After winning 5 of their last 7 games The Sharks are still dead last in points percentage with a .333
They shot 17.2% as a team in those 5 wins, league average is hovering around 9%
It took this team 27 games to both outshoot their opponent and win the game on the same night, they have 8 total wins and 2 total games with a positive shot differential
This team is still just as bad as we all thought, they're just seeing their luck turn, the losses will resume in short order
Hilarious choke job by Detroit though, I love that this was Kane's first game as a Red Wing
I don't know, a 33% points percentage and a 29% win percentage is pretty horrific
Not to mention the 40% shot share
You know I'm with you (not as intense on the historic badness but we are bad).
However...
Points % and win % doesn't tell you anything other than our start was as bad as we all knew and it was a huge hole to dig out of. Since the 10-goal losses, we're 8-6-1 (2 OT wins) with a -9 goal differential, including 7-1 and 5-0 and 3-0 losses. Yes, that is bad. No, it is not historically bad and we are just getting bailed out by shooting%.
Shooting % tells us that the Sharks are either a) getting the other side of puck luck (possible), b) shooting really well all of a sudden (less likely), c) getting very high danger chances which are, by nature, higher shooting %. I think it's both A and C. Lots more tap-in goals (Hertl has had 3 in a week...), lots more breakaways which are ~30% shooting percentage. So while this will come down to earth, it's also possible (and the eyes say so) that we're getting very high % chances and burying them in the last 12 games.
Shot differential... We are definitely still getting outshot, and it's a combination of the skill of the team (less than opponents) and Quinn's system (possibly because of the skill level...) which allows us to get hemmed in our own zone a lot. I haven't checked the advanced stats (e.g. High Danger chances vs. shots, etc) to see whether the system is "working" or whether we are just turtling because it's our only option. BUT, it's pretty undeniable that we are getting a lot more counterattacking chances, and a lot more successful shifts in the opposing zone as well leading to chances, in the past 10-14 games. Rather than just "season total shot %" I would want to look up (but am too lazy to do so right now) shot % since the Philly game, plus, high danger chances as a % of total chances, and vs. other teams (are we 32nd in that metric since Nov 6?)
I keep saying it... if this is a stretch of over a month that we can go on, that means it could happen let's say 1 more time this year. If it happens 1 more time this year, and the other 3 months are horror-bad, we are still a 20-25 win team and we are still at risk of losing worst place to a bunch of teams that look themselves like absolute dogshit right now. The Athletic just did an analysis of Bedard's linemates and general team support, and it's the worst for a 1OA pick in the last 20 years. The Hawks are bad, certainly worse than us in forward depth.