HF Habs: The official 2023-2024 tank thread

Status
Not open for further replies.

dackelljuneaubulis02

Registered User
Oct 13, 2012
11,861
7,472
If the Bruins have two great goalies, the Habs have 3. Dont mistake team defensive stats for greatness.

They have two superstars that are better than our two star forwards but the Habs have way more depth. Dach is better than their third best forward.

On defense, I think Guhle is criminally underrated because hes young. He had nothing to envy to any of the Ds on the Bruins squad when he was at his top last year.
Guhle’s potential is enormous.

I think he’s the safest bet to be a legit star on the team long term. I wouldn’t say his offense came out of nowhere but I didn’t think it would translate that well and that fast. The only thing with him is injuries. Otherwise I think he’s going to be a cornerstone of this team. Hate Berg all you want but credit to him that he was up on that podium that fast to pick him. He’s got it all. Just has to fill out and stay healthy.
 

Deebs

Without you, everything falls apart
Feb 5, 2014
17,440
14,387
Not many teams going to be worse than us in the east barring extreme injuries. Lottery for sure. Even a Top 5 pick would guarantee one of Celebrini, Catton, Demidov, Eiserman or Dickinson. Catton and Dickinson impressed me at Hlinka.
Can't see us being bottom 5 unless we hit the injury train again. One of these years the bad luck has to run out
 

Sorinth

Registered User
Jan 18, 2013
11,598
6,240
Not many teams going to be worse than us in the east barring extreme injuries. Lottery for sure. Even a Top 5 pick would guarantee one of Celebrini, Catton, Demidov, Eiserman or Dickinson. Catton and Dickinson impressed me at Hlinka.
Anaheim, Columbus, Chicago, San Jose all finished below us last season and will probably do so again. Philly is likely dropping a lot, and we could quite easily beat Arizona and although hard to predict which team exactly there's usually at least one that has an unexpectedly bad year which would put us 8th from the bottom. And if some of our guys stay healthy and/or take the next step in their development we could quite easily be sitting outside the top-10.
 

DAChampion

Registered User
May 28, 2011
30,203
21,650
The Habs were 5th last last year. If they gain 12 points they will be 9th last, and if they gain 17 points they will be 11th last.

That is a steep climb.

But, their best players are young, they led the league in injuries, and they replaced Drouin, Hoffman, and Dadonov with Newhook, Harvey Pinard, and Ylonen.
 

Spearmint Rhino

Registered User
Sep 17, 2013
9,329
9,349
Losing Tank Commanders Hoffman and Drouin will be a big blow, will need someone to step up and continue the slack. D is too deep to get Wideman into many games to help us lose, might fall to Armia and Gally and whichever backup cracks the line up
 
  • Like
Reactions: bsl

BargainBinSpecial

Registered User
Jul 2, 2018
2,703
1,414
Not many teams going to be worse than us in the east barring extreme injuries. Lottery for sure. Even a Top 5 pick would guarantee one of Celebrini, Catton, Demidov, Eiserman or Dickinson. Catton and Dickinson impressed me at Hlinka.
With Petry, the Habs were a middle of the pack bubble team. Now, they will likely finish in the bottom 10.
 

BargainBinSpecial

Registered User
Jul 2, 2018
2,703
1,414
Losing Tank Commanders Hoffman and Drouin will be a big blow, will need someone to step up and continue the slack. D is too deep to get Wideman into many games to help us lose, might fall to Armia and Gally and whichever backup cracks the line up
Gally likely is going to call it quits soon. LTIR is getting crowded again. There is no future with Armia on this team, HuGo must be desperately trying to get rid of him. He will be placed on waivers and Laval bound along with Wideman. After, the mess is pretty much cleared up baring the Price contract.
 

Estimated_Prophet

Registered User
Mar 28, 2003
11,141
12,323
Anaheim, Columbus, Chicago, San Jose all finished below us last season and will probably do so again. Philly is likely dropping a lot, and we could quite easily beat Arizona and although hard to predict which team exactly there's usually at least one that has an unexpectedly bad year which would put us 8th from the bottom. And if some of our guys stay healthy and/or take the next step in their development we could quite easily be sitting outside the top-10.

The East is so much stronger than the west that even though Montreal may be better than some of those teams they might have a difficult time winning more games.

On the other hand there is a possibility that the Habs take a big step as there is a ton of unrealized potential and I could see the D taking a huge step forward. Health once again will play an important role in this team's success and this should be a very intriguing year as we have an exciting group in Laval to watch as well. We also have a top prospect in Reinbacher and others with great potential in Hutson, Engstrom, Kapanen, Beck and Fowler all playing in other leagues.

