- Jul 25, 2007
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In our ever-circular series of discussions here on HFB, I wanted to intro this good analysis from the main boards into the Sharks discourse. We all know some people hate DW and DWJr and some people liked them, or are ambivalent, but data always helps.
This post does a backward-looking analysis of draft performance based on NHL games played vs. expected for the draft position. tl;dr Doug Wilson's tenure was in the 3rd quartile (aka worse than average, around 30-40%, but not bottom 25%).
I'm hoping that this will speed up the next cycle where we criticize former regime draft pick, and can instead agree that "they weren't very good, worse than average, weren't the worst either."
Some caveats:
This post does a backward-looking analysis of draft performance based on NHL games played vs. expected for the draft position. tl;dr Doug Wilson's tenure was in the 3rd quartile (aka worse than average, around 30-40%, but not bottom 25%).
I'm hoping that this will speed up the next cycle where we criticize former regime draft pick, and can instead agree that "they weren't very good, worse than average, weren't the worst either."
Some caveats:
- Games played not necessarily the best metric -- some teams, it'll be easier to play games. Someone suggested scraping cumulative WAR or something.
- Other stat nerd caveats in thread.
Grading each NHL team's draft performance
I've created a tool that, building on a some previous work (see Acknowledgements below), allows us to score each NHL team's draft performance. Basically, for each NHL draft pick 1 through 200ish we can look at the average number of NHL games played by each pick. Schuckers notices that there's...
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