Top 20 Prospects of years past

[Mad Dog Tannen]

Never realized Carl Klingberg was drafted by the Jets. He won two championships with my local Swiss team.

Go EV Zug!

 

[Jets4Life]

1. F-Rutger McGroarty (+3)
2. F-Chaz Lucius (+3)
3. F-Brad Lambert (+2)
4. F-Colby Barlow (NEW)
5. D-Ville Heinola (-3)
6. D-Elias Salomonsson (+7)
7. F-Nikita Chibrikov (NC)
8. G-Domenic DiVincentiis (NR)
9. D-Declan Chisholm (-1)
10. F-Dmitri Rashevsky (-1)
11. F-Danny Zhilkin (+5)
12. G-Thomas Milic (NEW)
13. F-Fabian Wagner (NR)
14. D-Dmitri Kuzmin (+1)
15. F-Daniel Torgersson (-3)
16. D-Artemi Kniazev (NR)
17. D-Simon Lundmark (NC)
18. G-Oskari Salminen (NC)
19. F-Zach Nehring (NEW)
20. D-Tyrel Bauer (NC)

2024 Winnipeg Jets Top Prospects

1 - Brad Lambert (3)
2 - Brayden Yager (New)
3 - Elias Salomonsson (6)
4 - Ville Heinola (5)
5 - Colby Barlow (4)
6 - Nikita Chibrikov (7)
7 - Chaz Lucius (2)
8 - Alfons Freij (New)
9 - Dmitri Rashevsky (10)
10 - Thomas Milic (12)
11 - Jacob Julien (New)
12 - Domenic DiVincentiis (8)
13 - Parker Ford (New)
14 - Kevin He (New)
15 - Daniel Zhilkin (11)
16 - Simon Lundmark (17)
17 - Kieron Walton (New)
18 - Connor Levis (New)
19 - Fabian Wagner (13)
20 - Tyrel Bauer (20)

 

[Gm0ney]

Here's the updated left-to-right listing of the rankings dating back to 2011:

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

1

Scheifele

Scheifele

Trouba

Ehlers

Ehlers

Laine

Connor

Vesalainen

Vesalainen

Perfetti

Perfetti

Perfetti

McGroarty

Lambert

2

Klingberg

Trouba

Scheifele

Morrissey

Hellebuyck

Connor

Roslovic

Niku

Samberg

Heinola

Heinola

Heinola

Lucius

Yager

3

Cormier

Telegin

Morrissey

Hellebuyck

Morrissey

Hellebuyck

Vesalainen

Appleton

Heinola

Samberg

Lucius

Samberg

Lambert

Salomonson

4

Postma

Postma

Lowry

Petan

Petan

Morrissey

Niku

Samberg

Niku

Harkins

Chibrikov

McGroarty

Barlow

Heinola

5

Gregoire

Machacek

Redmond

Hutchinson

Connor

Petan

Poolman

Gustafsson

Appleton

Vesalainen

Samberg

Lambert

Heinola

Barlow

6

Telegin

Cormier

Petan

Kosmachuk

Armia

Roslovic

Comrie

Lemieux

Stanley

Gustafsson

Gustafsson

Lucius

Salomonsson

Chibrikov

7

O'Dell

Klingberg

Postma

Lowry

Roslovic

Armia

Spacek

Spacek

Berdin

Chisholm

Vesalainen

Chibrikov

Chibrikov

Lucius

8

Maxwell

Pasquale

O'Dell

O'Dell

Harkins

Lemieux

Harkins

Stanley

Gustafsson

Berdin

Kovacevic

Chisholm

DiVincentiis

Freij

9

Machacek

Sutter

Hellebuyck

Comrie

Comrie

Comrie

Samberg

Green

Kovacevic

Niku

Torgersson

Rashevsky

Chisholm

Rashevsky

10

Kulda

Lowry

Telegin

Glover

Chiarot

Stanley

Stanley

Berdin

Nikkanen

Gawanke

Chisholm

Gustafsson

Rashevsky

Milic

11

Redmond

Redmond

Comrie

Lipon

Copp

De Leo

Kovacevic

Kovacevic

Chisholm

Nikkanen

Berdin

Barron

Zhilkin

Julien

12

Saponari

Kosmachuk

Lodge

Copp

Kostalek

Green

Foley

Comrie

Green

Torgersson

Nikkanen

Togersson

Milic

DiVicentiis

13

Melchiori

Yuen

Kosmachuk

De Leo

Lemieux

Harkins

Lemieux

Smith

Vallati

Kovacevic

Kuzmin

Salomonson

Wagner

Ford

14

Petterson-Wentzel

Gregoire

Kulda

Kichton

Kosmachuk

Poolman

Green

Suess

Gawanke

Holm

Holm

Gawanke

Kuzmin

He

15

Leveille

Maxwell

Lipon

Klingberg

Spacek

Spacek

Virtanen

Harkins

Spacek

Stanley

Lundmark

Kuzmin

Torgersson

Zhilkin

16

Lowry

Melchiori

Melchiori

Lodge

De Leo

Niku

De Leo

McKenzie

Lundmark

Smith

Smith

Zhilkin

Kniazev

Lundmark

17

Serville

O'Dell

Olkinuora

Blomqvist

Foley

Foley

Nogier

Nogier

Harkins

Johannesson

Rashevsky

Lundmark

Lundmark

Walton

18

Samuels-Thomas

Sol

Olsen

Kraskovsky

Kraskovsky

Kosmachuk

Gawanke

Kerdiles

McKenzie

Lundmark

Gawanke

Nikkanen

Salminen

Levis

19

Albert

Serville

Kichton

Kostalek

Lipon

Kostalek

Appleton

Vallati

Smith

Blaisdell

Johannesson

Salminen

Nehring

Wagner

20

Yuen

Brassard

Copp

Olsen

Niku

Lipon

Berdin

Virtanen

Blaisdel

Luotu

Blaisdell

Bauer

Bauer

Bauer

21

Pasquale

Hellebuyck

Chiarot

Chiarot

Kichton

Berdin

Kraskovsky

Moe (tie)

Virtanen

Reichel

Reichel

Wagner

Levis

Kuzmin

22

Sol

Kulda

Telegin

Poolman

Kraskovsky

McKenzie

Chisholm (tie)

Luotu

Wong

Bauer

Holm

Nikkanen

Loponen

23

Brassard

Chiarot

Glover

Tanev

Tanev

Gawanke

Nogier

Bauer

Wong

Moe

Julien

Nehring

24

Chiarot

Phillips

Appleton

Lipon

Bourque

Wong

Virtanen

Moe

Johannesson

Brown

Torgersson

25

Kulda

Lodge

Cederholm

Evingson

Wong

Moe

Green (tie)

Neaton

Brown

Nikkanen

26

Olsen

Kichton

Phillips*

Evingson*

Neaton

McKenzie (tie)

Luotu (DQ - would've been 24th)

DiVicentis

Brown

27

Blomqvist

Phillips

Cederholm*

Kraskovsky*

Evingson

Moe

Bongiovanni

28

Karlstrom

Lodge

Kostalek*

Cederholm*

Holm

Neaton

29

Franklin

Glover

Franklin*

Holm*

Evingson

30

Gennaro

Nogier

Holm*

31

Nogier

Franklin

Stallard*

32

Ustaski

Stallard

33

Telegin

Blomqvist

34

Olsen

35

Gennaro

36

Karlstrom

37

Ustaski

 

[Gm0ney]

Here are the Bust Rates at each ranking:

1st: 2/12 (17%, Vesalainen x 2) (this one's out of 12 because we know up to 2022).
2nd: 2/10 (20%, Klingberg and Niku)
3rd: 3/10 (30%, Cormier, Telegin, Vesalainen)
4th: 4/10 (40%, Petan x 2, Niku x 2)
5th: 5/10 (50%, Gregoire, Machacek, Redmond, Petan, Vesalainen)
6th: 5/10 (50%, Telegin, Cormier, Petan, Kosmachuk, Comrie)
7th: 5/10 (50%, O'Dell, Klingberg, Spacek x 2, Berdin)
8th: 5/10 (50%, Maxwell, Pasquale, O'Dell x 2, Berdin)
9th: 7/10 (70%, Too many to list! 3/10 that weren't busts: Hellebuyck, Samberg, Kovacevik)
10th: 6/10 (60%, 4/10 NHLers: Lowry, Chiarot, Stanley x 2)
11th: 6/10 (60%, 4/10 NHLers: Copp, Kovacevic x 2, Chisholm - maybe jumping the gun here)
12th: 9/10 (90%, 1/10 NHLer: Copp)
13th: 6/10 (60%, 4/10 NHLers: Lemieux x 2, Harkins, Kovacevic)
14th: 9/10 (90%, 1/10 NHLer: Poolman - although his career may be done before he hits 200)
15th: 8/10 (80%, 2/10 NHLers: Harkins, Stanley)
16th: 9/10 (90% 1/10 NHLer: Lowry)
17th: 9/10 (90%, 1/10 NHLer: Harkins)
18th: 10/10 (100% busts)
19th: 9/10 (90%, 1/10 NHLer: Appleton)
20th: 9/10 (90%, 1/10 NHLer: Copp)

*My definition of a bust is <200 games for a skater, <100 games for a goalie. So Postma is not technically a bust, but Petan and Comrie technically are.

Lowest ranked player to hit the 200 game threshold: Ben Chiarot and Mason Appleton ranked 24th in 2011 and 2016, respectively. For Appleton at least there's the excuse that he was drafted out of the USHL and buried in the Jets' deepest prospect pool ever (37 prospects were voted on in 2016). Chiarot was 24th in a paper-thin 2011 prospect pool (and didn't crack the Top 20 until 2015, when, I can only assume, he rubbed a magic lamp he found in a cave in the Arabian Desert).

Highest ranked player to bust: Vesalainen ranked #1 for 2 consecutive years in 2018 and 2019.

Once you're out of the top 8, the chances get pretty slim. The Jets had established a pretty deep pool by 2015 so you get a couple of guys like Harkins and Lemieux who bubbled up from the mid-teens and a few way down there.

Fun fact: Hellebuyck debuted as the 21st ranked prospect in 2012 - 13 spots behind Eddie Pasquale (8th). Oops! Hellebuyck went from 21st to 9th to 3rd to 2nd and then back to 3rd before graduating to multiple Vezina wins.