I know that the Habs are extremely unlikely to make the playoffs but I am pumped to watch this season unfold on all of the different fronts that I mentioned. I won't be cheering for us to finish at the bottom again (unless injuries get out of hand) as we need to see progress if this group is going to ultimately be successful. I am quite happy finishing closer to a playoff spot and rolling the dice on a small chance of moving up 10 spots via the draft lottery. There can be little doubt that it is better for our future to see players like Dach, Guhle, Slaf, Xhekaj, Newhook take huge steps with Suzuki and Caufield continuing to improve than for a bunch of them to struggle and finish bottom 5. If anyone can't see that then they just don't understand how championship caliber teams are more likely to be built and are not envisioning a realistic scenario.
 

ReHabs

Registered User
Sponsor
Jan 18, 2022
8,138
12,494
The Habs were 5th last last year. If they gain 12 points they will be 9th last, and if they gain 17 points they will be 11th last.

That is a steep climb.

But, their best players are young, they led the league in injuries, and they replaced Drouin, Hoffman, and Dadonov with Newhook, Harvey Pinard, and Ylonen.
I think we can expect Caufield, Dach, and Guhle to improve their PPG. We can expect Suzuki to improve his PPG but it seems to me it'll be a function of playing with better/healthier linemates. So those are the four players I've the biggest hopes.

I think Drouin for Newhook is a wash for now -- many Avs fans have the exact same criticisms of Newhook as we have for Drouin -- but Newhook does have upside for more.

RHP and Hoffman aren't natural comparisons but we can hope that RHP brings better forechecking and physical play and is a net better contributor than Hoffman. I think Hoffman was unfairly maligned however, he was crappy but was always meant to be a (slightly too expensive) depth piece not a regular top-line player.

Dadonov was awful, hopefully Ylonen brings something more than him, but Dadanov was an underperforming skilled player while Ylonen doesn't seem like much of a skill player.

Otherwise we have Monahan, Armia, Gallagher, Anderson and Dvorak who should contribute as a function of their health and well-being. They can give 80% of their last year's performance or 150% of their last year's performance. We simply don't have any indication which way it'll go.

Additionally, Eddy was one of the worst d-men in the NHL last year. He's gone now. Matheson is expected to start and play a full season. Those two things by themselves will offer an improvement.

In all I think it's another losing season but like @Estimated_Prophet says, we want to see marked improvements among the core players because it would be a much better indicator of future success and the viability of this core than sinking like a stone and hoping for a top pick.
 

ChesterNimitz

governed by the principle of calculated risk
Jul 4, 2002
5,836
12,683
Toe Blake once said...................predictions are for gypsies.

Don't care where we finish this year, they will be more fun to watch with a couple of more kids coming into the lineup with more TOI and some rinse and repeat deadwood long gone.

Patience guys....the real fun starts 2024-25
I suspect at the completion of 2025/ 2026 we will have a much better idea if the young cohort ( Hutson, Mailloux, Reinbacher, Newhook, Slafkovsky, Beck, etc.) we are all breathlessly awaiting to support our return to competitiveness is a reality or constitutes mere hype. I remain optimistic in this regard.
 

BLONG7

Registered User
Oct 30, 2002
36,871
23,552
Nova Scotia
Visit site
With Petry, the Habs were a middle of the pack bubble team. Now, they will likely finish in the bottom 10.
Petry? Seriously..................you saw the way he played going out the door? The Pens fans were not happy with him last year, and as he hits 36 you think he made us better?
He is in decline............

Give me the 24 yr old and a pick any day and move on....
 

Rapala

Registered User
Mar 29, 2013
42,613
39,844
Montreal
I think Drouin for Newhook is a wash for now -- many Avs fans have the exact same criticisms of Newhook as we have for Drouin -- but Newhook does have upside for more.
Not a chance. They may have been disappointed on the O side but C'mon defensively, durability and age wise they aren't even in the same Galaxy.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: bsl and HabzSauce

Wats

Error 520
Mar 8, 2006
42,232
6,988
Petry? Seriously..................you saw the way he played going out the door? The Pens fans were not happy with him last year, and as he hits 36 you think he made us better?
He is in decline............

Give me the 24 yr old and a pick any day and move on....
The only reason you will be not happy with Petry is if he gets forced to be your #1 D. It's the Brisebois situation, he is a good #3/4 but the moment you make him top pairing it's asking for trouble.

Unless Barron/Lindstrom/Kovacevic/rushed Reinbacher is good enough to be a #3/4, Habs D will be significantly better with a top 4 of Matheson/Guhle/Savard/Petry.

