Well the standard of assessing what a player has done by a certain age pretty much does disregard the particular details of specific seasons. And that's just how I'm viewing it. I'm sure we can all agree that rookie year numbers are not representative of any player's eventual level of production.
Maybe where we disagree is whether a sophomore season for a 19-20 year old kid should get a certain kind of consideration if that kid started his second year with a new coaching staff, one week of training camp, and less than half the normal amount of games in the regular season to develop. I think it does, which is why comparing Joey's 3-year career to players who didn't face 2nd year adversity like that isn't fair to Joey.
So we have to look at accomplishment by age.
As I stated earlier, I think almost every poster on this site wants the same things:
The Blue Jackets to ice the best possible team
Become a consistent Stanley Cup contender
Win the Cup
Do it again
Can we agree to that?
And what the rest of us are saying is that Stamkos/Toews/Kane all produced for MORE than one year when they got their next deals. Even guys who were pretty consistent (or more than one-year producers) 50-60 point players signed two-year bridges for 5-7% of the cap.
He's not a vet. He's not a UFA. He doesn't have arbitration rights. And he doesn't have an offer sheet. He can sit out (which will then hinder his progress, and likely hurt his potential career earnings) or he can take this two-year offer and make the Jackets pay him an 8x8 in 2016. He will earn nothing by holding out. And if he sits out well into the regular season this year, he probably won't have the stats to point to on the next deal.
This is just how the CBA is set up. You get paid based on past performance quite a bit. And if you're a UFA you obviously have the threat of leaving. Guys have dealt with this before and signed bridges they didn't agree with. It's not that hard. Get an offer sheet, play for your current team for $3-4 million, or sit out and get nothing AND hurt yourself in the long run to make more.
I for one am not really saying that. I believe the players and the teams each made some very serious concessions in order to have a CBA.
The NHL agreed that all contracts are guaranteed and are not open for renegotiation.
The players agreed to restrict player movement under free agency.
Both of these concessions are opposite sides of the same coin.
If contracts were not guaranteed and open for re-negotiation, then the Blue Jackets could make an offer the way NFL teams do...
Ryan, we believe you are going to be the cornerstone of our franchise. We think you will become a guy worth $10 million annually and we want to keep you long term. We are pleased to offer you 8 years at $10 million."
Of course, if he doesn't live up to their belief his agent gets a call, "Kurt, you know we expected Ryan to be a ppg player and frankly we're disappointed. We really like the kid so we're going to give you two choices: 1. Renegotiate his salary down to $ 800 thousand per year for the rest of the contract. 2. If that isn't comfortable we will put you on the waiver wire and the kid gets nothing from us."
Risk for the team is eliminated.
On the other hand, the reverse happens "Ryan we really like you and we think you will be a fine 4th line center. We like your work ethic and you are good in the dressing room. We are pleased to offer you 8 years at $1.5 million.
Ryan becomes a ppg player, now the agent calls "JD, you know we have a problem. We agreed Ryan was a solid depth guy and he has worked hard and become a star. Ryan isn't going to play anymore until he gets paid according to his accomplishments." Of course like in the No Fun League he gets his money.
By negotiating the agreement the did, teams won't pay RFAs for what they believe they will achieve. It's way too risky. That's why short term deals are so popular.
It seems to me the only way this can work out well for both parties is the aforementioned offer sheet, OR
a 1 year deal for $3.5 - 4 million. If Ryan becomes a superstar he should insist on another 1 year deal at Toews money. Then re-assess in a year and decide if he wants to be a Blue Jacket and the team can decide if they want him to be a Blue Jacket. If so, he will have earned a really big deal.