Some positivity; there is a common thread between the last four teams that have pulled off 0-3 to 4--3 reverse sweeps.
In games 1 through 3, they were analytically in a dead heat with their opponent but just seemed to lose anyway due to bounces, bad PDO, or goaltending theatrics. This is bizarre - most teams that get swept get absolutely bodied in terms of xGF or scoring chances. Teams that pull off the reverse sweep are right there with their opponents and often deserve to be there they just are unlucky in the first three games - the 3-0 score flatters their opponents.
If you look at the analytics - I'd argue that describes this series. Expected goals are 8.76 to 8.53 for Florida with 1.9 of Florida's xGoals coming from empty net tries. High danger scoring chances are 41 to 26 for Edmonton. Scoring chances are 76 to 51 for Edmonton. PDO is 1.111 for FLA and 0.889 for EDM.
Not saying it's going to happen. But if it's going to happen - it's this team.
In games 1 through 3, they were analytically in a dead heat with their opponent but just seemed to lose anyway due to bounces, bad PDO, or goaltending theatrics. This is bizarre - most teams that get swept get absolutely bodied in terms of xGF or scoring chances. Teams that pull off the reverse sweep are right there with their opponents and often deserve to be there they just are unlucky in the first three games - the 3-0 score flatters their opponents.
If you look at the analytics - I'd argue that describes this series. Expected goals are 8.76 to 8.53 for Florida with 1.9 of Florida's xGoals coming from empty net tries. High danger scoring chances are 41 to 26 for Edmonton. Scoring chances are 76 to 51 for Edmonton. PDO is 1.111 for FLA and 0.889 for EDM.
Not saying it's going to happen. But if it's going to happen - it's this team.