The goal should be Gibson and Skinner not either or. They need to increase the floor of their goaltending with a very solid 1A/1B tandem. No way the Ducks take Skinner back in trade when they will build around their own development phase goaltender.
The issue is price point for significant Gibson retention over the next two years. That's likely why it's a game of chicken with Carolina and maybe Edmonton if they've even tire kicked. It's 1st round pick territory for retention.
NHLEdge Comps:
NHL EDGE Puck and Player Tracking Statistics - Comparisons
2022-2023:
High Danger Saves:
.822% Gibson
.843% Skinner
Team Goal Differential:
-84 Ducks
+43 Oilers
2023-2024:
High Danger Saves:
.807% Gibson
.806% Skinner
Team Goal Differential:
-52 Ducks
+50 Oilers
2024-2025
High Danger Saves:
.811% Gibson
.808% Skinner
Team Goal Differential:
-8 Ducks
+11 Oilers
The play would be Gibson and Dumoulin which would shore up this team's back-end and with viable full retention on both worth throwing the 1st+ to move on the deal. Moving Pickard to Ducks or to Bako as a high quality system #3 would free up a $1 which might enable a stretch for a 3rd deadline forward piece from whatever is remaining as deadline day counts down.
The Gibson contract length also gives them some leverage against an inflationary hedge against Skinner's next contract.