Toe Blake once said...................predictions are for gypsies.

Don't care where we finish this year, they will be more fun to watch with a couple of more kids coming into the lineup with more TOI and some rinse and repeat deadwood long gone.

Patience guys....the real fun starts 2024-25
IMO the fun starts if/when Slafkovsky starts producing.
 

DAChampion

Registered User
May 28, 2011
30,203
21,650
Giving it more thought, I think that the two most important questions are:

1) Can either of Dach or Suzuki demonstrate that they can be or become first line centers? I get that one can argue that Suzuki's shown it in the playoffs, but that's a small sample.

2) The aggregate progression of all of the young D: Guhle, Xhekaj, Barron, Trudeau, Struble, Harris, Reinbacher, Huston, Engstrom, Mailloux. That's ten names (!!!). The Habs need two or three successes there to have a great D corps, and any additional success on top of that becomes gold-plated trade capital.
In all I think it's another losing season but like @Estimated_Prophet says, we want to see marked improvements among the core players because it would be a much better indicator of future success and the viability of this core than sinking like a stone and hoping for a top pick.

More or less that.

Will you be buying an AHL viewing package this year?
 
  • Like
Reactions: Rapala

BargainBinSpecial

Registered User
Jul 2, 2018
2,703
1,414
Petry? Seriously..................you saw the way he played going out the door? The Pens fans were not happy with him last year, and as he hits 36 you think he made us better?
He is in decline............

Give me the 24 yr old and a pick any day and move on....
Don't believe Lindström will be your saviour. The D is too deep. You will see him playing in Laval.
 

ReHabs

Registered User
Sponsor
Jan 18, 2022
8,138
12,494
Not a chance. They may have been disappointed on the O side but C'mon defensively, durability and age wise they aren't even in the same Galaxy.
In reference to just one season's worth of performance I think they're comparable.

Drouin had 29 in 58, exactly 0.5ppg, while Newhook (on a better team) got 0.36ppg. PPG isn't the be all end all but I don't think they're galaxies apart even if you do take into account durability and defensive performance. Newhook is statistically much much better defensively from what I just saw on NHL stats so that's encouraging though, looking forward to an upgrade there, but Avs fans don't have good things to say about his physical or defensive play either. He might be thrown to the wolves here with our much worse team and more leaky defense.
 
  • Like
Reactions: StCaufield

DAChampion

Registered User
May 28, 2011
30,203
21,650
In reference to just one season's worth of performance I think they're comparable.

Drouin had 29 in 58, exactly 0.5ppg, while Newhook (on a better team) got 0.36ppg. PPG isn't the be all end all but I don't think they're galaxies apart even if you do take into account durability and defensive performance. Newhook is statistically much much better defensively from what I just saw on NHL stats so that's encouraging though, looking forward to an upgrade there, but Avs fans don't have good things to say about his physical or defensive play either. He might be thrown to the wolves here with our much worse team and more leaky defense.

Newhook has a higher goals to assists ratio and probably had less sweet ice time.

And he's younger and cheaper than Drouin was.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Rapala and cphabs

ReHabs

Registered User
Sponsor
Jan 18, 2022
8,138
12,494
Will you be buying an AHL viewing package this year?
Absolutely not. I don't have spare time as it is and NHL games are hardly exciting, and the Habs have next to no exciting talents to follow outside of sniper Caufield.



The Habs are scored on more often than they're featured as goal scorers in this video. I had some thoughts and reflections while watching this absolutely amazing highlight reel but I'll keep them to myself for now.

Newhook has a higher goals to assists ratio and probably had less sweet ice time.

And he's younger and cheaper than Drouin was.
Age and Price are irrelevant when discussing the prognosis of a single season but sure, I can buy accept that Newhook's 30pts but superior upside is a clear and definitive upgrade on Drouin for the coming season. Drouin was soft and generally terrible.
 
Last edited:
Status
Not open for further replies.

Ad

Upcoming events

  • HV 71 @ Lulea Hockey
    HV 71 @ Lulea Hockey
    Wagers: 3
    Staked: $213.00
    Event closes
    • Updated:
  • Croatia vs Portugal
    Croatia vs Portugal
    Wagers: 1
    Staked: $25.00
    Event closes
    • Updated:
  • Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland
    Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland
    Wagers: 3
    Staked: $50,550.00
    Event closes
    • Updated:
  • Poland vs Scotland
    Poland vs Scotland
    Wagers: 1
    Staked: $25.00
    Event closes
    • Updated:
  • Serbia vs Denmark
    Serbia vs Denmark
    Wagers: 1
    Staked: $25.00
    Event closes
    • Updated:

Ad

Ad