me2
Go ahead foot
We play the Ducks 3 more times, the Yotes 2 more times and the Sharks 1 more times. Those are all huge 4 points games (meaningful games in March!). The results of those games will probably determine the standing for the 27th to 30th places. I guess there is a chance Montreal falls back a bit and join that grouping, but you would think that StL, Philly and Ott are probably gone.
The Nucks do play Chi 2 more times but at 37 points currently and trading Kane/Toews soon, I don't think we can catch them.
So I guess the best we can realistically do is finished 30th overall, and worst is probably 26th. If that is the case, the worst case scenario is finishing 26th and drafting 9th (5.6%), but the best case scenario is finishing 30th and drafting 1st (11.5%).
The current trend suggest that we are more likely to be finishing 30th than 26th though. This tank's efficiency far exceeded my expectation.
If we did finish 30th, we would fall from 3rd to 5th and miss out on the big 4.