff performer?

Cheers!

Rantanen is the better player imo and Marner has to OK any trade he's involved in because he's got a full NMC

I doubt he's waiving to be traded somewhere else
 
Habs fan here coming in peace.

Just curious if you guys would have traded Marner for Rantanen as the base of a trade?

Wonder what Leafs fan think.
I mean both players will probably ask for the same money this summer.

Do you guys prefer Marner, a great playmaking winger that complements Matthews well or Rantanen, a more physical goal scorer and playoff performer?

Cheers!
In a heartbeat
 
This is the argument you made:


The cap was 82.5M when Forsberg signed and 83.5M when Nylander signed. Why is Nylander paid 35% more only 17 months years later?

Would Forsberg sign that same deal? No, he’d use Nylander as a comparable if he signed today.

Would you sign Nylander to 11.5Mx8 today?

Even (or especially) if you think Nylander's contract is bad, how does that rationalize wanting to give out yet another bad contract to a RFA with a career-high 65 points? Never mind the opportunity cost of the picks + waiting time for Dallas to match while other free agents are getting signed.
 
Even (or especially) if you think Nylander's contract is bad, how does that rationalize wanting to give out yet another bad contract to a RFA with a career-high 65 points? Never mind the opportunity cost of the picks + waiting time for Dallas to match while other free agents are getting signed.
The 21 year old C who scored 30 goals at age 20 and 10 goals in 19 playoff games last spring? Do you expect him to plateau at 20 years old or do you think he can be a point per game player (11.5M value in Toronto)?

Nylander got 7.5M against a 79.5M cap in 2018. Paying Jonhston 9.1M against a 98M cap would be a lower cap % and Johnston has the better career numbers than Nylander when he signed.

You're right though - the Leafs could keep the 1st/2nd/3rd of this proposed deal and use them on rentals!
 
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The 21 year old C who scored 30 goals at age 20 and 10 goals in 19 playoff games last spring? Do you expect him to plateau at 20 years old or do you think he can be a point per game player (11.5M value in Toronto)?

Nylander got 7.5M against a 79.5M cap in 2018. Paying Jonhston 9.1M against a 98M cap would be a lower cap % and Johnston has the better career numbers than Nylander when he signed.

You're right though - the Leafs could keep the 1st/2nd/3rd of this proposed deal and use them on rentals!

Again, what does Nylander have to do with anything? Wyatt had a career-high 65 points last season and is on pace for less than that this season. Maybe he'll grow into a PPG player, maybe not. One of our biggest issues to date has been commiting too much to our top 4 forwards - we're about to get out of that with JT expiring, why the eagerness to get right back into that quandry?
 
Again, what does Nylander have to do with anything?
Plenty of people on this board justified paying Nylander his first contract based on worse production than Johnston. I'd bet you were one of them. I'm pointing out that it would be hypocritical to say 9.1M is a bad deal for Johnston if you defended the Nylander deal when it was signed. I apologize if you also called the first Nylander deal a bad contract when it was signed. Please correct me if my assumptions were wrong.
Wyatt had a career-high 65 points last season and is on pace for less than that this season.
Wyatt Johnston is pacing 65 points this season.
Maybe he'll grow into a PPG player, maybe not. One of our biggest issues to date has been commiting too much to our top 4 forwards - we're about to get out of that with JT expiring, why the eagerness to get right back into that quandry?
I completely agree! The other issue is they aren't getting enough surplus value on their high end contracts. Unlike Marner/Nylander/Matthews, Johnston has his prime in front of him and can realistically outperform the proposed contract (similar to how Nylander outperformed the same % of the cap!).
 
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Plenty of people on this board justified paying Nylander his first contract based on worse production than Johnston. I'd bet you were one of them. I'm pointing out that it would be hypocritical to say 9.1M is a bad deal for Johnston if you defended the Nylander deal when it was signed. I apologize if you also called the first Nylander deal a bad contract when it was signed. Please correct me if my assumptions were wrong.

Wyatt Johnston is pacing 65 points this season.

I completely agree! The other issue is they aren't getting enough surplus value on their high end contracts. Unlike Marner/Nylander/Matthews, Johnston has his prime in front of him and can realistically outperform the proposed contract (similar to how Nylander outperformed the same % of the cap!).

