The 5 tanks are back at it!

Nicko999

Registered User
Jan 23, 2008
8,124
2,085
Montreal
Honestly it is surprising how consistent those teams are season to season. Same bottom 5 for 3 years now.

22-23 season:

32- Ducks 58 pts
31- Jackets 59 pts
30- Hawks 59 pts
29- Sharks 60 pts
28- Habs 68 pts

23-24 season

32- Sharks 47 pts
31- Hawks 52 pts
30- Ducks 59 pts
29- Jackets 66 pts
28- Habs 76 pts

This season
Screenshot_20241118_010448_theScore.jpg


I am not sure of that stats but it must be pretty rare to have the same 5 teams at the bottom for 3 years straight.
 
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thedjpd

Registered User
Sponsor
Dec 12, 2002
3,692
966
San Jose, CA
Honestly it is surprising how consistent those teams are season to season. Same bottom 5 for 3 years now.

22-23 season:

32- Ducks 58 pts
31- Jackets 59 pts
30- Hawks 59 pts
29- Sharks 60 pts
28- Habs 68 pts

23-24 season

32- Sharks 47 pts
31- Hawks 52 pts
30- Ducks 59 pts
29- Jackets 66 pts
28- Habs 76 pts

This season
View attachment 932116

I am not sure of that stats but it must be pretty rare to have the same 5 teams at the bottom for 3 years straight.
Would be the best thing for the league is tanking was proven to be mostly ineffective, or at best 50/50. I think we got spoiled in the last 20 years by almost to near almost generational players being at #1 or #2 overall (Crosby, Malkin, Ovechkin, McDavid, MacKinnon, Kane) who can pull up bottom dwellers to respectability alone (and often, not even).

Even if they can, it takes many years - see: Ovechkin, McDavid. Tanking will hopefully become worth it for a team but only if there's a generational level player in it at the end - maybe, just maybe, it's hopeful that if you "just get an all-star" player, the purposeful tank may not fruitful enough to tank entire seasons for them (as that would be a 1/4 chance at best for the worst team in the league).
 
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Maitz

Registered User
Aug 3, 2006
3,514
2,355
Montreal
I remember having 2-3 teams always at the bottom of the standings for few years in a row but now 3 years having the same bottom 5, not sure if it's a good thing
 

Nogatco Rd

Pierre-Luc Dubas
Apr 3, 2021
2,907
5,400
crazy that you can look at the Blue Jackets’ schedule and spot the moment when their jinx thread was started


IMG_7091.jpeg
 

tiburon12

Registered User
Jul 18, 2009
5,087
5,172
Would be the best thing for the league is tanking was proven to be mostly ineffective, or at best 50/50. I think we got spoiled in the last 20 years by almost to near almost generational players being at #1 or #2 overall (Crosby, Malkin, Ovechkin, McDavid, MacKinnon, Kane) who can pull up bottom dwellers to respectability alone (and often, not even).

Even if they can, it takes many years - see: Ovechkin, McDavid. Tanking will hopefully become worth it for a team but only if there's a generational level player in it at the end - maybe, just maybe, it's hopeful that if you "just get an all-star" player, the purposeful tank may not fruitful enough to tank entire seasons for them (as that would be a 1/4 chance at best for the worst team in the league).

Tanking has proven to be more unsuccessful than successful over course of the post-lockout era. MacKinnon and Ekblad are the only #1 picks since 08 #1 Stamkos to win the cup. ~10 years for each of them to win. For reference, Malkin/Crosby were drafted in 04/05 and won in 09, Toews/Kane drafted in 06/07 and won in 10. This kinda of turnaround doesn't happen anymore.

In that same window 2008-present window:
  • #2 Barkov, Hedman, Doughty, Landeskog all won with their draft teams, Eichel and reinhart after trades, and Seguin on his draft team(but the Bruins didnt tank to get him).
  • #3 Bogosian won with not his draft team and in a bottom pair role
  • #4 Byram, Makar, Pietrangelo are the only winners with their draft team, Bennett won on his 2nd team. Critically, Makar and Byram were drafted 6 and 8 years, respectively, after Landeskog, who was 2 years AFTER Duchene and O'reilly were drafted.
  • #5 Schenn bros are the only to win, both not on their draft teams.
Thats 17 players across 7 cup winning teams, over 16 years and 90 top 5 picks.

Point being, tanking isn't a guarantee for success and even if it is, the teams who have proved it works took a decade to make it happen AND got arguably their most important pieces years after tanking a top pick (Rantanen/Makar, Kucherov/Vasi, Tkachuk/Bob).

Ducks and Habs are a great example of why tanking is a risk, and as a Sharks fan i'm definitely nervous about the next few years. Nothing is close to a guarantee
 

Crow

Registered User
May 19, 2014
4,523
3,382
To me it seems understandable that most of these teams are still this bad due to being early in their rebuilds and other circumstances.

I wonder if the same 5 might be the worst 5 next year too.

I am a little surprised at the ducks inability to get out of the gutter at this point, especially considering their goalie play. Will Anaheim add some decent vets from free agency? If not I am not sure when things start to click for them.

I don’t feel like I have the best read on the blue jackets next year. Are their prospects failing? People made Jricek out to be the second coming shortly after he was drafted and his stock has fallen pretty hard. He is still very young, and so are their other top guys. Too soon to say. Probably too soon to expect a major step forward.

I would expect the habs to take a step forward out of the bottom 5 next year. Kirby Dach looks terrible, that’s a bit of a blow.

Sharks and hawks look to be bottom 5 next year too. Fans of these teams will not be watching playoff hockey until ‘27-28 at the earliest.
 
Last edited:

Joemoe

Registered User
Aug 3, 2015
428
500
Ah yes the chosen five, would be pretty crazy if this group finished in whatever order for a third season in a row.
 

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