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Buffalo Bills The offseason begins

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NFL beat writer mock draft 2025: Giants, Raiders secure their futures at QB

Good news for teams that want to invest in the trenches: This draft is filled with talent on the offensive and defensive lines.
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30. Buffalo Bills: Matthew Golden, WR, Texas​

In case you’re wondering … yes, there were brief discussions with the Browns about Myles Garrett for this mock. While there was no deal this time, the Bills are a clear match in terms of team needs, winning environment and motivation. As for this selection, while the Bills have defensive needs, they also lacked receivers who could separate in the intermediate and deep areas of the field. They also didn’t have a true starter at Z-receiver in 2024. Drafting Golden gives them all those things they were missing, with a tremendous bargain at No. 30. This was the best need-meets-value option on the board, with two second-round picks on the way to address the defense and take advantage of the defensive line depth in this class. — Joe Buscaglia
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NOTE: The apple of many eyes in DT Kenneth Grant was taken at #22. Tyleik Williams was still on the board and went 32.
 
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Jim Bob said:
The idea that Doak talked about was making a pre-6/1 trade involving 2025 picks that would end up being rearranged in a post-6/1 trade for Garrett.

If Cleveland prefers future 1sts in the Garrett trade, there is no real need to mess with a "pre-trade" using 2025 picks. I mean, if they are willing to wait for a 2026 1st, I doubt they would want to jump through hoops to get day 2 or 3 2025 picks in the deal.


My dream scenario is Cleveland needing to wait until post 6/1 to trade Garrett, so the Bills draft a DT (I prefer Grant because I am with Bruce Nolan in believing they need to get bigger at DT) at 30 and then use their 2026 and 2027 1sts in the Garrett trade.
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Quoting you but only because it's Garrett talk and agree with the bolded.

I'd love to see a Garrett trade.
I don't see Cleveland doing in Pre 6/1 due to dead cap hit this coming year.
Therefor I don't see 2025 picks being in the mix. I COULD see the Bills trading a 2nd or 4th this year to a different team for said teams 1st or 3rd in 2026, to help give the browns more picks in 2026.

There's comps from the Kahlil Mack trade are: Raiders got the Bears 1st, and 6th rounders in 2019, 1st and 3rd round picks in 2020

The Bears got Mack, along with a 2nd and a 5th rounder.
If you wash out the 5th and 6th rounders as negligible. It's two 1st rounders and a 3rd. For Mack and a 2nd.

Point is, I don't want to just throw assets around like they are nothing and give the Browns two 1sts and a 2nd or more. Garrett is also 29 and Mack was 27. That's a HUGE difference as those are two of your TOP prime years in the league. Garrett could start declining in a year or two even.

I do not want the Bills to overpay for Garrett and just go all in at all costs. Garrett should go for less than Mack did.
 
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Jim Bob said:
The idea that Doak talked about was making a pre-6/1 trade involving 2025 picks that would end up being rearranged in a post-6/1 trade for Garrett.

If Cleveland prefers future 1sts in the Garrett trade, there is no real need to mess with a "pre-trade" using 2025 picks. I mean, if they are willing to wait for a 2026 1st, I doubt they would want to jump through hoops to get day 2 or 3 2025 picks in the deal.


My dream scenario is Cleveland needing to wait until post 6/1 to trade Garrett, so the Bills draft a DT (I prefer Grant because I am with Bruce Nolan in believing they need to get bigger at DT) at 30 and then use their 2026 and 2027 1sts in the Garrett trade.
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That’s, literally, my dream scenario. Draft Grant. Trade for MG.

Groot-Grant-Oliver-Garrett. That's a front 4 that you can play every down. The additions of Grant and Garrett will also bring out the best of Rousseau & Oliver.

If we miss out on MG then we can look at a Crosby trade. Or Parsons. There are also some UFA's like Mack. Sweat. There are some options at Edge that we can look at in the 2nd round too, like, Ezeiruaku, Tuimoloau, Umanmielen, Ivey and Stewart. Beane knows what we need. He'll go out swinging imo.
 
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FIRE DRURY said:
That’s, literally, my dream scenario. Draft Grant. Trade for MG.

Groot-Grant-Oliver-Garrett. That's a front 4 that you can play every down. The additions of Grant and Garrett will also bring out the best of Rousseau & Oliver.

If we miss out on MG then we can look at a Crosby trade. Or Parsons. There are also some UFA's like Mack. Sweat. There are some options at Edge that we can look at in the 2nd round too, like, Ezeiruaku, Tuimoloau, Umanmielen, Ivey and Stewart. Beane knows what we need. He'll go out swinging imo.
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Agreed.

My dream trade scenario would be:

Bills trade their Minny 2025 2nd rounder, plus a Bills 5th or 6th in 2025 to say, a team like jags/Chargers (middle of the pack). For their 2026 1st (is this even ideal?)

Then for the Garrett trade post 6/1:
Bills Receive Garrett
Browns receive the Bills 2026 1st, the Jags/Chargers 2026th 1st, plus a Bills 2027 3rd.

That looks close in comp to the Mack trade.

I just don't know if it's realistic to get a Jags/Chargers team to bite on the pick swap. Might need to move more to them.

Bills still have their 1st and 2nd rounder this year to fill in around Garrett and a DB. They just go into 2026 draft without a 1st.
 
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Legit questions:
(1) why do the Browns have ANY motivation to move Myles G. this offseason? He is under contract, they would certainly benefit from his play, and his decline in value to next offseason vs. contributions this season seem to be an acceptable cost to bear.
(2) Why do people posit trading a 2nd and 5th (as an example) in 2025 draft for a 1st rounder in 2026 draft? I fully understand that a draft pick in n+1 years is worth less than the same round pick in draft year n, but the drop off in talent from a 1st rounder to a 2nd plus 5th (as an example) is large, regardless of whether all (3) picks end up being starters - which is certainly possible given roster needs and positional impact an value.
(3) Are people properly valuing the Bills ante if Myles Garrett is truly available? The issue isn't "fair value", it is outbidding quantity N other teams who could be in play (need, cap space, fortitude) to similarly acquire Garrett. Again, Garrett isn't a UFA where he can choose to go to the team with the best chances of winning the Lombardi.

Because of the above, and lacking convincing evidence otherwise, I think Garrett to BUF this offseason is less likely than a coin toss (but would love to be proven wrong - I agree with the fit / linkage / value to BUF).

Just my likely-to-no-longer-be-freshly-minted two cents.
 
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