I was fine with Nylander's first contract except for the fact that Dubas made him whole for sitting out, which set a bad precedent for the others. But again, Nylander has nothing to do with this - just because he took off doesn't mean that Wyatt will.

I like the player, but what you're proposing is a gamble that doesn't make much sense. Either Dallas matches after making us wait while the other free agents get snapped up, or we're right back in the same predicament we've been in for years with top 4 forwards taking up half our cap. Not to mention if we're offering Wyatt 9, Knies is asking for 7+. Let's learn from our mistakes rather than repeating them.
 
Oh, you are correct there, I misread the date. He can pace all he wants, just like Mitch can. If you dont do it, it didnt happen. 98 points is the best season either of them has ever had, and Forsberg has never come close to reaching that pace again.

Anyways again, im done. I just wanted to own up to my mistake about the contract signing time.

There’s not a lot of daylight between Nylander and Forsberg. That’s not knocking Willie down but more about how Forsberg is very underrated.
 
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I was fine with Nylander's first contract except for the fact that Dubas made him whole for sitting out, which set a bad precedent for the others. But again, Nylander has nothing to do with this - just because he took off doesn't mean that Wyatt will.
I brought up Nylander because he’s a lesser comparable for the proposed contract (as I previously mentioned). You called the proposed contract bad, yet you were fine with Nylander’s first deal, which seems hypocritical given it’s an almost identical % of the cap for a player with better numbers playing a premium position.
I like the player, but what you're proposing is a gamble that doesn't make much sense. Either Dallas matches after making us wait while the other free agents get snapped up, or we're right back in the same predicament we've been in for years with top 4 forwards taking up half our cap.
This assumes it happens on July 1st. You’re also assuming Marner is re-signed which isn’t a given. What UFA would be a better fit than Johnston for this team? I understand the opportunity cost argument but I’d defend a move like this if it cost them a Sam Bennett or any of the other UFA C’s. Worst case scenario they take those same assets and trade for a C.
Not to mention if we're offering Wyatt 9, Knies is asking for 7+. Let's learn from our mistakes rather than repeating them.
Isn’t that already his ask according to what’s out there? Why does Knies compare himself to Johnston when they play different positions and one has a career high of 65 points, the other 35? Johnston put up 42 goals between the regular season and playoffs last year, Knies has 36 in his career.
 
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Rantanen is a pending unrestricted free agent in line for a massive payday this summer. He’s on pace for his third consecutive 100-point season, was the leading scorer on a Stanley Cup-winning club and has twice finished in the top-10 of Hart Trophy voting. With contract uncertainty looming, the Avalanche decided to trade him.

“I was ready to take a significant discount from my market value,” Rantanen said of a potential extension in Colorado. “We had some chats a couple days before and then they traded me. That’s what happened. That’s why I didn’t expect it.”

Colorado has franchise center Nathan MacKinnon signed to a $12.6 million average annual value contract, and the front office also has to look ahead to Cale Makar’s next contract. The 2022 Conn Smythe winner is extension eligible after the 2025-26 season and will presumably net a record-setting contract for defensemen, if not all players.

MacFarland clearly had reservations about having too much of his salary cap space tied up in three players, as prolific as they might be. The Avalanche also did not want to risk Rantanen reaching free agency and leaving before the team could recoup anything in return.

Rantanen declined to comment on exactly how much the Avalanche offered, so it’s unclear what his side viewed as market value or what it would have deemed a “significant” discount.
Leon Draisaitl, who shares an agent with Rantanen, signed an eight-year deal with a $14 million average annual value cap hit, and it’s reasonable to expect a team will pay Rantanen around that much if he reaches the open market.

The Athletic’s Dom Luszczyszyn’s model projects Rantanen’s value above $13 million with projected raises in the salary cap.

Asked if he felt there was progress in recent contract talks, Rantanen said, “I did. I talked with our management and we had a conversation.”

That all contributed to the surprise of the trade.

“I didn’t know we were in a rush,” he said. “That’s what I felt. That’s my honest opinion. …"

“It’s business, and I understand. They’re trying to think what’s best for them.”

This is the question. What is a significant discount?

Marner thought he was giving one.
 
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